Hiện nay quản trị công ty ở Việt Nam đã được các doanh nghiệp chú ý thể hiện ở
việc có các tổ chức hỗ trợ doanh nghiệp cải thiện chất lượng quản trị công ty cũng như hỗ
trợ các cơ quan quản lý trong việc ban hành chính sách, luật Điều này chứng tỏ, các
doanh nghiệp Việt Nam đang dần hoàn thiện cơ chế quản trị công ty của mình vì mục tiêu
phát triển không những trong phạm vi quốc gia mà còn hội nhập được với thế giới
Kết quả nghiên cứu cho thấy nếu công ty được kiểm toán bởi Big 4 thì sẽ hạn
chế được ĐCLN. Tuy vậy số lượng các công ty được kiểm toán bởi Big 4 là rất ít (chỉ
khoảng 22% trong khi các quốc gia khác lên tới 50% - 80% do đó các doanh nghiệp
cần chú ý lựa chọn các đơn vị kiểm toán lớn và có uy tín để đảm bảo thông tin cung
cấp có chất lượng tốt.
Tóm tại, những khuyến nghị có thể đưa ra đối với doanh nghiệp ở đây có thể là
ở trên 2 góc độ chính: Thứ nhất, là về vấn đề đào tạo, doanh nghiệp cần không ngừng
nâng cao trình độ chuyên môn và sự hiểu biết về vấn đề ĐCLN và tiếp theo sau là hỗ
trợ công tác đào tạo để đội ngũ nhân viên có thể tiếp cận và sử dụng các mô hình, công
cụ phát hiện ĐCLN từ đơn giản đến phức tạp nhằm hỗ trợ công tác phân tích và cung
cấp thông tin ra bên ngoài. Thứ hai, là vấn đề vận dụng kết quả nghiên cứu để đưa ra
các khuyến nghị cụ thể, từ những bằng chứng thực nghiệm, doanh nghiệp có cơ sở để
đưa ra các hướng đi cụ thể từ việc tránh vi phạm tỷ lệ nợ cho phép, tránh lạm dụng vị
thế của một công ty lớn cho đến việc củng cố chất lượng quản trị công ty, lựa chọn
đơn vị kiểm toán nhằm hạn chế ĐCLN, đảm bảo sự tin cậy của thông tin cung cấp
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PHỤ LỤC
PHẦN 1 – THỐNG KÊ MÔ TẢ VÀ CÁC MÔ HÌNH HỒI QUY
1. THỐNG KÊ MÔ TẢ CÁC BIẾN TRONG NGHIÊN CỨU (Phần 4.2.1)
stats | DA BOARD IDV DUAL OWN1 OWN2 AUDIT DEBT PERF SIZE
---------+----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
mean | .0622665 5.488274 3.478424 .358818 25.34985 5.284867 .2209193 2.011072 .1199229 11.74471
max | 4.120416 11 10 1 96.72 88.69 1 18.08324 1.012039 13.95658
min | -5.525249 3 2 0 0 0 0 .3955182 -1.325104 10.0669
sd | .8035383 1.073705 1.18016 .4797662 25.1524 10.40599 .4149635 1.847667 .1606768 .6204424
p50 | .2203999 5 3 0 19.365 .3304412 0 1.461787 .118341 11.74503
N | 2132 2132 2132 2132 2132 2132 2132 2132 2132 2132
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. MỐI QUAN HỆ TƯƠNG QUAN GIỮA CÁC BIẾN (Phần 4.2.2)
Obs = 2.132
| DA BOARD IDV DUAL OWN1 OWN2 AUDIT DEBT PERF SIZE
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DA | 1.0000
BOARD | 0.1233 1.0000
IDV | 0.0712 0.6210 1.0000
DUAL | -0.0706 0.0296 -0.2420 1.0000
OWN1 | 0.0431 -0.1526 -0.1175 -0.1879 1.0000
OWN2 | 0.1134 0.2009 0.2159 -0.0331 -0.1002 1.0000
AUDIT | 0.2152 0.1243 0.1923 -0.1367 0.0349 0.2699 1.0000
DEBT | 0.1796 -0.0457 -0.1107 -0.0622 0.0850 -0.1476 0.0091 1.0000
PERF | 0.2156 0.0349 0.0093 0.0129 0.0711 0.0536 0.0383 -0.1418 1.0000
SIZE | 0.6421 0.2783 0.2214 -0.1319 -0.0050 0.2735 0.4756 0.2531 0.0653 1.0000
147
3. MÔ HÌNH HỒI QUY BÌNH PHƯƠNG BÉ NHẤT OLS (Phần 4.4.1)
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 2132
-------------+------------------------------ F( 9, 2122) = 201.53
Model | 634.08649 9 70.4540544 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | 741.844466 2122 .349596826 R-squared = 0.4608
-------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.4586
Total | 1375.93096 2131 .645673841 Root MSE = .59127
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DA | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
BOARD | -.0258019 .0161086 -1.60 0.109 -.0573922 .0057885
IDV | -.0208132 .0150058 -1.39 0.166 -.0502407 .0086144
DUAL | .0055569 .0292596 0.19 0.849 -.0518236 .0629373
OWN1 | .0007673 .0005319 1.44 0.149 -.0002759 .0018104
OWN2 | -.0032745 .0013447 -2.44 0.015 -.0059114 -.0006375
AUDIT | -.2059982 .0360996 -5.71 0.000 -.2767926 -.1352038
DEBT | .006084 .0076073 0.80 0.424 -.0088345 .0210025
PERF | .8878292 .0813929 10.91 0.000 .7282109 1.047447
SIZE | .9144636 .0261281 35.00 0.000 .8632242 .965703
_cons | -10.54117 .2894896 -36.41 0.000 -11.10889 -9.973462
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4. KIỂM ĐỊNH GIẢ THUYẾT HỒI QUY VỀ ĐA CỘNG TUYẾN (Phần 4.4.1.)
Variable | VIF 1/VIF
-------------+----------------------
IDV | 1.91 0.523102
BOARD | 1.82 0.548400
SIZE | 1.60 0.624259
AUDIT | 1.37 0.731069
DEBT | 1.20 0.830384
DUAL | 1.20 0.832508
OWN2 | 1.19 0.837907
OWN1 | 1.09 0.916470
PERF | 1.04 0.959190
-------------+----------------------
Mean VIF | 1.38
148
5. MÔ HÌNH HỒI QUY ẢNH HƯỞNG CỐ ĐỊNH FEM (Phần 4.4.2)
Fixed-effects (within) regression Number of obs = 2132
Group variable: id Number of groups = 537
R-sq: within = 0.1462 Obs per group: min = 1
between = 0.4532 avg = 4.0
overall = 0.4059 max = 5
F(9,1586) = 30.17
corr(u_i, Xb) = 0.2466 Prob > F = 0.0000
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DA | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
BOARD | -.0257797 .0185788 -1.39 0.165 -.0622212 .0106619
IDV | -.0084032 .0166888 -0.50 0.615 -.0411375 .0243312
DUAL | .0197668 .0324891 0.61 0.543 -.0439594 .083493
OWN1 | .0010505 .0007839 1.34 0.180 -.0004871 .0025882
OWN2 | -.0024483 .0013689 -1.79 0.074 -.0051334 .0002368
AUDIT | -.1309692 .0430246 -3.04 0.002 -.2153603 -.0465781
DEBT | .0690443 .0113604 6.08 0.000 .0467613 .0913272
PERF | .9760595 .0699422 13.96 0.000 .8388706 1.113248
SIZE | .5007864 .094372 5.31 0.000 .3156795 .6858934
_cons | -5.896365 1.093089 -5.39 0.000 -8.040417 -3.752314
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
sigma_u | .65380941
sigma_e | .34406603
rho | .78312389 (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0: F(536, 1586) = 8.73 Prob > F = 0.0000
6. KIỂM ĐỊNH GIẢ THIẾT HIỆP PHƯƠNG SAI KHÔNG ĐỒNG NHẤT (Phần 4.4.4)
Modified Wald test for groupwise heteroskedasticity
in fixed effect regression model
H0: sigma(i)^2 = sigma^2 for all i
chi2 (537) = 5.1e+34
Prob>chi2 = 0.0000
149
7. MÔ HÌNH HỒI QUY ẢNH HƯỞNG NGẪU NHIÊN REM (Phần 4.4.3)
Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 2132
Group variable: id Number of groups = 537
R-sq: within = 0.1365 Obs per group: min = 1
between = 0.5232 avg = 4.0
overall = 0.4568 max = 5
Wald chi2(9) = 812.25
corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DA | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
BOARD | -.0272518 .0165416 -1.65 0.099 -.0596726 .0051691
IDV | -.0096035 .0149065 -0.64 0.519 -.0388198 .0196128
DUAL | .0133176 .0291125 0.46 0.647 -.0437418 .070377
OWN1 | .000835 .000636 1.31 0.189 -.0004115 .0020815
OWN2 | -.0031801 .0012389 -2.57 0.010 -.0056084 -.0007518
AUDIT | -.1486697 .0379038 -3.92 0.000 -.2229598 -.0743796
DEBT | .0351117 .0088739 3.96 0.000 .0177193 .0525042
PERF | .9355094 .0654295 14.30 0.000 .80727 1.063749
SIZE | .9014415 .0412103 21.87 0.000 .8206708 .9822122
_cons | -10.51444 .468759 -22.43 0.000 -11.43319 -9.595693
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
sigma_u | .54814452
sigma_e | .34406603
rho | .71736142 (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8. KIỂM ĐỊNH LAGRANGIAN MULTIPLIER (Phần 4.4.3)
Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test for random effects
DA[id,t] = Xb + u[id] + e[id,t]
Estimated results:
| Var sd = sqrt(Var)
---------+-----------------------------
DA | .6456738 .8035383
e | .1183814 .344066
u | .3004624 .5481445
Test: Var(u) = 0
chibar2(01) = 1013.29
Prob > chibar2 = 0.0000
150
9. KIỂM ĐỊNH HAUSMAN (Phần 4.4.4)
---- Coefficients ----
| (b) (B) (b-B) sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B))
| fe re Difference S.E.
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
BOARD | -.0257797 -.0272518 .0014721 .0084585
IDV | -.0084032 -.0096035 .0012003 .007504
DUAL | .0197668 .0133176 .0064492 .0144225
OWN1 | .0010505 .000835 .0002155 .0004584
OWN2 | -.0024483 -.0031801 .0007318 .0005822
AUDIT | -.1309692 -.1486697 .0177005 .0203572
DEBT | .0690443 .0351117 .0339325 .0070932
PERF | .9760595 .9355094 .0405501 .0247163
SIZE | .5007864 .9014415 -.4006551 .0848986
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg
B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg
Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic
chi2(9) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)
= 33.11
Prob>chi2 = 0.0001
10. KIỂM ĐỊNH GIẢ THIẾT VỀ HIỆN TƯỢNG TỰ TƯƠNG QUAN (Phần 4.4.4)
Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data
H0: no first-order autocorrelation
F( 1, 375) = 15.772
Prob > F = 0.0001
151
11. MÔ HÌNH HỒI QUY ẢNH HƯỞNG CỐ ĐỊNH (SE VỮNG)
(Sau khi loại IDV)
Fixed-effects (within) regression Number of obs = 2132
Group variable: id Number of groups = 537
R-sq: within = 0.1460 Obs per group: min = 1
between = 0.4539 avg = 4.0
overall = 0.4060 max = 5
F(8,536) = 10.51
corr(u_i, Xb) = 0.2487 Prob > F = 0.0000
(Std. Err. adjusted for 537 clusters in id)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Robust
DA | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
BOARD | -.0309191 .0155239 -1.99 0.047 -.0614143 -.0004239
DUAL | .0241073 .0294792 0.82 0.414 -.0338015 .0820162
OWN1 | .0010356 .0005792 1.79 0.074 -.0001022 .0021734
OWN2 | -.0024379 .0014087 -1.73 0.084 -.0052051 .0003292
AUDIT | -.1309162 .0542869 -2.41 0.016 -.2375574 -.0242751
DEBT | .0692234 .0139358 4.97 0.000 .041848 .0965989
PERF | .9751293 .1179378 8.27 0.000 .7434523 1.206806
SIZE | .4993426 .1518575 3.29 0.001 .2010337 .7976515
_cons | -5.881925 1.75795 -3.35 0.001 -9.335241 -2.428609
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
sigma_u | .65393904
sigma_e | .3439851
rho | .7832711 (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
152
12. MÔ HÌNH HỒI QUY ẢNH HƯỞNG CỐ ĐỊNH (SE VỮNG) (Phần 4.4.5)
(Sau khi loại IDV, DUAL)
Fixed-effects (within) regression Number of obs = 2132
Group variable: id Number of groups = 537
R-sq: within = 0.1457 Obs per group: min = 1
between = 0.4543 avg = 4.0
overall = 0.4057 max = 5
F(7,536) = 11.83
corr(u_i, Xb) = 0.2471 Prob > F = 0.0000
(Std. Err. adjusted for 537 clusters in id)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Robust
DA | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
BOARD | -.0311659 .0155145 -2.01 0.045 -.0616426 -.0006893
OWN1 | .00099 .0005814 1.70 0.089 -.0001522 .0021322
OWN2 | -.0024879 .0014037 -1.77 0.077 -.0052454 .0002696
AUDIT | -.1322678 .054387 -2.43 0.015 -.2391056 -.0254299
DEBT | .0693064 .0139764 4.96 0.000 .0418512 .0967616
PERF | .9779579 .1177653 8.30 0.000 .7466197 1.209296
SIZE | .4985939 .1519674 3.28 0.001 .2000691 .7971186
_cons | -5.861913 1.76066 -3.33 0.001 -9.320554 -2.403272
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
sigma_u | .65358301
sigma_e | .34394097
rho | .78312973 (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
153
PHẦN 2 –KẾT QUẢ THỰC HIỆN PHÂN TÍCH ĐƠN BIẾN (Phần 4.3)
Biến DA được chia ra 2 nhóm: DA dương POS, gán giá trị = 1
DA âm NEG, gán giá trị = 0
1. PHÂN TÍCH SỰ KHÁC BIỆT VỀ DEBT TRONG NHÓM DA (+) VÀ DA (-)
Two-sample t test with unequal variances
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Group | Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
0 | 617 1.544033 .0607943 1.510099 1.424644 1.663422
1 | 1515 2.201279 .0497665 1.937061 2.103661 2.298898
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
combined | 2132 2.011072 .0400157 1.847667 1.932599 2.089546
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
diff | -.6572461 .0785662 -.8113615 -.5031307
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
diff = mean(0) - mean(1) t = -8.3655
Ho: diff = 0 Satterthwaite's degrees of freedom = 1452.77
Ha: diff 0
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
2. PHÂN TÍCH SỰ KHÁC BIỆT VỀ PERF TRONG NHÓM DA (+) VÀ DA (-)
Two-sample t test with unequal variances
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Group | Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
0 | 617 .0791913 .0076514 .1900565 .0641653 .0942172
1 | 1515 .1365113 .0036955 .1438403 .1292624 .1437601
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
combined | 2132 .1199229 .0034798 .1606768 .1130986 .1267471
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
diff | -.05732 .0084971 -.073996 -.040644
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
diff = mean(0) - mean(1) t = -6.7458
Ho: diff = 0 Satterthwaite's degrees of freedom = 916.621
Ha: diff 0
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
154
3. PHÂN TÍCH SỰ KHÁC BIỆT VỀ SIZE TRONG NHÓM DA (+) VÀ DA (-)
Two-sample t test with unequal variances
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Group | Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
0 | 617 11.1415 .0178079 .4423394 11.10653 11.17648
1 | 1515 11.99037 .0129366 .5035319 11.965 12.01575
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
combined | 2132 11.74471 .0134372 .6204424 11.71836 11.77106
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
diff | -.8488688 .0220109 -.8920497 -.8056878
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
diff = mean(0) - mean(1) t = -38.5659
Ho: diff = 0 Satterthwaite's degrees of freedom = 1291.39
Ha: diff 0
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
4. PHÂN TÍCH SỰ KHÁC BIỆT VỀ BOARD TRONG NHÓM DA (+) VÀ DA (-)
Two-sample t test with unequal variances
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Group | Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
0 | 617 5.23825 .0318675 .7915722 5.175667 5.300832
1 | 1515 5.590099 .02965 1.154067 5.53194 5.648258
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
combined | 2132 5.488274 .0232537 1.073705 5.442672 5.533876
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
diff | -.3518494 .0435277 -.437225 -.2664738
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
diff = mean(0) - mean(1) t = -8.0833
Ho: diff = 0 Satterthwaite's degrees of freedom = 1643.13
Ha: diff 0
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
155
5. PHÂN TÍCH SỰ KHÁC BIỆT VỀ IDV TRONG NHÓM DA (+) VÀ DA (-)
Two-sample t test with unequal variances
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Group | Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
0 | 617 3.298217 .0391696 .9729524 3.221295 3.375139
1 | 1515 3.551815 .0320539 1.247635 3.48894 3.61469
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
combined | 2132 3.478424 .0255592 1.18016 3.4283 3.528548
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
diff | -.253598 .0506134 -.3528811 -.1543149
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
diff = mean(0) - mean(1) t = -5.0105
Ho: diff = 0 Satterthwaite's degrees of freedom = 1452.3
Ha: diff 0
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
6. PHÂN TÍCH SỰ KHÁC BIỆT VỀ OWN1 TRONG NHÓM DA (+) VÀ DA (-)
Two-sample t test with unequal variances
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Group | Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
0 | 617 23.83442 .9306163 23.11603 22.00686 25.66199
1 | 1515 25.96703 .6658756 25.91787 24.66089 27.27316
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
combined | 2132 25.34985 .5447357 25.1524 24.28158 26.41812
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
diff | -2.132606 1.144306 -4.37754 .1123288
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
diff = mean(0) - mean(1) t = -1.8637
Ho: diff = 0 Satterthwaite's degrees of freedom = 1272.5
Ha: diff 0
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0626 Pr(T > t) = 0.9687
156
7. PHÂN TÍCH SỰ KHÁC BIỆT VỀ OWN2 TRONG NHÓM DA (+) VÀ DA (-)
Two-sample t test with unequal variances
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Group | Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
0 | 617 2.656798 .2341729 5.816735 2.196924 3.116672
1 | 1515 6.355176 .2981646 11.60546 5.770317 6.940035
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
combined | 2132 5.284867 .2253668 10.40599 4.842905 5.726829
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
diff | -3.698378 .3791294 -4.441898 -2.954858
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
diff = mean(0) - mean(1) t = -9.7549
Ho: diff = 0 Satterthwaite's degrees of freedom = 2045.24
Ha: diff 0
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
8. PHÂN TÍCH SỰ KHÁC BIỆT VỀ DUAL TRONG NHÓM DA (+) VÀ DA (-)
| DUAL
DA | 0.00 1.00 | Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
0 | 356 261 | 617
| 26.04 34.12 | 28.94
-----------+----------------------+----------
1 | 1,011 504 | 1,515
| 73.96 65.88 | 71.06
-----------+----------------------+----------
Total | 1,367 765 | 2,132
| 100 100 | 100.00
Pearson chi2(1) = 15.5535 Pr = 0.000
9. PHÂN TÍCH SỰ KHÁC BIỆT VỀ AUDIT TRONG NHÓM DA (+) VÀ DA (-)
| AUDIT
DA | 0.00 1.00 | Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
0 | 579 38 | 617
| 34.86 8.07 | 28.94
-----------+----------------------+----------
1 | 1,082 433 | 1,515
| 65.14 91.93 | 71.06
-----------+----------------------+----------
Total | 1,661 471 | 2,132
| 100 100 | 100.00
Pearson chi2(1) = 128.0690 Pr = 0.000