Đề tài Xây dựng mô hình dự báo tỷ giá và khuyến nghị hoàn thiện cơ chế quản lý tỷ giá trên thị trường ngoại hối Việt Nam – góc nhìn từ bộ ba bất khả thi

0.146 268.01 67.847 154.666 63.763 Q3-2001 692.821 276.249 412.862 106.256 307.667 80.033 203.515 106.047 204.957 79.683 Q4-2001 614.629 282.92 192.179 94.419 317.589 70.54 228.864 78.579 147.675 109.781 Q1-2002 501.26 170.266 258.863 91.252 289.655 56.26 211.13 79.801 203.28 88.82 Q2-2002 575.099 274.571 427.888 115.608 523.791 62.583 297.733 73.904 162.966 77.196 Q3-2002 634.435 248.03 422.679 128.347 796.458 56.398 365.476 103.705 206.474 81.793 Q4-2002 726.162 268.259 408.898 133.511 843.246 52.008 453.992 82.757 156.309 99.942 Q1-2003 661.325 226.03 375.366 114.834 902.901 72.045 387.565 64.742 228.155 98.982 Q2-2003 737.436 246.655 465.445 123.874 1031.612 72.226 309.462 87.719 203.976 107.475 Q3-2003 738.035 270.704 531.934 126.049 1196.031 104.4 383.574 108.657 229.889 130.348 Q4-2003 771.804 281.319 510.369 127.367 809.016 86.739 340.262 107.616 192.694 117.034 Q1-2004 813.427 345.172 652.625 128.739 1085.893 101.344 343.473 86.136 287.919 77.061 Q2-2004 765.598 266.244 789.541 152.399 1179.777 120.625 349.608 84.902 225.966 156.84 Q3-2004 947.497 425.288 697.066 166.137 1491.963 140.785 542.206 108.852 292.526 194.297 Q4-2004 1015.578 448.595 759.868 160.825 1267.168 152.346 649.415 100.21 258.289 196.102 Q1-2005 945.416 358.858 756.135 139.869 1345.437 201.467 679.598 89.224 286.787 175.937 Q2-2005 1031.538 467.639 762.018 158.506 1286.987 147.225 596.964 85.108 242.655 221.055 Q3-2005 1200.236 552.143 844.316 187.664 1714.803 278.815 713.73 87.472 293.028 304.594 Q4-2005 1163.11 538.361 865.631 177.561 1576.773 235.495 732.508 91.294 263.031 326.713 Q1-2006 1207.702 505.524 823.865 189.641 1658.944 258.18 804.581 88.886 395.002 193.327 Q2-2006 1374.312 347.717 823.783 211.281 1986.89 221.677 885.551 115.517 319.651 336.355 Q3-2006 1335.317 505.08 763.516 226.318 2208.906 240.881 1159.457 131.171 368.67 402.892 Q4-2006 1322.771 453.379 831.636 215.659 1990.362 209.461 895.111 117.425 361.978 321.425 75 Q1-2007 1343.797 500.139 753.394 271.905 2098.339 215.602 828.122 116.722 492.518 240.182 Q2-2007 1303.862 583.36 939.291 306.289 2370.824 246.357 669.539 140.124 380.849 495.651 Q3-2007 1552.301 555.794 907.741 317.046 2852.647 303.834 876.386 157.113 542.811 396.768 Q4-2007 1890.041 595.106 1045.675 348.162 2782.691 264.207 1428.152 168.541 438.721 422.399 Q1-2008 2058.238 681.475 1140.715 376.844 2596.274 314.916 1008.628 167.471 583.964 409.407 Q2-2008 2000.509 676.181 1003.812 494.886 2711.075 335.343 1143.32 202.843 471.026 703.902 Q3-2008 2270.872 701.112 1388.666 513.15 3323.28 412.165 1360.126 248.208 538.969 482.997 Q4-2008 2208.279 600.932 1002.507 399.521 3237.868 286.475 713.127 258.677 479.44 358.995 Q1-2009 1491.287 483.103 976.979 516.536 2588.738 204.05 480.819 163.27 506.233 407.436 Q2-2009 1366.519 539.059 1218.786 490.747 2694.296 342.846 623.844 219.52 381.424 454.849 Q3-2009 1609.484 560.478 1245.769 507.113 3081.79 369.956 584.584 278.465 541.017 411.894 Q4-2009 1824.52 493.61 1467.495 550.095 2990.942 349.209 587.473 372.845 456.736 407.422 Q1-2010 1754.444 440.652 1214.844 530.78 3021.812 296.046 697.359 381.554 734.907 418.671 Q2-2010 1733.462 333.431 1467.784 504.281 3368.55 276.625 782.564 438.41 572.623 467.391 Q3-2010 1952.693 371.988 1869.909 521.098 4125.55 368.749 653.823 469.085 808.483 423.252 Q4-2010 1816.28 409.9203 1505.008 526.5635 3376.714 322.6573 680.3048 415.4735 643.1873 429.184 Q1-2011 2018.261 461.41 2186.44 1226.79 3506.728 366.856 472.66 413.104 720.515 655.419 Q2-2011 2407.075 701.876 2401.728 985.826 4178.719 417.662 604.077 424.319 781.107 595.224 Q3-2011 3055.821 468.87 2935.532 1273.872 4702.381 526.605 892.906 531.038 838.182 736.68 Q4-2011 3299.988 653.497 3601.334 1228.959 4539.934 481.126 549.455 837.255 1027.096 845.09 76 Số liệu Nhập khẩu Đơn vị tính: Triệu USD Quý Japan Singapore China Korea US Thailand Australia Hongkong Germany Malaysia Q1-1999 302.893 397.607 140.992 311.254 67.185 125.633 51.806 120.906 63.407 80.82 Q2-1999 358.693 436.575 168.612 372.226 77.049 139.015 49.09 122.24 64.446 73.479 Q3-1999 416.342 488.146 168.38 371.713 73.762 143.423 46.189 127.648 76.335 71.765 Q4-1999 540.366 556.167 195.074 430.641 105.108 153.754 68.62 133.941 64.54 78.931 Q1-2000 546.72 537.524 232.697 376.546 94.162 165.643 72.423 125.023 70.556 72.991 Q2-2000 527.215 598.502 318.682 440.799 96.574 180.763 70.07 150.111 67.06 92.055 Q3-2000 615.276 713.882 363.23 438.556 82.837 223.389 65.673 142.757 64.705 124.362 Q4-2000 611.735 844.343 486.529 497.651 90.387 241.067 85.314 180.177 92.889 99.526 Q1-2001 490.395 655.784 337.687 423.057 80.143 200.876 64.655 142.826 77.448 115.762 Q2-2001 555.35 614.444 391.734 490.997 119.234 220.419 71.04 127.507 79.406 120.044 Q3-2001 550.904 586.746 395.755 443.019 91.21 184.895 69.102 130.153 109.808 106.844 Q4-2001 586.43 621.304 481.045 529.754 120.752 186.109 61.634 137.119 130.026 121.734 Q1-2002 505.471 610.604 328.015 439.077 88.755 185.095 67.448 143.754 98.698 133.051 Q2-2002 598.959 714.134 444.822 574.346 98.318 225.529 69.974 184.493 120.669 224.51 Q3-2002 645.154 609.654 556.746 585.32 100.847 267.635 70.128 212.961 134.506 158.568 Q4-2002 755.067 599.092 829.255 680.852 170.713 276.98 78.723 263.557 204.206 167.184 Q1-2003 655.928 645.422 661.222 576.067 142.712 269.165 65.158 238.719 139.586 198.622 Q2-2003 758.014 712.671 810.306 689.029 436.601 342.743 71.216 285.211 166.812 203.211 Q3-2003 736.551 692.969 783.647 651.932 424.939 312.873 57.279 205.49 128.507 228.156 Q4-2003 831.567 824.764 883.378 708.413 139.861 357.405 84.338 261.458 179.702 294.993 Q1-2004 768.607 774.456 817.938 674.869 153.604 390.068 88.702 233.138 132.799 266.314 Q2-2004 845.708 834.345 1138.456 845.668 176.313 438.843 122.044 311.297 139.236 339.211 Q3-2004 908.681 978.118 1162.513 882.603 572.019 497.187 130.895 255.178 257.171 295.771 Q4-2004 1029.604 1031.481 1476.191 956.261 231.965 532.504 117.157 274.686 165.093 314.004 Q1-2005 951.327 908.71 1199.828 777.99 148.873 482.943 118.465 273.819 147.562 275.873 Q2-2005 1032.555 1221.393 1553.687 951.832 282.541 546.63 142.681 323.04 199.196 308.319 Q3-2005 1030.52 1120.55 1529.516 923.303 155.824 708.104 125.757 316.613 164.07 289.362 Q4-2005 1059.699 1231.645 1616.668 940.974 275.661 636.423 111.596 321.528 151.071 382.946 Q1-2006 985.247 1385.106 1438.483 777.299 177.358 651.188 120.471 306.279 186.32 452.744 Q2-2006 1186.288 1976.532 1836.875 1045.801 225.802 735.575 250.597 363.857 177.589 403.468 Q3-2006 1206.216 1562.202 1937.631 1065.199 246.167 808.723 477.466 343.835 273.824 307.914 Q4-2006 1324.348 1350.06 2178.313 1020.103 337.672 838.915 251.166 426.828 276.764 317.874 77 Q1-2007 1142.065 1620.685 2283.53 1080.187 295.109 749.025 212.603 388.249 437.261 401.068 Q2-2007 1372.107 2005.761 3242.02 1300.677 370.362 846.942 246.085 463.992 256.938 428.188 Q3-2007 1684.764 1894.627 3076.26 1367.016 433.995 904.027 201.968 538.467 268.257 679.822 Q4-2007 1989.964 2092.626 4108.18 1592.521 601.033 1244.206 398.744 559.993 346.045 780.822 Q1-2008 1971.46 2413.642 4190.91 1885.367 752.93 1275.119 542.36 555.894 425.3 699.85 Q2-2008 2273.29 2871.641 4553.28 2048.631 767.003 1252.192 392.716 686.86 342.219 707.279 Q3-2008 2245.52 2447.092 3454.89 1714.012 584.888 1361.625 218.077 679.947 379.603 661.164 Q4-2008 2047.67 1660.13 3453.01 1418.29 530.479 1016.664 207.346 710.6 332.878 527.806 Q1-2009 1328.889 827.167 2845.012 1282.008 592.078 776.466 203.854 184.68 261.888 488.27 Q2-2009 1682.008 1049.527 3661.37 1736.97 748.28 1086.903 251.082 200.544 385.914 668.703 Q3-2009 2083.234 1151.387 4580.49 1876.364 805.029 1232.691 280.332 200.464 359.38 621.928 Q4-2009 2373.959 1220.279 5354.08 2081.019 864.004 1418.011 314.761 239.951 580.118 725.829 Q1-2010 2045.194 2019.616 4640.587 1317.362 914.65 1402.115 310.443 998.611 469.885 501.735 Q2-2010 2133.811 2261.596 6217.96 1784.872 992.75 1477.767 367.487 1168.276 608.834 687.143 Q3-2010 2325.541 1920.536 6326.99 1928.108 977.46 1647.77 370.626 1149.442 384.152 639.08 Q4-2010 2219.63 1855.51 5634.90 1777.84 937.22 1486.42 340.83 889.07 510.75 638.45 Q1-2011 2293.131 1570.121 5049.09 2827.559 1043.941 1040.327 526.122 221.801 366.857 859.086 Q2-2011 2419.952 1720.312 6061.93 3159.72 1096.234 2048.998 486.435 264.447 594.572 1001.083 Q3-2011 2708.846 1470.471 6262.82 3227.801 1058.206 1868.305 669.345 250.947 686.906 935.454 Q4-2011 2978.401 1629.671 7219.88 3960.845 1330.834 1425.958 441.38 232.552 550.221 1124.096 78 Tổng xuất nhập khẩu Đơn vị tính: Triệu USD Quý Japan Singapore China Korea US Thailand Australia Hongkong Germany Malaysia Q1-1999 673.564 537.363 283.155 372.176 173.555 199.333 196.703 168.062 247.143 115.728 Q2-1999 751.493 680.364 355.92 452.494 165.974 211.935 214.09 176.136 192.413 128.574 Q3-1999 918.034 699.026 368.882 457.637 197.887 224.297 293.802 195.642 288.37 150.165 Q4-1999 1061.441 838.104 411.487 523.383 289.752 238.955 325.674 200.642 195.113 167.016 Q1-2000 1115.051 720.628 487.935 452.482 248.729 270.671 353.7 192.877 276.723 157.379 Q2-2000 1143.654 832.05 549.549 526.108 262.217 254.708 344.292 226.236 229.935 196.125 Q3-2000 1309.937 950.814 1015.206 534.849 285.545 307.448 419.636 225.574 273.499 241.472 Q4-2000 1307.505 1076.676 884.838 592.748 300.423 350.348 448.329 269.278 245.373 207.819 Q1-2001 1038.115 848.226 680.52 521.099 251.433 292.931 406.063 207.591 291.947 199.76 Q2-2001 1209.981 906.567 861.275 598.362 388.338 300.565 339.05 195.354 234.072 183.807 Q3-2001 1243.725 862.995 808.617 549.275 398.877 264.928 272.617 236.2 314.765 186.527 Q4-2001 1201.059 904.224 673.224 624.173 438.341 256.649 290.498 215.698 277.701 231.515 Q1-2002 1006.731 780.87 586.878 530.329 378.41 241.355 278.578 223.555 301.978 221.871 Q2-2002 1174.058 988.705 872.71 689.954 622.109 288.112 367.707 258.397 283.635 301.706 Q3-2002 1279.589 857.684 979.425 713.667 897.305 324.033 435.604 316.666 340.98 240.361 Q4-2002 1481.229 867.351 1238.153 814.363 1013.959 328.988 532.715 346.314 360.515 267.126 Q1-2003 1317.253 871.452 1036.588 690.901 1045.613 341.21 452.723 303.461 367.741 297.604 Q2-2003 1495.45 959.326 1275.751 812.903 1468.213 414.969 380.678 372.93 370.788 310.686 Q3-2003 1474.586 963.673 1315.581 777.981 1620.97 417.273 440.853 314.147 358.396 358.504 Q4-2003 1603.371 1106.083 1393.747 835.78 948.877 444.144 424.6 369.074 372.396 412.027 Q1-2004 1582.034 1119.628 1470.563 803.608 1239.497 491.412 432.175 319.274 420.718 343.375 Q2-2004 1611.306 1100.589 1927.997 998.067 1356.09 559.468 471.652 396.199 365.202 496.051 Q3-2004 1856.178 1403.406 1859.579 1048.74 2063.982 637.972 673.101 364.03 549.697 490.068 Q4-2004 2045.182 1480.076 2236.059 1117.086 1499.133 684.85 766.572 374.896 423.382 510.106 Q1-2005 1896.743 1267.568 1955.963 917.859 1494.31 684.41 798.063 363.043 434.349 451.81 Q2-2005 2064.093 1689.032 2315.705 1110.338 1569.528 693.855 739.645 408.148 441.851 529.374 Q3-2005 2230.756 1672.693 2373.832 1110.967 1870.627 986.919 839.487 404.085 457.098 593.956 Q4-2005 2222.809 1770.006 2482.299 1118.535 1852.434 871.918 844.104 412.822 414.102 709.659 Q1-2006 2192.949 1890.63 2262.348 966.94 1836.302 909.368 925.052 395.165 581.322 646.071 Q2-2006 2560.6 2324.249 2660.658 1257.082 2212.692 957.252 1136.148 479.374 497.24 739.823 Q3-2006 2541.533 2067.282 2701.147 1291.517 2455.073 1049.604 1636.923 475.006 642.494 710.806 Q4-2006 2647.119 1803.439 3009.949 1235.762 2328.034 1048.376 1146.277 544.253 638.742 639.299 79 Q1-2007 2485.862 2120.824 3036.924 1352.092 2393.448 964.627 1040.725 504.971 929.779 641.25 Q2-2007 2675.969 2589.121 4181.311 1606.966 2741.186 1093.299 915.624 604.116 637.787 923.839 Q3-2007 3237.065 2450.421 3984.001 1684.062 3286.642 1207.861 1078.354 695.58 811.068 1076.59 Q4-2007 3880.005 2687.732 5153.855 1940.683 3383.724 1508.413 1826.896 728.534 784.766 1203.221 Q1-2008 4029.698 3095.117 5331.625 2262.211 3349.204 1590.035 1550.988 723.365 1009.264 1109.257 Q2-2008 4273.799 3547.822 5557.092 2543.517 3478.078 1587.535 1536.036 889.703 813.245 1411.181 Q3-2008 4516.392 3148.204 4843.556 2227.162 3908.168 1773.79 1578.203 928.155 918.572 1144.161 Q4-2008 4255.949 2261.062 4455.517 1817.811 3768.347 1303.139 920.473 969.277 812.318 886.801 Q1-2009 2820.176 1310.27 3821.991 1798.544 3180.816 980.516 684.673 347.95 768.121 895.706 Q2-2009 3048.527 1588.586 4880.156 2227.717 3442.576 1429.749 874.926 420.064 767.338 1123.552 Q3-2009 3692.718 1711.865 5826.259 2383.477 3886.819 1602.647 864.916 478.929 900.397 1033.822 Q4-2009 4198.479 1713.889 6821.575 2631.114 3854.946 1767.22 902.234 612.796 1036.854 1133.251 Q1-2010 3799.638 2460.268 5855.431 1848.142 3936.462 1698.161 1007.802 1380.165 1204.792 920.406 Q2-2010 3867.273 2595.027 7685.744 2289.153 4361.3 1754.392 1150.051 1606.686 1181.457 1154.534 Q3-2010 4278.234 2292.524 8196.899 2449.206 5103.01 2016.519 1024.449 1618.527 1192.635 1062.332 Q4-2010 4035.906 2265.427 7139.912 2304.404 4313.93 1809.073 1021.134 1304.544 1153.935 1067.631 Q1-2011 4311.392 2031.531 7235.53 4054.349 4550.669 1407.183 998.782 634.905 1087.372 1514.505 Q2-2011 4827.027 2422.188 8463.654 4145.546 5274.953 2466.66 1090.512 688.766 1375.679 1596.307 Q3-2011 5764.667 1939.341 9198.356 4501.673 5760.587 2394.91 1562.251 781.985 1525.088 1672.134 Q4-2011 6278.389 2283.168 10821.21 5189.804 5870.768 1907.084 990.835 1069.807 1577.317 1969.186 80 CPI Việt Nam và các đối tác (Năm gốc là 2005) Đơn vị tính:Triệu USD Quý Japan Sing China Kor US Thai AUS HK Ger Malay VN Q1-1999 102.850 95.354 100 82.652 84.284 88.183 81.704 113.460 90.807 90.064 83.001 Q2-1999 103.183 95.513 99.49 82.815 85.104 87.541 82.039 112.296 91.332 90.267 82.263 Q3-1999 102.883 95.705 99.16 82.792 85.633 87.827 82.777 109.837 91.641 90.343 81.257 Q4-1999 102.883 95.705 98.96 83.700 86.162 88.255 83.247 109.272 91.610 90.774 80.318 Q1-2000 102.183 96.407 98.98 83.933 87.015 89.004 83.985 107.777 92.233 91.512 81.57 Q2-2000 102.483 96.312 99 84.102 87.937 88.968 84.655 107.278 92.367 91.542 80.318 Q3-2000 102.183 97.142 99.07 85.290 88.637 89.682 87.808 106.613 92.933 91.665 79.423 Q4-2000 102.016 97.621 99.21 85.799 89.115 89.753 88.077 106.547 93.233 92.277 79.938 Q1-2001 101.716 98.036 99.38 87.327 89.968 90.252 89.016 105.650 93.800 92.919 80.452 Q2-2001 101.650 97.940 99.76 88.345 90.907 91.180 89.754 105.816 94.667 92.980 79.669 Q3-2001 101.383 97.940 99.96 88.855 91.026 91.144 90.022 105.517 94.867 92.919 79.624 Q4-2001 101.016 97.429 99.93 88.685 90.770 90.645 90.827 104.354 94.767 93.378 80.116 Q1-2002 100.317 97.206 99.78 89.533 91.095 90.788 91.632 102.858 95.667 94.265 82.504 Q2-2002 100.750 97.525 99.51 90.722 92.085 91.501 92.303 102.493 95.867 94.785 82.877 Q3-2002 100.583 97.525 99.32 91.146 92.477 91.465 92.906 101.861 95.967 94.846 83.046 Q4-2002 100.483 97.557 99.17 91.570 92.767 92.000 93.577 101.329 95.900 95.029 83.689 Q1-2003 100.083 97.876 99.29 93.183 93.706 92.607 94.785 100.897 96.767 95.488 85.719 Q2-2003 100.517 97.717 99.46 93.777 94.047 93.035 94.785 100.000 96.667 95.641 85.855 Q3-2003 100.350 98.004 99.66 94.031 94.508 93.213 95.321 98.106 96.967 95.794 85.381 Q4-2003 100.183 98.196 100.3 94.795 94.525 93.499 95.791 99.003 97.000 95.763 85.855 Q1-2004 99.950 99.104 101 96.24 95.379 94.390 96.663 99.003 97.733 96.375 89.408 Q2-2004 100.217 99.535 102.1 96.950 96.744 95.532 97.132 99.103 98.433 96.742 91.980 Q3-2004 100.250 99.867 103.5 98.080 97.086 96.281 97.535 98.903 98.733 97.201 93.672 Q4-2004 100.683 99.801 104.3 98.020 97.666 96.424 98.273 99.402 98.967 98.180 94.349 Q1-2005 99.983 99.336 105 99.400 98.280 97.066 98.944 99.402 99.333 98.691 97.496 Q2-2005 100.117 99.582 105.5 99.800 99.595 99.028 99.547 99.801 99.667 99.525 99.391 Q3-2005 99.950 100.332 105.8 100.400 100.806 101.703 100.486 100.100 100.400 100.458 100.745 Q4-2005 99.950 100.930 106.2 100.400 101.319 102.203 101.023 100.698 100.600 101.325 102.369 Q1-2006 99.850 100.697 106.5 101.400 101.865 102.595 101.895 100.997 100.967 102.392 105.584 Q2-2006 100.283 100.797 106.9 102.100 103.589 105.057 103.505 101.894 101.567 103.626 106.734 Q3-2006 100.550 101.096 107.2 102.900 104.169 105.378 104.444 102.393 101.833 104.026 107.986 Q4-2006 100.283 101.494 107.8 102.600 103.281 105.520 104.310 102.891 101.933 104.393 109.239 Q1-2007 99.750 101.228 108.5 103.500 104.334 105.092 104.377 102.692 102.800 105.093 112.487 Q2-2007 100.217 101.760 109.5 104.600 106.334 107.019 105.652 103.190 103.600 105.160 114.585 Q3-2007 100.417 103.884 111.1 105.300 106.628 107.126 106.389 104.088 104.167 105.893 117.259 Q4-2007 100.817 105.677 113 106.000 107.386 108.624 107.396 106.481 105.033 106.693 120.880 Q1-2008 100.717 107.968 115.3 107.400 108.607 110.443 108.804 107.378 105.800 107.794 130.931 Q2-2008 101.583 109.363 117.5 109.600 110.991 115.045 110.414 109.073 106.600 110.261 142.673 Q3-2008 102.583 110.657 119 111.100 112.282 114.938 111.689 108.873 107.367 114.795 149.780 Q4-2008 101.850 111.355 119.8 110.800 109.106 110.978 111.353 108.873 106.767 112.995 149.374 81 Q1-2009 100.583 110.75 119.6 111.600 108.563 110.122 111.488 109.272 106.667 111.795 151.265 Q2-2009 100.583 109.640 119.1 112.700 109.714 111.834 112.024 108.973 106.867 111.695 152.243 Q3-2009 100.283 110.634 118.7 113.300 110.459 112.370 113.097 107.976 107.100 112.161 153.408 Q4-2009 99.783 110.966 118.9 113.500 110.682 113.119 113.701 110.369 107.233 112.795 156.240 Q1-2010 99.417 111.739 119.6 114.600 111.126 114.264 114.707 111.366 107.533 113.33 162.61 Q2-2010 99.650 113.066 120.5 115.600 111.654 115.462 115.445 111.765 108.000 113.515 165.117 Q3-2010 99.483 114.315 121.5 116.600 111.758 116.072 116.250 110.369 108.367 114.276 166.583 Q4-2010 99.883 115.387 122.9 117.600 112.088 116.361 116.720 113.493 108.833 115 173.181 Q1-2011 119.375 104.877 122.946 116.480 117.610 113.505 118.531 109.037 109.037 131.895 183.418 Q2-2011 120.304 105.506 122.946 117.316 119.410 115.484 119.604 110.245 110.245 133.513 197.109 Q3-2011 121.616 104.354 122.946 118.114 120.143 115.956 120.342 110.188 110.188 134.052 197.109 Q4-2011 121.813 104.179 122.946 118.684 121.310 115.779 120.342 110.936 110.936 135.003 197.109 82 Chỉ số CPI của một số nƣớc (năm gốc 1999) Quý Japan Sing China Korea US Thailand AUS Hongkong Germany Malaysia VN Q1-1999 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Q2-1999 1.0032 1.0017 0.9949 1.0020 1.0097 0.9927 1.0041 0.9897 1.0058 1.0023 0.9911 Q3-1999 1.0003 1.0037 0.9916 1.0017 1.0160 0.9960 1.0131 0.9681 1.0092 1.0031 0.9790 Q4-1999 1.0003 1.0037 0.9896 1.0127 1.0223 1.0008 1.0189 0.9631 1.0088 1.0079 0.9677 Q1-2000 0.9935 1.0111 0.9898 1.0155 1.0324 1.0093 1.0279 0.9499 1.0157 1.0161 0.9828 Q2-2000 0.9964 1.0100 0.9900 1.0175 1.0433 1.0089 1.0361 0.9455 1.0172 1.0164 0.9677 Q3-2000 0.9935 1.0188 0.9907 1.0319 1.0516 1.0170 1.0747 0.9397 1.0234 1.0178 0.9569 Q4-2000 0.9919 1.0238 0.9921 1.0381 1.0573 1.0178 1.0780 0.9391 1.0267 1.0246 0.9631 Q1-2001 0.9890 1.0281 0.9938 1.0566 1.0674 1.0235 1.0895 0.9312 1.0330 1.0317 0.9693 Q2-2001 0.9883 1.0271 0.9976 1.0689 1.0786 1.0340 1.0985 0.9326 1.0425 1.0324 0.9599 Q3-2001 0.9857 1.0271 0.9996 1.0750 1.0800 1.0336 1.1018 0.9300 1.0447 1.0317 0.9593 Q4-2001 0.9822 1.0218 0.9993 1.0730 1.0770 1.0279 1.1117 0.9197 1.0436 1.0368 0.9652 Q1-2002 0.9754 1.0194 0.9978 1.0833 1.0808 1.0295 1.1215 0.9066 1.0535 1.0466 0.9940 Q2-2002 0.9796 1.0228 0.9951 1.0976 1.0925 1.0376 1.1297 0.9033 1.0557 1.0524 0.9985 Q3-2002 0.9780 1.0228 0.9932 1.1028 1.0972 1.0372 1.1371 0.8978 1.0568 1.0531 1.0005 Q4-2002 0.9770 1.0231 0.9917 1.1079 1.1006 1.0433 1.1453 0.8931 1.0561 1.0551 1.0083 Q1-2003 0.9731 1.0265 0.9929 1.1274 1.1118 1.0502 1.1601 0.8893 1.0656 1.0602 1.0328 Q2-2003 0.9773 1.0248 0.9946 1.1346 1.1158 1.0550 1.1601 0.8814 1.0645 1.0619 1.0344 Q3-2003 0.9757 1.0278 0.9966 1.1377 1.1213 1.0570 1.1667 0.8647 1.0678 1.0636 1.0287 Q4-2003 0.9741 1.0298 1.0033 1.1469 1.1215 1.0603 1.1724 0.8726 1.0682 1.0633 1.0344 Q1-2004 0.9718 1.0393 1.0102 1.1644 1.1316 1.0704 1.1831 0.8726 1.0763 1.0701 1.0772 Q2-2004 0.9744 1.0439 1.0213 1.1730 1.1478 1.0833 1.1888 0.8735 1.0840 1.0741 1.1082 Q3-2004 0.9747 1.0473 1.0348 1.1867 1.1519 1.0918 1.1938 0.8717 1.0873 1.0792 1.1286 Q4-2004 0.9789 1.0466 1.0429 1.1859 1.1588 1.0934 1.2028 0.8761 1.0899 1.0901 1.1367 Q1-2005 0.9721 1.0418 1.0503 1.2026 1.1661 1.1007 1.2110 0.8761 1.0939 1.0958 1.1746 Q2-2005 0.9734 1.0443 1.0549 1.2075 1.1817 1.1230 1.2184 0.8796 1.0976 1.1050 1.1975 Q3-2005 0.9718 1.0522 1.0584 1.2147 1.1960 1.1533 1.2299 0.8822 1.1056 1.1154 1.2138 Q4-2005 0.9718 1.0585 1.0620 1.2147 1.2021 1.1590 1.2365 0.8875 1.1078 1.1250 1.2333 Q1-2006 0.9708 1.0560 1.0652 1.2268 1.2086 1.1634 1.2471 0.8902 1.1119 1.1369 1.2721 Q2-2006 0.9750 1.0571 1.0688 1.2353 1.2290 1.1913 1.2668 0.8981 1.1185 1.1506 1.2859 Q3-2006 0.9776 1.0602 1.0722 1.2450 1.2359 1.1950 1.2783 0.9025 1.1214 1.1550 1.3010 Q4-2006 0.9750 1.0644 1.0777 1.2414 1.2254 1.1966 1.2767 0.9068 1.1225 1.1591 1.3161 Q1-2007 0.9699 1.0616 1.0850 1.2522 1.2379 1.1917 1.2775 0.9051 1.1321 1.1669 1.3553 83 Q2-2007 0.9744 1.0672 1.0948 1.2656 1.2616 1.2136 1.2931 0.9095 1.1409 1.1676 1.3805 Q3-2007 0.9763 1.0895 1.1115 1.2740 1.2651 1.2148 1.3021 0.9174 1.1471 1.1757 1.4127 Q4-2007 0.9802 1.1083 1.1299 1.2825 1.2741 1.2318 1.3145 0.9385 1.1567 1.1846 1.4564 Q1-2008 0.9793 1.1323 1.1526 1.2994 1.2886 1.2524 1.3317 0.9464 1.1651 1.1969 1.5775 Q2-2008 0.9877 1.1469 1.1750 1.3260 1.3169 1.3046 1.3514 0.9613 1.1739 1.2242 1.7189 Q3-2008 0.9974 1.1605 1.1904 1.3442 1.3322 1.3034 1.3670 0.9596 1.1824 1.2746 1.8046 Q4-2008 0.9903 1.1678 1.1977 1.3406 1.2945 1.2585 1.3629 0.9596 1.1758 1.2546 1.7997 Q1-2009 0.9780 1.1614 1.1959 1.3502 1.2881 1.2488 1.3645 0.9631 1.1747 1.2413 1.8225 Q2-2009 0.9780 1.1498 1.1914 1.3636 1.3017 1.2682 1.3711 0.9605 1.1769 1.2402 1.8342 Q3-2009 0.9750 1.1603 1.1874 1.3708 1.3106 1.2743 1.3842 0.9517 1.1794 1.2453 1.8483 Q4-2009 0.9702 1.1637 1.1894 1.3732 1.3132 1.2828 1.3916 0.9728 1.1809 1.2524 1.8824 Q1-2010 0.9666 1.1718 1.1960 1.3865 1.3185 1.2958 1.4039 0.9815 1.1842 1.2583 1.9591 Q2-2010 0.9689 1.1858 1.2047 1.3986 1.3247 1.3093 1.4130 0.9851 1.1893 1.2604 1.9893 Q3-2010 0.9673 1.1989 1.2152 1.4107 1.3260 1.3163 1.4228 0.9728 1.1934 1.2688 2.0070 Q4-2010 0.9712 1.2101 1.2295 1.4228 1.3299 1.3195 1.4286 1.0003 1.1985 1.2768 2.0865 Q1-2011 1.1608 1.0999 1.2295 1.4093 1.3954 1.2872 1.4507 0.9613 1.2250 1.4645 2.2098 Q2-2011 1.1698 1.1065 1.2295 1.4194 1.4168 1.3096 1.4639 0.9719 1.2386 1.4824 2.3748 Q3-2011 1.1826 1.0944 1.2295 1.4291 1.4255 1.3149 1.4729 0.9714 1.2380 1.4884 2.3748 Q4-2011 1.1845 1.0926 1.2295 1.4360 1.4393 1.3129 1.4729 0.9780 1.2464 1.4990 2.3748 84 Số liệu Tỷ giá tính theo USD Quý Japan Sing China Korea VN Thailand Australia Hongkong Germany Malaysia Q1-1999 120.40 1.73 8.28 1227 13902 37.64 1.59 7.75 0.93 3.80 Q2-1999 121.10 1.70 8.28 1158 13931 36.84 1.52 7.76 0.97 3.80 Q3-1999 106.85 1.70 8.28 1216 13993 40.98 1.53 7.77 0.94 3.80 Q4-1999 102.20 1.67 8.28 1138 14028 37.47 1.53 7.77 1.00 3.80 Q1-2000 105.85 1.72 8.28 1106 14062 37.81 1.65 7.79 1.05 3.80 Q2-2000 105.40 1.73 8.28 1115 14085 39.12 1.67 7.79 1.05 3.80 Q3-2000 107.85 1.74 8.28 1115 14215 42.21 1.84 7.80 1.14 3.80 Q4-2000 114.90 1.73 8.28 1265 14514 43.27 1.81 7.80 1.07 3.80 Q1-2001 124.60 1.80 8.28 1328 14545 44.77 2.04 7.80 1.13 3.80 Q2-2001 124.05 1.82 8.28 1298 14845 45.21 1.97 7.80 1.18 3.80 Q3-2001 119.30 1.77 8.28 1310 15003 44.38 2.03 7.80 1.10 3.80 Q4-2001 131.80 1.85 8.28 1314 15084 44.22 1.96 7.80 1.13 3.80 Q1-2002 133.20 1.84 8.28 1326 15250 43.48 1.88 7.80 1.15 3.80 Q2-2002 119.45 1.76 8.28 1201 15321 41.53 1.77 7.80 1.00 3.80 Q3-2002 121.55 1.78 8.28 1228 15347 43.34 1.84 7.80 1.01 3.80 Q4-2002 119.90 1.74 8.28 1186 15403 43.15 1.77 7.80 0.95 3.80 Q1-2003 120.15 1.77 8.28 1255 15443 42.85 1.66 7.80 0.92 3.80 Q2-2003 119.85 1.76 8.28 1193 15499 41.98 1.50 7.80 0.88 3.80 Q3-2003 111.20 1.73 8.28 1150 15557 39.95 1.47 7.74 0.86 3.80 Q4-2003 107.10 1.70 8.28 1193 15646 39.59 1.33 7.76 0.79 3.80 Q1-2004 104.30 1.68 8.28 1147 15724 39.41 1.32 7.79 0.82 3.80 Q2-2004 108.38 1.72 8.28 1156 15723 40.89 1.45 7.80 0.82 3.80 Q3-2004 111.00 1.69 8.28 1152 15755 41.45 1.40 7.80 0.81 3.80 Q4-2004 104.12 1.63 8.28 1035 15777 39.06 1.28 7.77 0.73 3.80 Q1-2005 107.35 1.65 8.28 1016 15823 39.11 1.30 7.80 0.77 3.80 Q2-2005 110.40 1.68 8.28 1025 15857 41.27 1.31 7.77 0.83 3.80 Q3-2005 113.15 1.69 8.09 1041 15895 40.96 1.31 7.76 0.83 3.77 Q4-2005 117.97 1.66 8.07 1012 15916 41.03 1.36 7.75 0.85 3.78 Q1-2006 117.40 1.62 8.02 972 15927 38.80 1.40 7.76 0.83 3.69 Q2-2006 114.95 1.59 8.00 960 15996 38.19 1.35 7.77 0.79 3.68 Q3-2006 117.80 1.59 7.91 946 16055 37.49 1.34 7.79 0.79 3.68 Q4-2006 118.95 1.53 7.81 930 16054 36.05 1.26 7.77 0.76 3.53 Q1-2007 117.65 1.52 7.73 941 16024 34.97 1.24 7.81 0.75 3.46 Q2-2007 123.23 1.53 7.62 927 16125 34.50 1.18 7.81 0.74 3.45 Q3-2007 115.05 1.49 7.51 915 16105 34.39 1.13 7.77 0.71 3.42 Q4-2007 114.00 1.44 7.30 936 16114 33.72 1.13 7.80 0.68 3.31 Q1-2008 100.10 1.38 7.02 990 15960 31.46 1.09 7.79 0.63 3.19 Q2-2008 106.40 1.36 6.86 1046 16514 33.48 1.04 7.80 0.63 3.27 Q3-2008 104.30 1.43 6.82 1207 16517 34.00 1.25 7.77 0.70 3.46 Q4-2008 90.75 1.44 6.83 1260 16977 34.90 1.44 7.75 0.72 3.46 85 Q1-2009 98.10 1.52 6.84 1384 16954 35.48 1.45 7.75 0.75 3.65 Q2-2009 95.95 1.45 6.83 1274 16953 33.98 1.23 7.75 0.71 3.52 Q3-2009 89.77 1.41 6.83 1178 16991 33.51 1.14 7.75 0.68 3.47 Q4-2009 92.06 1.40 6.83 1165 17941 33.32 1.11 7.76 0.69 3.42 Q1-2010 93.25 1.40 6.83 1131 18544 32.32 1.09 7.76 0.74 3.27 Q2-2010 88.60 1.40 6.79 1210 18544 32.39 1.17 7.79 0.81 3.26 Q3-2010 83.40 1.32 6.70 1140 18932 30.37 1.03 7.76 0.73 3.09 Q4-2010 81.45 1.29 6.62 1135 18932 30.15 0.98 7.77 0.75 3.08 Q1-2011 83.130 1.262 6.556 1096.700 20703.000 30.297 0.968 7.784 0.673 3.026 Q2-2011 80.720 1.229 6.472 1067.700 20618.000 30.747 0.931 7.782 0.692 3.021 Q3-2011 76.630 1.300 6.355 1178.100 20628.000 31.167 1.022 7.792 0.741 3.191 Q4-2011 77.720 1.301 6.301 1151.800 20828.000 31.691 0.985 7.766 0.773 3.177 86 Số liệu CPI hiệu chỉnh theo năm 1999 Quý Japan Sing China Korea US Thailand Australia Hongkong Ger Malay Q1-1999 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 Q2-1999 1.0122 1.0107 1.0038 1.0110 1.0188 1.0016 1.0131 0.9991 1.0150 1.0112 Q3-1999 1.0218 1.0252 1.0129 1.0232 1.0378 1.0173 1.0349 0.9895 1.0269 1.0246 Q4-1999 1.0337 1.0372 1.0226 1.0465 1.0564 1.0342 1.0529 0.9960 1.0434 1.0415 Q1-2000 1.0116 1.0288 1.0072 1.0333 1.0505 1.0270 1.0459 0.9668 1.0331 1.0339 Q2-2000 1.0297 1.0438 1.0231 1.0515 1.0782 1.0426 1.0707 0.9778 1.0551 1.0504 Q3-2000 1.0390 1.0646 1.0353 1.0784 1.0990 1.0628 1.1231 0.9827 1.0705 1.0636 Q4-2000 1.0309 1.0630 1.0301 1.0779 1.0978 1.0568 1.1193 0.9763 1.0681 1.0638 Q1-2001 1.0207 1.0607 1.0252 1.0900 1.1013 1.0559 1.1240 0.9610 1.0609 1.0644 Q2-2001 1.0297 1.0701 1.0394 1.1136 1.1237 1.0772 1.1445 0.9725 1.0852 1.0755 Q3-2001 1.0276 1.0707 1.0420 1.1206 1.1258 1.0774 1.1485 0.9700 1.0869 1.0754 Q4-2001 1.0176 1.0586 1.0353 1.1116 1.1157 1.0649 1.1517 0.9539 1.0809 1.0741 Q1-2002 0.9813 1.0256 1.0038 1.0898 1.0873 1.0357 1.1283 0.9125 1.0567 1.0529 Q2-2002 0.9811 1.0243 0.9966 1.0993 1.0942 1.0392 1.1314 0.9045 1.0603 1.0540 Q3-2002 0.9775 1.0222 0.9927 1.1022 1.0966 1.0367 1.1365 0.8978 1.0604 1.0525 Q4-2002 0.9691 1.0147 0.9835 1.0988 1.0916 1.0347 1.1359 0.8860 1.0569 1.0465 Q1-2003 0.9423 0.9939 0.9614 1.0917 1.0765 1.0169 1.1233 0.8612 1.0412 1.0266 Q2-2003 0.9449 0.9907 0.9615 1.0969 1.0787 1.0199 1.1215 0.8523 1.0431 1.0266 Q3-2003 0.9486 0.9991 0.9688 1.1060 1.0900 1.0276 1.1341 0.8409 1.0515 1.0340 Q4-2003 0.9418 0.9956 0.9699 1.1088 1.0842 1.0250 1.1334 0.8438 1.0528 1.0279 Q1-2004 0.9023 0.9649 0.9378 1.0810 1.0505 0.9937 1.0983 0.8112 1.0162 0.9934 Q2-2004 0.8794 0.9420 0.9216 1.0585 1.0358 0.9776 1.0728 0.7885 0.9968 0.9693 Q3-2004 0.8638 0.9280 0.9169 1.0515 1.0207 0.9674 1.0578 0.7725 0.9803 0.9563 Q4-2004 0.8613 0.9208 0.9175 1.0433 1.0194 0.9619 1.0581 0.7713 0.9780 0.9590 Q1-2005 0.8277 0.8869 0.8942 1.0238 0.9927 0.9371 1.0310 0.7464 0.9478 0.9329 Q2-2005 0.8130 0.8721 0.8809 1.0084 0.9868 0.9378 1.0175 0.7346 0.9381 0.9228 Q3-2005 0.8007 0.8669 0.8720 1.0008 0.9854 0.9502 1.0133 0.7271 0.9288 0.9190 Q4-2005 0.7880 0.8582 0.8611 0.9849 0.9747 0.9397 1.0025 0.7204 0.9162 0.9122 Q1-2006 0.7633 0.8302 0.8374 0.9644 0.9501 0.9146 0.9804 0.7000 0.8909 0.8937 Q2-2006 0.7583 0.8220 0.8312 0.9606 0.9557 0.9264 0.9851 0.6985 0.8903 0.8947 Q3-2006 0.7515 0.8149 0.8241 0.9569 0.9500 0.9185 0.9825 0.6942 0.8811 0.8878 Q4-2006 0.7409 0.8087 0.8188 0.9432 0.9311 0.9092 0.9700 0.6892 0.8701 0.8807 Q1-2007 0.7157 0.7833 0.8006 0.9240 0.9134 0.8794 0.9426 0.6678 0.8459 0.8610 87 Q2-2007 0.7059 0.7730 0.7930 0.9167 0.9139 0.8791 0.9367 0.6592 0.8391 0.8458 Q3-2007 0.6912 0.7712 0.7867 0.9018 0.8955 0.8599 0.9217 0.6497 0.8217 0.8322 Q4-2007 0.6731 0.7610 0.7758 0.8806 0.8748 0.8458 0.9026 0.6443 0.8047 0.8134 Q1-2008 0.6208 0.7178 0.7307 0.8237 0.8169 0.7940 0.8442 0.6004 0.7482 0.7587 Q2-2008 0.5746 0.6672 0.6835 0.7714 0.7661 0.7590 0.7862 0.5596 0.6962 0.7122 Q3-2008 0.5527 0.6431 0.6597 0.7449 0.7382 0.7223 0.7575 0.5319 0.6642 0.7063 Q4-2008 0.5503 0.6489 0.6655 0.7449 0.7193 0.6993 0.7573 0.5334 0.6627 0.6971 Q1-2009 0.5367 0.6373 0.6562 0.7409 0.7068 0.6852 0.7487 0.5283 0.6517 0.6811 Q2-2009 0.5332 0.6269 0.6496 0.7434 0.7097 0.6914 0.7475 0.5238 0.6511 0.6761 Q3-2009 0.5276 0.6278 0.6425 0.7417 0.7091 0.6894 0.7489 0.5146 0.6458 0.6738 Q4-2009 0.5155 0.6182 0.6319 0.7295 0.6976 0.6815 0.7393 0.5182 0.6359 0.6653 Q1-2010 0.4949 0.5981 0.6105 0.7100 0.6730 0.6614 0.7166 0.5019 0.6142 0.6423 Q2-2010 0.4874 0.5961 0.6056 0.7036 0.6659 0.6582 0.7103 0.4968 0.6100 0.6336 Q3-2010 0.4831 0.5973 0.6055 0.7028 0.6607 0.6558 0.7089 0.4817 0.6039 0.6322 Q4-2010 0.5461 0.5261 0.5892 0.6668 0.6589 0.6092 0.6847 0.4576 0.5831 0.6863 Q1-2011 0.5253 0.4977 0.5564 0.6377 0.6314 0.5825 0.6565 0.4350 0.5544 0.6627 Q2-2011 0.4926 0.4659 0.5177 0.5977 0.5966 0.5515 0.6164 0.4093 0.5216 0.6242 Q3-2011 0.4980 0.4608 0.5177 0.6018 0.6002 0.5537 0.6202 0.4091 0.5213 0.6268 Q4-2011 0.4988 0.4601 0.5177 0.6047 0.6061 0.5529 0.6202 0.4118 0.5248 0.6312 88 Tỷ trọng xuất nhập khẩu Đơn vị tính:Triệu USD Quý Japan Sing China Korea US Thai AUS HK Ger Malaysia Q1-1999 0.22704 0.1811 0.09544 0.12545 0.0585 0.0672 0.066 0.05665 0.0833 0.039008 Q2-1999 0.22571 0.2044 0.1069 0.13591 0.04985 0.0637 0.064 0.0529 0.05779 0.038618 Q3-1999 0.24199 0.1843 0.09723 0.12063 0.05216 0.0591 0.077 0.05157 0.07601 0.039582 Q4-1999 0.24966 0.1971 0.09678 0.1231 0.06815 0.0562 0.077 0.04719 0.04589 0.039283 Q1-2000 0.26076 0.1685 0.11411 0.10581 0.05817 0.0633 0.083 0.04511 0.06471 0.036804 Q2-2000 0.25053 0.1823 0.12039 0.11525 0.05744 0.0558 0.075 0.04956 0.05037 0.042964 Q3-2000 0.23543 0.1709 0.18246 0.09613 0.05132 0.0553 0.075 0.04054 0.04916 0.043399 Q4-2000 0.23006 0.1894 0.15569 0.1043 0.05286 0.0616 0.079 0.04738 0.04317 0.036566 Q1-2001 0.21912 0.179 0.14364 0.10999 0.05307 0.0618 0.086 0.04382 0.06162 0.042164 Q2-2001 0.23191 0.1738 0.16508 0.11469 0.07443 0.0576 0.065 0.03744 0.04486 0.03523 Q3-2001 0.24204 0.1679 0.15736 0.10689 0.07762 0.0516 0.053 0.04597 0.06126 0.0363 Q4-2001 0.2349 0.1768 0.13167 0.12207 0.08573 0.0502 0.057 0.04219 0.05431 0.045279 Q1-2002 0.22123 0.1716 0.12897 0.11654 0.08316 0.053 0.061 0.04913 0.06636 0.048757 Q2-2002 0.20079 0.1691 0.14926 0.118 0.1064 0.0493 0.063 0.04419 0.04851 0.051599 Q3-2002 0.2004 0.1343 0.15339 0.11177 0.14053 0.0507 0.068 0.04959 0.0534 0.037643 Q4-2002 0.20429 0.1196 0.17076 0.11231 0.13984 0.0454 0.073 0.04776 0.04972 0.036841 Q1-2003 0.19589 0.1296 0.15415 0.10274 0.15549 0.0507 0.067 0.04513 0.05469 0.044256 Q2-2003 0.19022 0.122 0.16227 0.1034 0.18676 0.0528 0.048 0.04744 0.04716 0.039519 Q3-2003 0.18336 0.1198 0.16359 0.09674 0.20156 0.0519 0.055 0.03906 0.04457 0.044579 Q4-2003 0.2027 0.1398 0.1762 0.10566 0.11996 0.0561 0.054 0.04666 0.04708 0.052089 Q1-2004 0.19241 0.1362 0.17885 0.09774 0.15075 0.0598 0.053 0.03883 0.05117 0.041762 Q2-2004 0.17358 0.1186 0.2077 0.10752 0.14609 0.0603 0.051 0.04268 0.03934 0.053439 Q3-2004 0.16956 0.1282 0.16987 0.0958 0.18855 0.0583 0.061 0.03325 0.05022 0.044768 Q4-2004 0.18363 0.1329 0.20077 0.1003 0.1346 0.0615 0.069 0.03366 0.03801 0.045801 Q1-2005 0.18479 0.1235 0.19056 0.08942 0.14559 0.0667 0.078 0.03537 0.04232 0.044018 Q2-2005 0.17853 0.1461 0.20029 0.09604 0.13575 0.06 0.064 0.0353 0.03822 0.045787 Q3-2005 0.17789 0.1334 0.18929 0.08859 0.14917 0.0787 0.067 0.03222 0.03645 0.047363 Q4-2005 0.17504 0.1394 0.19548 0.08808 0.14588 0.0687 0.066 0.03251 0.03261 0.055884 Q1-2006 0.17396 0.15 0.17946 0.0767 0.14567 0.0721 0.073 0.03135 0.04611 0.05125 Q2-2006 0.17272 0.1568 0.17947 0.08479 0.14925 0.0646 0.077 0.03234 0.03354 0.049903 Q3-2006 0.16322 0.1328 0.17347 0.08294 0.15767 0.0674 0.105 0.03051 0.04126 0.045648 Q4-2006 0.17599 0.1199 0.20011 0.08216 0.15478 0.0697 0.076 0.03618 0.04247 0.042503 Q1-2007 0.16068 0.1371 0.1963 0.0874 0.15471 0.0624 0.067 0.03264 0.0601 0.04145 Q2-2007 0.14892 0.1441 0.23269 0.08943 0.15255 0.0608 0.051 0.03362 0.03549 0.051412 Q3-2007 0.1659 0.1256 0.20419 0.08631 0.16845 0.0619 0.055 0.03565 0.04157 0.055177 Q4-2007 0.16798 0.1164 0.22313 0.08402 0.1465 0.0653 0.079 0.03154 0.03398 0.052092 Q1-2008 0.16755 0.1287 0.22168 0.09406 0.13926 0.0661 0.064 0.03008 0.04196 0.046121 Q2-2008 0.1667 0.1384 0.21675 0.09921 0.13566 0.0619 0.06 0.0347 0.03172 0.055043 Q3-2008 0.18075 0.126 0.19385 0.08914 0.15641 0.071 0.063 0.03715 0.03676 0.045791 Q4-2008 0.19841 0.1054 0.20771 0.08474 0.17567 0.0608 0.043 0.04519 0.03787 0.041341 89 Q1-2009 0.1698 0.0789 0.23012 0.10829 0.19151 0.059 0.041 0.02095 0.04625 0.05393 Q2-2009 0.15394 0.0802 0.24643 0.11249 0.17384 0.0722 0.044 0.02121 0.03875 0.056736 Q3-2009 0.16499 0.0765 0.26031 0.10649 0.17366 0.0716 0.039 0.0214 0.04023 0.04619 Q4-2009 0.17017 0.0695 0.27649 0.10664 0.15625 0.0716 0.037 0.02484 0.04202 0.045932 Q1-2010 0.15759 0.102 0.24285 0.07665 0.16326 0.0704 0.042 0.05724 0.04997 0.038173 Q2-2010 0.13989 0.0939 0.27801 0.0828 0.15776 0.0635 0.042 0.05812 0.04274 0.041762 Q3-2010 0.14634 0.0784 0.28039 0.08378 0.17456 0.069 0.035 0.05536 0.0408 0.036339 Q4-2010 0.15278 0.0858 0.27029 0.08724 0.16331 0.0685 0.039 0.04938 0.04368 0.040416 Q1-2011 0.15494 0.073 0.26003 0.1457 0.16354 0.0506 0.036 0.02282 0.03908 0.054427 Q2-2011 0.14921 0.0749 0.26162 0.12814 0.16305 0.0762 0.034 0.02129 0.04252 0.049343 Q3-2011 0.16423 0.0553 0.26205 0.12825 0.16411 0.0682 0.045 0.02228 0.04345 0.047638 Q4-2011 0.16541 0.0602 0.28509 0.13673 0.15467 0.0502 0.026 0.02818 0.04155 0.051879 90 Tỷ giá điều chỉnh theo năm gốc Japan Sing China Korea US Thailand Australia Hongkong Germany Malaysia Năm gốc 115.47 8025.63 1678.99 11.33 13902.00 369.30 8748.51 1794.04 14933.53 3658.42 Q1-1999 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Q2-1999 1.00 1.02 1.00 1.06 1.002 1.02 1.05 1.00 0.96 1.00 Q3-1999 1.13 1.02 1.01 1.02 1.007 0.92 1.05 1.00 1.00 1.01 Q4-1999 1.19 1.05 1.01 1.09 1.009 1.01 1.05 1.01 0.94 1.01 Q1-2000 1.15 1.02 1.01 1.12 1.012 1.01 0.97 1.01 0.90 1.01 Q2-2000 1.16 1.01 1.01 1.11 1.013 0.97 0.96 1.01 0.90 1.01 Q3-2000 1.14 1.02 1.02 1.13 1.023 0.91 0.88 1.02 0.83 1.02 Q4-2000 1.09 1.04 1.04 1.01 1.044 0.91 0.92 1.04 0.90 1.04 Q1-2001 1.01 1.01 1.05 0.97 1.046 0.88 0.81 1.04 0.86 1.05 Q2-2001 1.04 1.02 1.07 1.01 1.068 0.89 0.86 1.06 0.84 1.07 Q3-2001 1.09 1.06 1.08 1.01 1.079 0.92 0.84 1.07 0.92 1.08 Q4-2001 0.99 1.02 1.09 1.01 1.085 0.92 0.88 1.08 0.89 1.09 Q1-2002 0.99 1.03 1.10 1.02 1.097 0.95 0.93 1.09 0.89 1.10 Q2-2002 1.11 1.08 1.10 1.13 1.102 1.00 0.99 1.10 1.02 1.10 Q3-2002 1.09 1.08 1.10 1.10 1.104 0.96 0.95 1.10 1.01 1.10 Q4-2002 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.15 1.108 0.97 1.00 1.10 1.08 1.11 Q1-2003 1.11 1.09 1.11 1.09 1.111 0.98 1.07 1.10 1.13 1.11 Q2-2003 1.12 1.10 1.12 1.15 1.115 1.00 1.18 1.11 1.19 1.11 Q3-2003 1.21 1.12 1.12 1.19 1.119 1.05 1.21 1.12 1.21 1.12 Q4-2003 1.27 1.15 1.13 1.16 1.125 1.07 1.34 1.12 1.32 1.13 Q1-2004 1.31 1.17 1.13 1.21 1.131 1.08 1.36 1.12 1.29 1.13 Q2-2004 1.26 1.14 1.13 1.20 1.131 1.04 1.24 1.12 1.28 1.13 Q3-2004 1.23 1.16 1.13 1.21 1.133 1.03 1.29 1.13 1.31 1.13 Q4-2004 1.31 1.20 1.14 1.35 1.135 1.09 1.40 1.13 1.44 1.13 Q1-2005 1.28 1.20 1.14 1.38 1.138 1.10 1.40 1.13 1.37 1.14 Q2-2005 1.24 1.17 1.14 1.36 1.141 1.04 1.38 1.14 1.28 1.14 Q3-2005 1.22 1.17 1.17 1.35 1.143 1.05 1.38 1.14 1.28 1.15 Q4-2005 1.17 1.19 1.17 1.39 1.145 1.05 1.33 1.14 1.26 1.15 Q1-2006 1.17 1.23 1.18 1.45 1.146 1.11 1.30 1.14 1.29 1.18 Q2-2006 1.21 1.25 1.19 1.47 1.151 1.13 1.36 1.15 1.36 1.19 Q3-2006 1.18 1.26 1.21 1.50 1.155 1.16 1.37 1.15 1.36 1.19 Q4-2006 1.17 1.30 1.22 1.52 1.155 1.21 1.45 1.15 1.42 1.24 Q1-2007 1.18 1.32 1.23 1.50 1.153 1.24 1.48 1.14 1.43 1.27 Q2-2007 1.13 1.31 1.26 1.54 1.160 1.27 1.56 1.15 1.46 1.28 Q3-2007 1.21 1.35 1.28 1.55 1.158 1.27 1.62 1.16 1.53 1.29 Q4-2007 1.22 1.39 1.31 1.52 1.159 1.29 1.62 1.15 1.59 1.33 Q1-2008 1.38 1.44 1.35 1.42 1.148 1.37 1.67 1.14 1.69 1.37 Q2-2008 1.34 1.51 1.43 1.39 1.188 1.34 1.82 1.18 1.74 1.38 Q3-2008 1.37 1.44 1.44 1.21 1.188 1.32 1.51 1.19 1.58 1.31 91 Q4-2008 1.62 1.47 1.48 1.19 1.221 1.32 1.34 1.22 1.58 1.34 Q1-2009 1.50 1.39 1.48 1.08 1.220 1.29 1.33 1.22 1.51 1.27 Q2-2009 1.53 1.46 1.48 1.17 1.219 1.35 1.57 1.22 1.60 1.32 Q3-2009 1.64 1.50 1.48 1.27 1.222 1.37 1.71 1.22 1.67 1.34 Q4-2009 1.69 1.59 1.56 1.36 1.291 1.46 1.84 1.29 1.73 1.43 Q1-2010 1.72 1.65 1.62 1.45 1.334 1.55 1.94 1.33 1.67 1.55 Q2-2010 1.81 1.65 1.63 1.35 1.334 1.55 1.81 1.33 1.52 1.56 Q3-2010 1.97 1.79 1.68 1.47 1.362 1.69 2.09 1.36 1.73 1.68 Q4-2010 2.01 1.83 1.70 1.47 1.362 1.70 2.20 1.36 1.69 1.68 Q1-2011 2.16 2.04 1.88 1.67 1.49 1.85 2.45 1.48 2.06 1.87 Q2-2011 2.21 2.09 1.90 1.70 1.48 1.82 2.53 1.48 2.00 1.87 Q3-2011 2.33 1.98 1.93 1.55 1.48 1.79 2.31 1.48 1.87 1.77 Q4-2011 2.32 2.00 1.97 1.60 1.50 1.78 2.42 1.50 1.80 1.79 92 kết quả NEER (NEER tính theo mốc 100%) Quý Japan Sing China Korea US Thailand AUS HK Germany Malaysia NEER Q1-1999 0.2270 0.1811 0.0954 0.1254 0.0585 0.0672 0.0663 0.0566 0.0833 0.0390 100.0000 Q2-1999 0.2249 0.2085 0.1071 0.1444 0.0500 0.0652 0.0675 0.0530 0.0557 0.0387 101.4895 Q3-1999 0.2745 0.1887 0.0979 0.1225 0.0525 0.0547 0.0810 0.0518 0.0760 0.0398 103.9252 Q4-1999 0.2968 0.2068 0.0977 0.1339 0.0688 0.0570 0.0803 0.0475 0.0433 0.0396 107.1689 Q1-2000 0.3000 0.1718 0.1154 0.1187 0.0588 0.0638 0.0805 0.0454 0.0582 0.0372 104.9910 Q2-2000 0.2900 0.1850 0.1220 0.1285 0.0582 0.0544 0.0727 0.0499 0.0454 0.0435 104.9554 Q3-2000 0.2687 0.1739 0.1866 0.1082 0.0525 0.0504 0.0666 0.0412 0.0410 0.0444 103.3366 Q4-2000 0.2517 0.1979 0.1626 0.1057 0.0552 0.0560 0.0725 0.0492 0.0390 0.0382 102.7874 Q1-2001 0.2215 0.1802 0.1503 0.1064 0.0555 0.0544 0.0697 0.0456 0.0530 0.0441 98.0711 Q2-2001 0.2404 0.1765 0.1763 0.1158 0.0795 0.0512 0.0560 0.0397 0.0378 0.0376 101.0888 Q3-2001 0.2636 0.1779 0.1699 0.1081 0.0838 0.0472 0.0448 0.0493 0.0562 0.0392 103.9874 Q4-2001 0.2328 0.1796 0.1429 0.1237 0.0930 0.0464 0.0500 0.0455 0.0483 0.0491 101.1403 Q1-2002 0.2194 0.1770 0.1415 0.1183 0.0912 0.0504 0.0567 0.0535 0.0591 0.0535 102.0629 Q2-2002 0.2230 0.1829 0.1645 0.1328 0.1173 0.0492 0.0622 0.0484 0.0496 0.0569 108.6955 Q3-2002 0.2191 0.1445 0.1694 0.1233 0.1551 0.0487 0.0650 0.0544 0.0541 0.0416 107.5257 Q4-2002 0.2273 0.1322 0.1893 0.1287 0.1549 0.0439 0.0732 0.0526 0.0538 0.0408 109.6709 Q1-2003 0.2181 0.1412 0.1713 0.1116 0.1727 0.0495 0.0717 0.0498 0.0616 0.0492 109.6764 Q2-2003 0.2130 0.1341 0.1810 0.1186 0.2082 0.0528 0.0573 0.0526 0.0559 0.0441 111.7505 Q3-2003 0.2222 0.1344 0.1831 0.1155 0.2256 0.0547 0.0663 0.0437 0.0541 0.0499 114.9477 Q4-2003 0.2565 0.1603 0.1984 0.1223 0.1350 0.0601 0.0720 0.0524 0.0623 0.0586 117.7892 Q1-2004 0.2512 0.1589 0.2024 0.1183 0.1705 0.0646 0.0717 0.0437 0.0659 0.0472 119.4306 Q2-2004 0.2181 0.1353 0.2350 0.1291 0.1652 0.0628 0.0629 0.0480 0.0503 0.0604 116.7201 Q3-2004 0.2084 0.1488 0.1926 0.1157 0.2137 0.0600 0.0791 0.0374 0.0657 0.0507 117.2278 Q4-2004 0.2410 0.1599 0.2279 0.1349 0.1528 0.0673 0.0967 0.0381 0.0547 0.0520 122.5232 Q1-2005 0.2359 0.1476 0.2170 0.1230 0.1657 0.0730 0.1086 0.0400 0.0581 0.0501 121.8967 Q2-2005 0.2221 0.1715 0.2286 0.1311 0.1548 0.0624 0.0886 0.0401 0.0491 0.0522 120.0491 Q3-2005 0.2164 0.1564 0.2215 0.1194 0.1706 0.0827 0.0926 0.0368 0.0467 0.0546 119.7632 Q4-2005 0.2045 0.1661 0.2296 0.1223 0.1670 0.0721 0.0887 0.0372 0.0410 0.0643 119.2937 Q1-2006 0.2044 0.1839 0.2123 0.1110 0.1669 0.0802 0.0956 0.0359 0.0595 0.0605 121.0275 Q2-2006 0.2082 0.1966 0.2138 0.1247 0.1717 0.0732 0.1042 0.0371 0.0457 0.0594 123.4568 Q3-2006 0.1927 0.1674 0.2097 0.1242 0.1821 0.0782 0.1443 0.0351 0.0562 0.0544 124.4100 Q4-2006 0.2057 0.1564 0.2450 0.1252 0.1787 0.0841 0.1107 0.0416 0.0601 0.0528 126.0384 Q1-2007 0.1895 0.1804 0.2422 0.1314 0.1783 0.0774 0.0994 0.0373 0.0859 0.0525 127.4430 Q2-2007 0.1688 0.1889 0.2935 0.1373 0.1769 0.0770 0.0797 0.0387 0.0518 0.0656 127.8135 Q3-2007 0.2011 0.1690 0.2608 0.1341 0.1951 0.0785 0.0898 0.0412 0.0636 0.0711 130.4313 Q4-2007 0.2056 0.1621 0.2932 0.1277 0.1698 0.0845 0.1284 0.0363 0.0540 0.0694 133.1002 Q1-2008 0.2314 0.1855 0.3002 0.1338 0.1599 0.0908 0.1080 0.0344 0.0709 0.0631 137.7918 Q2-2008 0.2241 0.2091 0.3108 0.1382 0.1611 0.0827 0.1089 0.0410 0.0553 0.0761 140.7269 Q3-2008 0.2479 0.1812 0.2797 0.1077 0.1858 0.0934 0.0954 0.0440 0.0582 0.0598 135.2957 Q4-2008 0.3215 0.1549 0.3073 0.1008 0.2145 0.0800 0.0577 0.0552 0.0599 0.0554 140.7213 93 Q1-2009 0.2542 0.1097 0.3399 0.1171 0.2336 0.0764 0.0549 0.0255 0.0699 0.0685 134.9683 Q2-2009 0.2356 0.1169 0.3642 0.1321 0.2120 0.0975 0.0695 0.0259 0.0622 0.0746 139.0455 Q3-2009 0.2705 0.1145 0.3858 0.1356 0.2122 0.0983 0.0661 0.0261 0.0670 0.0617 143.7790 Q4-2009 0.2872 0.1107 0.4327 0.1450 0.2016 0.1044 0.0673 0.0320 0.0727 0.0658 151.9431 Q1-2010 0.2714 0.1681 0.3929 0.1109 0.2178 0.1094 0.0811 0.0762 0.0836 0.0591 157.0589 Q2-2010 0.2536 0.1548 0.4522 0.1120 0.2104 0.0984 0.0752 0.0772 0.0651 0.0650 156.3698 Q3-2010 0.2877 0.1404 0.4718 0.1228 0.2377 0.1164 0.0733 0.0753 0.0706 0.0609 165.6925 Q4-2010 0.3076 0.1571 0.4602 0.1285 0.2224 0.1164 0.0850 0.0670 0.0740 0.0678 168.6032 Q1-2011 0.3342 0.1493 0.4890 0.2428 0.2435 0.0936 0.0878 0.0338 0.0805 0.1018 1.8563 Q2-2011 0.3301 0.1565 0.4964 0.2184 0.2418 0.1384 0.0853 0.0314 0.0849 0.0921 1.8753 Q3-2011 0.3829 0.1092 0.5066 0.1982 0.2435 0.1223 0.1026 0.0329 0.0810 0.0842 1.8634 Q4-2011 0.3839 0.1200 0.5613 0.2182 0.2317 0.0894 0.0631 0.0421 0.0750 0.0930 1.8777 Nguồn: IFS và tính toán tác giả 94 Kết quả REER, RER (kết quả theo mốc 100%) Quý Japan Sing China Korea US Thailan AUS HK Ger Malay REER RER Q1-1999 0.2270 0.181 1 0.0954 0.1254 0.0585 0.0672 0.0663 0.056 6 0.083 3 0.0390 1.0000 1 Q2-1999 0.2276 0.210 7 0.1075 0.1459 0.0509 0.0653 0.0684 0.052 9 0.056 5 0.0391 1.0250 1.02090 3 Q3-1999 0.2804 0.193 4 0.0992 0.1253 0.0545 0.0556 0.0838 0.051 2 0.078 0 0.0408 1.0623 1.04459 9 Q4-1999 0.3068 0.214 5 0.0999 0.1402 0.0727 0.0589 0.0846 0.047 3 0.045 2 0.0413 1.1113 1.06600 3 Q1-2000 0.3035 0.176 7 0.1163 0.1227 0.0618 0.0655 0.0842 0.043 9 0.060 1 0.0385 1.0732 1.06260 5 Q2-2000 0.2986 0.193 1 0.1248 0.1351 0.0627 0.0567 0.0778 0.048 8 0.047 9 0.0457 1.0913 1.09238 6 Q3-2000 0.2792 0.185 1 0.1932 0.1166 0.0577 0.0535 0.0748 0.040 5 0.043 9 0.0472 1.0917 1.12375 5 Q4-2000 0.2595 0.210 3 0.1675 0.1139 0.0606 0.0592 0.0812 0.048 0 0.041 7 0.0406 1.0824 1.14615 8 Q1-2001 0.2261 0.191 2 0.1541 0.1159 0.0611 0.0574 0.0783 0.043 8 0.056 2 0.0470 1.0312 1.15219 3 Q2-2001 0.2475 0.188 9 0.1833 0.1290 0.0893 0.0552 0.0640 0.038 6 0.041 0 0.0405 1.0773 1.1999 Q3-2001 0.2709 0.190 4 0.1770 0.1211 0.0943 0.0508 0.0514 0.047 8 0.061 1 0.0421 1.1071 1.21494 7 Q4-2001 0.2369 0.190 1 0.1480 0.1375 0.1038 0.0494 0.0576 0.043 4 0.052 3 0.0528 1.0717 1.21059 2 Q1-2002 0.2153 0.181 5 0.1421 0.1289 0.0992 0.0522 0.0640 0.048 9 0.062 5 0.0563 1.0508 1.19273 7 Q2-2002 0.2188 0.187 4 0.1640 0.1460 0.1283 0.0512 0.0704 0.043 8 0.052 6 0.0599 1.1224 1.20587 2 Q3-2002 0.2142 0.147 8 0.1682 0.1359 0.1701 0.0504 0.0739 0.048 8 0.057 4 0.0437 1.1104 1.21059 6 Q4-2002 0.2203 0.134 2 0.1861 0.1414 0.1691 0.0454 0.0832 0.046 6 0.056 8 0.0427 1.1258 1.20946 2 Q1-2003 0.2055 0.140 4 0.1647 0.1219 0.1859 0.0503 0.0806 0.042 9 0.064 2 0.0505 1.1068 1.19586 Q2-2003 0.2013 0.132 9 0.1740 0.1300 0.2246 0.0538 0.0642 0.044 8 0.058 3 0.0452 1.1293 1.20266 9 Q3-2003 0.2107 0.134 3 0.1774 0.1277 0.2459 0.0562 0.0752 0.036 8 0.056 9 0.0516 1.1727 1.21981 7 Q4-2003 0.2415 0.159 0.1924 0.1357 0.1464 0.0616 0.0816 0.044 0.065 0.0603 1.1888 1.22024 95 6 2 6 6 Q1-2004 0.2267 0.153 3 0.1898 0.1279 0.1791 0.0642 0.0787 0.035 4 0.066 9 0.0469 1.1689 1.18822 3 Q2-2004 0.1918 0.127 5 0.2166 0.1367 0.1711 0.0614 0.0675 0.037 8 0.050 2 0.0586 1.1191 1.17145 9 Q3-2004 0.1800 0.138 1 0.1766 0.1216 0.2181 0.0580 0.0837 0.028 9 0.064 4 0.0485 1.1181 1.15670 7 Q4-2004 0.2076 0.147 2 0.2091 0.1408 0.1557 0.0647 0.1023 0.029 4 0.053 5 0.0498 1.1601 1.15688 7 Q1-2005 0.1953 0.130 9 0.1940 0.1259 0.1645 0.0684 0.1119 0.029 9 0.055 1 0.0467 1.1226 1.12987 1 Q2-2005 0.1806 0.149 6 0.2013 0.1322 0.1528 0.0586 0.0901 0.029 5 0.046 0 0.0482 1.0888 1.12556 2 Q3-2005 0.1733 0.135 6 0.1931 0.1195 0.1681 0.0786 0.0938 0.026 8 0.043 4 0.0502 1.0823 1.12664 4 Q4-2005 0.1612 0.142 5 0.1977 0.1205 0.1628 0.0678 0.0890 0.026 8 0.037 6 0.0587 1.0644 1.11587 1 Q1-2006 0.1560 0.152 7 0.1778 0.1070 0.1586 0.0733 0.0938 0.025 1 0.053 0 0.0541 1.0514 1.08847 8 Q2-2006 0.1578 0.161 6 0.1777 0.1198 0.1641 0.0679 0.1026 0.025 9 0.040 7 0.0531 1.0713 1.09971 Q3-2006 0.1448 0.136 4 0.1728 0.1189 0.1730 0.0718 0.1418 0.024 3 0.049 5 0.0483 1.0815 1.09708 Q4-2006 0.1524 0.126 5 0.2006 0.1181 0.1664 0.0764 0.1073 0.028 7 0.052 3 0.0465 1.0753 1.07519 8 Q1-2007 0.1357 0.141 3 0.1939 0.1214 0.1629 0.0680 0.0937 0.024 9 0.072 7 0.0452 1.0598 1.05281 6 Q2-2007 0.1191 0.146 0 0.2327 0.1259 0.1617 0.0677 0.0747 0.025 5 0.043 4 0.0555 1.0522 1.05999 4 Q3-2007 0.1390 0.130 4 0.2052 0.1209 0.1747 0.0675 0.0828 0.026 8 0.052 2 0.0592 1.0586 1.03739 6 Q4-2007 0.1384 0.123 4 0.2275 0.1124 0.1486 0.0715 0.1159 0.023 4 0.043 4 0.0564 1.0609 1.01404 4 Q1-2008 0.1436 0.133 1 0.2194 0.1102 0.1306 0.0721 0.0912 0.020 6 0.053 1 0.0479 1.0218 0.93779 6 Q2-2008 0.1288 0.139 5 0.2125 0.1066 0.1235 0.0628 0.0856 0.022 9 0.038 5 0.0542 0.9748 0.91003 2 Q3-2008 0.1370 0.116 5 0.1845 0.0802 0.1372 0.0674 0.0722 0.023 4 0.038 6 0.0422 0.8994 0.87709 6 Q4-2008 0.1769 0.100 5 0.2045 0.0751 0.1543 0.0560 0.0437 0.029 4 0.039 7 0.0386 0.9187 0.87840 4 Q1-2009 0.1364 0.069 0.2231 0.0868 0.1651 0.0523 0.0411 0.013 0.045 0.0467 0.8804 0.86193 96 9 5 5 6 Q2-2009 0.1256 0.073 3 0.2366 0.0982 0.1504 0.0674 0.0519 0.013 5 0.040 5 0.0505 0.9080 0.86542 9 Q3-2009 0.1427 0.071 9 0.2478 0.1005 0.1505 0.0678 0.0495 0.013 5 0.043 3 0.0416 0.9290 0.86662 9 Q4-2009 0.1480 0.068 4 0.2734 0.1058 0.1407 0.0712 0.0497 0.016 6 0.046 2 0.0438 0.9638 0.90030 2 Q1-2010 0.1343 0.100 5 0.2399 0.0787 0.1466 0.0724 0.0582 0.038 2 0.051 4 0.0380 0.9581 0.89769 9 Q2-2010 0.1236 0.092 3 0.2738 0.0788 0.1401 0.0647 0.0534 0.038 3 0.039 7 0.0412 0.9459 0.88826 6 Q3-2010 0.1390 0.083 9 0.2857 0.0863 0.1570 0.0764 0.0520 0.036 3 0.042 6 0.0385 0.9976 0.89970 9 Q4-2010 0.1679 0.082 7 0.2712 0.0857 0.1465 0.0709 0.0582 0.030 7 0.043 1 0.0466 1.0035 0.89732 6 Q1-2011 0.1755 0.074 3 0.2721 0.1548 0.1538 0.0545 0.0576 0.014 7 0.044 6 0.0675 1.0694 0.94035 8 Q2-2011 0.1626 0.072 9 0.2570 0.1305 0.1443 0.0763 0.0526 0.012 9 0.044 3 0.0575 1.0108 0.88479 1 Q3-2011 0.1907 0.050 3 0.2623 0.1193 0.1462 0.0677 0.0637 0.013 4 0.042 2 0.0528 1.0085 0.89065 7 Q4-2011 0.1915 0.055 2 0.2906 0.1319 0.1404 0.0494 0.0391 0.017 4 0.039 4 0.0587 1.0136 0.90802 5 Nguồn: IFS và Tính toán của tác giả.