Luận án Tác động của chính sách tỷ giá đến thu hút vốn đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài ở Việt Nam

Đối với sự thay đổi của hệ số can thiệp: Ngân hàng Nhà nước Việt Nam can thiệp vào thị trường thông qua mua (bán) ngoại tệ với các chủ thể khác đồng thời đảm bảo sự ổn định trong cung tiền sao cho hệ số can thiệp tăng sẽ ảnh hưởng tích cực đến FDI. Hệ số hồi quy có ý nghĩa về mặt thống kê, do đó có thể kết luận khi hệ số can thiệp tăng 1 đơn vị sẽ tác động làm tăng quy mô thu hút FDI lên 49,166%.

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E . / 8 9 . : - . @ A . / U + Z . U E m . / 8 9 . : - . D E 8 H C ; ) Y + U E L . E U + Z ; n < o ; B ) j k p & j k U q 8 K r s t . / 8 9 . : - ; < = > ) ? . / @ A . / : L . / 0 u v 8 H w` ) W . E , - x y z { | { } } } | ~  1 €  € € ‚ ƒ ; B ' > } z < N ; B ‚ } ; „ M { } } } h † s s † 1 \ ‡ \ \ D E ˆ . E U E P D U E G^ / + G U E W i j * . / : L . / @ A . / : + ‰ D q 8 - D E Š = < ‹ d < j Œ ; B < b ‰ 8  Ž 3 . E A^ 7 p )  p < B b R^ ,  ‘ + ’ . U E “ . / / + Š G U E W i j * . / : L . / : L U E W i j * . / . / F ” + U ‰ 0 † s s  ~ = > ) W . E D E + U + w` p N p ) b Z 8 J + ‰ . V U E c U 7 D D T l l E • l : L / + I + E ” . U _ ” . / U E K + : L . / D c G 2 3 2 4 : L 6 F G . E . / E + ‰ l J + . E 6 F G . E : L . / U _ ’ . U L + J E F R . – ; j I D . / F L + 0 u v 8 H w` ) W . E , - z | { } } — | ~  1 \ ‡ \ \ . / L H   ˜  ˜ † s s  ™ † s s š 1 3 E ˆ . E l E c ) › p <  ; < < P D D T^ : L D E T^ 6 P U E F ”` ) ? . / D c G D K D , L . : L . / V E F ”` ) ? . / J + . E 6 F G . E : L . / U _ ’ . U L + J E F R . – ; j I D . / F L + u 2 E “ . / @ K F , - r  š ˜ 2 œ 1 [  3  ™ † s  s 1 2 ž † š ˜  s ˜ † s  s V 2 3 2 4 D E Ÿ ) j k p O < O < = > ) ? . / : - . @ A . / : L . / U E “ . / q 8 G l E K U E L . E / + T H U * D ¡ / + K V U E G H : m E m . E U E P D l E K U E L . E , Y U + w U J + ‰ M & ' ; B i j I p ) ‹ h € B ] ' b i d ƒ ; B ¢ ; < ' ; B £ ¤ D E Ÿ ) j k D l E • l D E F J E K D E E L . / : G H : - . @ A ; B & ' ; B ) C , R . S 8 T U u D E w U K D ™ : L J + . E 6 F G . E : L . / U _ G . / , P D 0 [ + ‰ p p < ] & d > ) C , R . S 8 T U : L J + . E 6 F G . E : L . / +^ w . / E F L . U F L . @ W D T M h e i j I p ) ‹ ƒ ; B ¢ ; < ' ; B ) j k D l E • l D E 8 H C . r s t , - : L . / . L H U E L . E U + Z ; ) C @ Y , 8 . / : L F . / 8 9 . : - ; p < ] & d > ; < j ; B i j I D U m . E E m . E U E W i j * ; B & ' ; B p „ ; B < ¥ ; B €  € € ¦ = > ) W ; < e f e g n < o ; B ) j k D l E • l D E 8 H C . , - : - ; < = > ) ? . / @ A . / : L . / U E L . E [ \ 4 : L D K D E m . E U E P D @ A . / U + Z ; n < N p ) C n b ; < § ] d ; < e < o ; B j † † ˜ † s  s ˜ 2 2 1 \ ‡ \ \ : Z q 8 R ; © ª < = > ) ? . / : L D E F : G H @ A ; B & ' ; B ) - + : I + D K D 2 3 2 4 ™ 0 1 \ / L H s š ˜   V \ ‡ \ \ U 8 H ’ . @ - , ¤ D E F . E « l : L . / . E A^ @ m . E Y . U E W i j * ; B & ' ; B p ¬ ; B ; < j < W i j * . / . / F ” + U ‰ U  6 F 0 1 3 T l U E ’^ q 8 F U G . E « l : L . / D E F D K D 4 \ J + . E 6 F G . E : L . / @ ” p ) C / + R^ @ I` p „ ; B < ¥ . / D 8 . / D Q 8 ‘ L^ / + R^ D E ’ . E ‘ ‰ D E / + Š d B b N & ' ; B i ] ; B ; j I p & ' ; j I D . / F L + V : - ; § ­ © ' M ? U . E ® . U - < j * . / / ® H @ T U Y . U _ ’ . U E W i j * . / . / F ” + U ‰ U  6 F 0 † s   1  N ; < < = w , 8 T` ‚ }¯ ) - + : I + E F ”` ) ? . / S 8 T U J E ° 8 : L . / J C U ž . / L H  ˜  ˜ † s   † s  † 1  Y + I b p „ ; ± R . : Z E F ”` ) ? . / q 8 R . ‘ ² J + . E 6 F G . E : L : L . / + w . / V U E - . / . E T U q 8 H : Z \ ‡ \ \ 1 © ' p Œ ¦ = d ; < d > X^ U 3 E ˆ . E l E c U E - . / . E T U q 8 R . ‘ ² D K D E F ”` ) ? . / J + . E 6 F G . E : L . / 0 ‡ F ”` ) ? . / 8 G V @ K . : L . / + w . / D c G D K U Y D E P D D K . E ® . D E Ÿ ) j k D U E  D E + ‰ . U ” + D K D U Y D E P D U ˆ . 6 7 . / : L 6 F G . E . / E + ‰ O ) j k D \ ‡ \ \ D T l l E • l J + . E 6 F G . E 8^ G @ K . : L . / + w . / 0 1 \ ‡ \ \ U ž ; B ± j I D E F L . U E + ‰ ; p Œ £ – O < N O © ª ) C q 8 R . ‘ ² U E W i j * . / : L . / u \ / E W ) W ; < { y | { } ‚ { | €  1 3  . / L H                              ! "  # $ % ' ( ) * + , - ' ( . / 0 1   # 0 2 3 0 4 . 5 6 . / 0 1 . / " 7 ) * 8 - 9 : ; < < ; 9 = < 9 > ? @ ? A B A C ' D E     ! % + , - ' ( ) * F 8 ) * % + G H I , - ' J .   K 2 L M L L N     O 1 . 0 1 . / 0 1 P Q .  # 2 .  0 1 . / " R S . " 1 Q P  # T ) U + V ) * ' W X  Y  Z Y  # $ % ' ( ) * > [ + 8 ) W \ ? ' (  ] E 3 D . . ^ Y P  _ E 0 1 T` . a E  " 0 1 . /  Q b . / N L M L L P  c . /   Y Y  Z Y   # 5  " P d ' 4 e % W X . / . 1 # . ^ Y P  _ E 0 1 . / f  # $ % ' ( . / . ^ Y g^ E 5 J P Q h  # i "   j "   k N l  m  n o n n p n q n m     r , - ' J .  " s g t P b "  4 Q g 1 u  v i Y w ) * ' 4 Q 0 \ Q  i  " x   !  P Q .  " b  y . / E z . "  E . / # $ Q " t { "  | # ] E 3 b % ' J .  } = ; < ~ ~ ~ ; r  €   / {       ‚ ‚ ‚       r , - ' J .  " s g t P b "  4 Q g 1   v i Y w ) * ' 4 Q 0 \ Q  i  " x   !  P Q .  " b  y . / E z . "  E . / # $ Q " t { "  | # ] E 3 b % ' J .  ƒ < ; 9 = = < ; r  €   / 0 1 ] E 3 b % ' J .  4 < = „ ƒ ; 9 = = < ; r  € L M L L . / 1 3               r , - ' J .  " s g t P b "  4 Q g 1   v i Y w ) * ' 4 Q 0 \ Q  i  " x   !  P Q .  " b  y . / E z . "  E . / # $ Q " t { "  | # ] E 3 b % ' J .  ƒ < ; 9 = = 9 ; r  €   / . / 1 3  u  u           r , - ' J .  " s g t P b "  4 Q g 1  v i Y w ) * ' 4 Q 0 \ Q  i  " x   !  P Q .  " b  y . / E z . "  E . / # $ Q " t { "  | # ] E 3 b % ' J .         r  €   / . / 1 3          N      s g t † " R ‡ 5 ˆ " 5 E (  5 6 . / . / # $ Q " t ' 4 Q 0 \ Q  i   ‰  Š g 1 ‚ v " R S . " x . / 4 ‹ W % e D . / Œ Q Y  T Q † " R ‡ 5 ˆ " 5 E (  {  E 3 b % ' J .  O 4 Ž 9 : ƒ = ; r  € [  [ [ ) * 8 - =  % + @ ) * < < ) ‘ ’ 9 = = } “ + $ "   Y a E 4 ) * „ ” •  e D E   E 3 b % ' J .  4 9 ~ : < ; r  € L M L L ) * 8 - =  % + @ ) * < 9 ) ‘ ’ 9 = = } “    ‚  s g t † " R ‡ 5 ˆ " 5 E (  5 6 . / . / # $ Q " t ' 4 Q 0 \ Q  i   ‰  Š g 1  v " R S . " x . / 4 ‹ W % e D . / Œ Q Y  T Q † " R ‡ 5 ˆ " 5 E (  {  E 3 b % ' J .  4  „ ~ ; r  € L M L L ) * 8 - 9 – % + @ ) * = 9 ) ‘ ’ 9 = = ~ “      s g t † " R ‡ 5 ˆ " 5 E (  5 6 . / . / # $ Q " t ' 4 Q 0 \ Q  i   ‰  Š g 1  v " R S . " x . / 4 ‹ W % e D . / Œ Q Y  T Q † " R ‡ 5 ˆ " 5 E (  {  E 3 b % ' J .  4 Ž „ – ; r  € [  [ [ ) * 8 - < } % + @ ) * = < ) ‘ ’ 9 = < = “ — Q \ Q  $ . g ˜ Q E  " " Q D . / Œ Q ™ O Š  K 2  i  " x   !  " $ Q  i  " x   !  " š . w . / " 4 e ' › < ” % 7              € r , - ' J .    # 0 2 3 5 6 . / . / # $ Q " t  K 2 " x   !  " š . w ) * ' 4 Q 0 \ e U + @ ? + + 8 ) * • A + V ) * % W = „ ; 9 = < < ; A A € L M L L . / 1 3           € A ‘ ) * % s g t † " R ‡ 5 ˆ " 5 E (  5 6 . / . / # $ Q " t ' 4 Q 0 \ Q  i   ‰  Š { L M L L " Q b Y " w  5 2 .  1 .   E 3 b % ' J .  4  u    œ € L M L L . / 1 3  ‚          f I , - ' J .  / Q T   !  g ˜ Q E  % + , - ' ( . / 5 6 ) * ' V  › ž Ÿ P + V ) * I , @ 9 ” ; ) ‘ ’ • › ) + 8 ) + A + V ) * % W ¡ 4  ‚         € L M L L  € ¢ › ) + 8 ) + A + V ) * % W ¡ 4 £           € L M L L 0 D 0 Q t  ^ ¤ ' H 8 ) U e ) + % b f  x ) * ? V ) * % - ) + 8 ) W \  "  †   Q t ) ) * + ¥ › 0 w 5 i . . / # $ Q " t   #  x   !  " š . w ) * ' W X ? ¤ + ¦ ¤ F 8 ' W X  ] E 3 D .  E 2 g $ Q . / # $ Q " t " R # . / Y  $  0 Q 4 . / # $ Q " t ' § 5 i . " 7  x   !  " š . w ) * ' W X ? ¤ + ¦ ¤ ' h Y  w  0 w .  E ¨ E Œ w . / . / # $ Q " t  X Y Y  i Y N €  e D E   © ) + A + V ) * % W <  ) ª ) * + t 4 R K e « H ' 4 Q 0 \ Q  1 Q T .  y 5 6 . / . / # $ Q " t  K 2  ‰  Š " 7   v g S . u  v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