Luận án Thể chế, năng suất yếu tố tổng hợp và tăng trưởng kinh tế: nghiên cứu các quốc gia đang phát triển
Các nghiên cứu đã chỉ ra sự bất ổn chính trị hay những xung đột bạo lực đều gây ra
tác động tiêu cực cho tăng trưởng. Không một nhà đầu tư nào muốn hoạt động trong
môi trường chính trị bất ổn, khi mà không ai có thể chắc chắn rằng ngày mai họ còn
giữ được tài sản của mình hay không. Bạo lực và chiến tranh thì đương nhiên dẫn
tới suy giảm và còn gây khủng hoảng cho cả nền kinh tế, các quốc gia như Ai Cập,
Syria, Ukraina là những minh chứng rõ ràng nhất cho những ảnh hưởng này. Vì
vậy, trong xu thế của toàn thế giới, ổn định chính trị và duy trì hòa bình là mục tiêu
của tất cả các quốc gia. Các quốc gia cần hành động trên một mục tiêu chung để
hướng tới hòa bình, thịnh vượng bằng cách tránh đối đầu vũ trang, giải quyết các
bất đồng thông qua phương pháp đàm phán, đối thoại, tôn trọng chế độ chính trị của
nhau
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5759 -2.36 0.019 -.500938 -.045375
tfp
tfp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 15
F(8, 307) = 6.57 avg = 15.00
Number of instruments = 30 Obs per group: min = 15
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 21
Group variable: id Number of obs = 315
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
195
- Kết quả ước lượng mẫu 18 quốc gia thu nhập cao
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(17) = 9.06 Prob > chi2 = 0.938
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -1.44 Pr > z = 0.150
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.94 Pr > z = 0.003
L.open
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L3.ins3)
D.(L.tfp L2.ins1 L2.tinv L4.gexp L3.labo L.inf L2.tele L.fdi debt urb
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0596313 .1159423 -0.51 0.607 -.2880067 .1687441
inf -.4823063 .167428 -2.88 0.004 -.812095 -.1525176
open .0733769 .0783508 0.94 0.350 -.0809534 .2277071
labo .5190055 .493045 1.05 0.294 -.4521619 1.490173
gexp -1.357687 .2973089 -4.57 0.000 -1.943306 -.7720673
tinv -1.036493 .2495806 -4.15 0.000 -1.528101 -.5448858
ins1 14.63506 6.456766 2.27 0.024 1.916947 27.35317
L1. -.2349526 .0963967 -2.44 0.016 -.4248285 -.0450767
tfp
tfp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 14
F(8, 244) = 9.06 avg = 14.00
Number of instruments = 25 Obs per group: min = 14
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 252
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
196
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(21) = 29.23 Prob > chi2 = 0.109
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -1.61 Pr > z = 0.108
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -1.34 Pr > z = 0.180
L.L3.ins2
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L3.ins4 L.ins5 t_ins3 t_ins4)
D.(L2.tfp L3.tinv L.gexp L3.labo L.trev L.open L2.inf L2.tele fdi ins3
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele .3019183 .0932117 3.24 0.001 .118379 .4854577
inf -.4508076 .147529 -3.06 0.002 -.7413009 -.1603143
open .2556162 .0839578 3.04 0.003 .0902984 .4209341
labo -.5541415 .4378343 -1.27 0.207 -1.416264 .3079804
gexp -.7029457 .2639924 -2.66 0.008 -1.222762 -.1831289
tinv -.3680226 .2637133 -1.40 0.164 -.8872898 .1512445
ins2 20.18475 11.28249 1.79 0.075 -2.031146 42.40065
L1. -.2053847 .1860735 -1.10 0.271 -.5717745 .1610051
tfp
tfp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 15
F(8, 262) = 3.67 avg = 15.00
Number of instruments = 29 Obs per group: min = 15
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 270
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(17) = 12.36 Prob > chi2 = 0.778
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -1.60 Pr > z = 0.109
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -3.17 Pr > z = 0.002
L.L2.open
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L.t_ins4)
D.(L.tfp L.ins3 L3.tinv L2.gexp L.labo inf L4.tele L.ins5 ins6 L.t_ins2
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.1812068 .1588368 -1.14 0.255 -.4940729 .1316594
inf -.3503594 .1068603 -3.28 0.001 -.5608458 -.1398731
open -.0252465 .0874579 -0.29 0.773 -.1975152 .1470223
labo 1.300018 .5474374 2.37 0.018 .2217119 2.378324
gexp -1.658474 .3461025 -4.79 0.000 -2.340204 -.976744
tinv -1.141084 .2582444 -4.42 0.000 -1.649756 -.6324108
ins3 12.55297 5.730232 2.19 0.029 1.265941 23.84
L1. -.1476615 .1053322 -1.40 0.162 -.3551379 .0598149
tfp
tfp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 14
F(8, 244) = 7.21 avg = 14.00
Number of instruments = 25 Obs per group: min = 14
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 252
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
197
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(18) = 13.29 Prob > chi2 = 0.774
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -1.02 Pr > z = 0.309
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.79 Pr > z = 0.005
L.L4.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
ins3 L.t_ins6)
D.(L.tfp L2.ins4 L2.tinv gexp L2.trev L.open L.inf L.tele L2.debt L.ins1
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele .0777033 .0644845 1.20 0.229 -.0492327 .2046393
inf -.5969159 .1419202 -4.21 0.000 -.876282 -.3175498
open .4476477 .0779561 5.74 0.000 .2941932 .6011022
labo -1.902709 .4994119 -3.81 0.000 -2.885788 -.9196305
gexp -.4462255 .1177263 -3.79 0.000 -.6779666 -.2144844
tinv -.4733253 .2143028 -2.21 0.028 -.8951745 -.0514761
ins4 13.08301 6.899318 1.90 0.059 -.4981116 26.66412
L1. -.3879499 .0979056 -3.96 0.000 -.5806744 -.1952254
tfp
tfp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(8, 280) = 10.82 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 26 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 288
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(17) = 19.39 Prob > chi2 = 0.307
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -1.63 Pr > z = 0.104
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.72 Pr > z = 0.007
L.gdp
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
D.(L2.tfp ins5 L3.tinv L.gexp L2.labo L.trev L.open L2.inf tele L.ins3)
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele .0008094 .0441883 0.02 0.985 -.0862 .0878188
inf -.5695479 .1456718 -3.91 0.000 -.8563843 -.2827114
open .1942833 .0556158 3.49 0.001 .0847725 .303794
labo -.3545894 .376423 -0.94 0.347 -1.095789 .3866101
gexp -.8828619 .1593848 -5.54 0.000 -1.1967 -.5690237
tinv -.8147584 .2110945 -3.86 0.000 -1.230416 -.3991006
ins5 1.626197 3.393196 0.48 0.632 -5.055209 8.307602
L1. -.0244505 .1244806 -0.20 0.844 -.2695603 .2206593
tfp
tfp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 15
F(8, 262) = 12.65 avg = 15.00
Number of instruments = 25 Obs per group: min = 15
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 270
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
198
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(17) = 23.91 Prob > chi2 = 0.122
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -1.57 Pr > z = 0.116
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -0.82 Pr > z = 0.411
L.L.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
D.(L.tfp L.ins6 tinv L.gexp L2.open inf L4.tele L.debt L.ins2 ins4 t_ins4)
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0942003 .1312496 -0.72 0.474 -.3527271 .1643265
inf -.4444345 .0749217 -5.93 0.000 -.5920103 -.2968588
open .430721 .0866942 4.97 0.000 .2599566 .6014855
labo -1.343756 .601806 -2.23 0.026 -2.529154 -.1583585
gexp -.6568529 .2417715 -2.72 0.007 -1.133078 -.1806275
tinv -.2012459 .1081244 -1.86 0.064 -.4142223 .0117305
ins6 19.71775 8.092663 2.44 0.016 3.777357 35.65814
L1. -.3280072 .0802524 -4.09 0.000 -.486083 -.1699313
tfp
tfp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 14
F(8, 244) = 14.91 avg = 14.00
Number of instruments = 25 Obs per group: min = 14
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 252
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
199
* Các kết quả của mô hình 2 với biến phụ thuộc ΔGDP
- Kết quả ước lượng mẫu gộp 71 quốc gia:
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(22) = 25.96 Prob > chi2 = 0.253
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -0.42 Pr > z = 0.673
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -4.00 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L2.fdi ins2 L.ins3 L.ins4 L.ins5 L.ins6 L2.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp L.ins1 t_ins1 tinv gexp L2.trev L.open L.inf L2.tele
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.054507 .0199622 -2.73 0.006 -.0936743 -.0153398
inf .090315 .0346878 2.60 0.009 .022255 .158375
open .1056957 .037297 2.83 0.005 .0325162 .1788751
labo 2.308622 .5458286 4.23 0.000 1.237667 3.379578
gexp -.0056431 .0519636 -0.11 0.914 -.1075994 .0963132
tinv .1660253 .0402341 4.13 0.000 .0870831 .2449675
t_ins1 .2624659 .0923421 2.84 0.005 .0812838 .4436479
ins1 4.861309 2.458703 1.98 0.048 .0371532 9.685464
tfp 1.02217 .1390565 7.35 0.000 .749331 1.295009
L1. -.1665629 .0442955 -3.76 0.000 -.2534739 -.0796519
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 1126) = 140.46 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 32 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 71
Group variable: id Number of obs = 1136
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
200
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(23) = 29.44 Prob > chi2 = 0.166
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -0.29 Pr > z = 0.771
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -3.99 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L2.debt L.ins1 L2.ins3 L.ins4 L2.ins5 L.ins6 L2.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp ins2 t_ins2 tinv L.gexp trev L.open L.inf L2.tele L2.fdi
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0507269 .0195505 -2.59 0.010 -.0890863 -.0123674
inf .0735064 .0314218 2.34 0.019 .0118546 .1351583
open .1328619 .0326466 4.07 0.000 .0688068 .196917
labo 2.174341 .5265882 4.13 0.000 1.141137 3.207545
gexp -.0705608 .1069124 -0.66 0.509 -.2803307 .1392091
tinv .1764702 .0394142 4.48 0.000 .0991368 .2538037
t_ins2 .1622922 .067966 2.39 0.017 .028938 .2956464
ins2 1.691427 .986862 1.71 0.087 -.2448682 3.627722
tfp .935932 .1099782 8.51 0.000 .7201467 1.151717
L1. -.1673483 .0392468 -4.26 0.000 -.2443533 -.0903433
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 1126) = 151.71 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 33 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 71
Group variable: id Number of obs = 1136
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(21) = 28.23 Prob > chi2 = 0.134
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -1.48 Pr > z = 0.139
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -4.01 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L.ins1 ins4 L.ins5 L.ins6 L.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp L.ins3 t_ins3 tinv gexp trev L.open L.inf L.tele L2.debt
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.037679 .0205283 -1.84 0.067 -.077957 .0025989
inf .1156001 .0397907 2.91 0.004 .0375277 .1936724
open .1136164 .0370434 3.07 0.002 .0409345 .1862984
labo 2.148119 .5992762 3.58 0.000 .9722957 3.323943
gexp .0082519 .0563956 0.15 0.884 -.1024005 .1189042
tinv .1327664 .0452488 2.93 0.003 .0439849 .2215479
t_ins3 .1369967 .0637303 2.15 0.032 .0119531 .2620402
ins3 5.121169 2.518992 2.03 0.042 .1787233 10.06362
tfp 1.01736 .1353215 7.52 0.000 .7518497 1.282871
L1. -.1537037 .0473164 -3.25 0.001 -.2465418 -.0608656
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 1126) = 129.00 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 31 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 71
Group variable: id Number of obs = 1136
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
201
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(22) = 28.13 Prob > chi2 = 0.171
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.09 Pr > z = 0.929
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -4.65 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L.ins1 L.ins2 L.ins3 ins5 ins6 L.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp ins4 t_ins4 tinv gexp L.trev L.open L.inf L3.tele L.fdi
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0408764 .0208487 -1.96 0.050 -.0817861 .0000333
inf .0613213 .0289333 2.12 0.034 .004548 .1180946
open .1350857 .034024 3.97 0.000 .0683233 .2018482
labo 1.78065 .5447917 3.27 0.001 .7116514 2.849648
gexp -.0531382 .0526153 -1.01 0.313 -.1563807 .0501044
tinv .1416007 .0395003 3.58 0.000 .0640925 .2191089
t_ins4 .0875903 .0528585 1.66 0.098 -.0161294 .19131
ins4 1.575737 .9050628 1.74 0.082 -.2001913 3.351664
tfp .9338657 .1196162 7.81 0.000 .699153 1.168578
L1. -.1348365 .0447534 -3.01 0.003 -.2226524 -.0470207
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 15
F(10, 1055) = 152.76 avg = 15.00
Number of instruments = 32 Obs per group: min = 15
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 71
Group variable: id Number of obs = 1065
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(22) = 27.93 Prob > chi2 = 0.178
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -0.04 Pr > z = 0.971
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -4.01 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L3.debt L.ins1 L.ins2 L.ins3 L.ins4 L.ins6 L2.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp L3.ins5 t_ins5 tinv gexp L2.trev L.open L.inf L.tele
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0368646 .0173793 -2.12 0.034 -.0709665 -.0027626
inf .0728877 .028689 2.54 0.011 .0165936 .1291817
open .1626525 .035204 4.62 0.000 .0935747 .2317304
labo 2.036175 .4684829 4.35 0.000 1.11691 2.955439
gexp -.0489364 .0499233 -0.98 0.327 -.1468966 .0490239
tinv .1188599 .0424561 2.80 0.005 .035552 .2021678
t_ins5 .1527439 .0778537 1.96 0.050 -.0000219 .3055097
ins5 7.133912 3.676361 1.94 0.053 -.0798989 14.34772
tfp .8861807 .1245148 7.12 0.000 .6418558 1.130506
L1. -.1721843 .0397764 -4.33 0.000 -.2502342 -.0941344
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 15
F(10, 1055) = 147.71 avg = 15.00
Number of instruments = 32 Obs per group: min = 15
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 71
Group variable: id Number of obs = 1065
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
202
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(18) = 9.99 Prob > chi2 = 0.932
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -0.75 Pr > z = 0.454
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -6.00 Pr > z = 0.000
L.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L3.debt L.ins3 ins5)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp L.ins6 t_ins6 L2.tinv L2.gexp trev L2.open inf L4.tele fdi
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0436616 .0254458 -1.72 0.087 -.0935959 .0062727
inf -.0070348 .0249976 -0.28 0.778 -.0560896 .04202
open .1226329 .0404797 3.03 0.003 .0431965 .2020693
labo 1.317066 .5735434 2.30 0.022 .1915573 2.442575
gexp .0162709 .1268857 0.13 0.898 -.2327269 .2652686
tinv .4169626 .1211866 3.44 0.001 .1791488 .6547765
t_ins6 .1467229 .0737534 1.99 0.047 .0019909 .291455
ins6 6.528518 3.527514 1.85 0.065 -.3937964 13.45083
tfp 1.068727 .1342745 7.96 0.000 .8052292 1.332224
L1. -.106366 .0398443 -2.67 0.008 -.1845555 -.0281765
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 14
F(10, 984) = 116.35 avg = 14.00
Number of instruments = 28 Obs per group: min = 14
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 71
Group variable: id Number of obs = 994
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
203
- Kết quả ước lượng mẫu 22 quốc gia thu nhập trung bình thấp
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(16) = 22.51 Prob > chi2 = 0.128
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.61 Pr > z = 0.539
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -0.59 Pr > z = 0.556
L.L2.open
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
urb)
D.(L.gdp tfp L.ins1 t_ins1 L.tinv L.gexp L4.labo trev inf L.tele L.debt
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.1536427 .0462279 -3.32 0.001 -.2446171 -.0626683
inf -.011012 .0644699 -0.17 0.864 -.1378859 .1158619
open -.1121748 .0756277 -1.48 0.139 -.2610068 .0366572
labo 4.209358 1.019605 4.13 0.000 2.20282 6.215897
gexp .0344008 .2533896 0.14 0.892 -.4642589 .5330604
tinv 1.379147 .3161699 4.36 0.000 .7569388 2.001356
t_ins1 .5134698 .2651686 1.94 0.054 -.0083705 1.03531
ins1 -17.80544 7.447159 -2.39 0.017 -32.46113 -3.149758
tfp .8690956 .2269462 3.83 0.000 .4224754 1.315716
L1. -.3422672 .0743646 -4.60 0.000 -.4886135 -.1959208
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 14
F(10, 298) = 11.81 avg = 14.00
Number of instruments = 26 Obs per group: min = 14
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 22
Group variable: id Number of obs = 308
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
204
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(26) = 31.53 Prob > chi2 = 0.209
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 1.55 Pr > z = 0.121
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = 0.52 Pr > z = 0.602
L.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L.ins1 L.ins4 L.ins5 L.ins6 L.t_ins1 L2.t_ins3 t_ins4 L.t_ins5 t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp tfp L.ins2 t_ins2 L.tinv gexp L.trev L.open L2.inf L.tele L2.debt
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.1054179 .0279239 -3.78 0.000 -.1603421 -.0504937
inf .1244027 .0809461 1.54 0.125 -.0348121 .2836175
open -.0484627 .0505079 -0.96 0.338 -.1478079 .0508825
labo 5.897346 .9742783 6.05 0.000 3.981014 7.813678
gexp -.1306318 .0977776 -1.34 0.182 -.322953 .0616893
tinv .6816992 .2168348 3.14 0.002 .2552016 1.108197
t_ins2 .2606673 .153601 1.70 0.091 -.0414543 .5627889
ins2 -11.06551 5.407136 -2.05 0.041 -21.70094 -.4300802
tfp .6234501 .1101497 5.66 0.000 .406794 .8401062
L1. -.4170592 .0700986 -5.95 0.000 -.5549377 -.2791806
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 342) = 31.01 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 36 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 22
Group variable: id Number of obs = 352
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(16) = 19.90 Prob > chi2 = 0.225
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -0.08 Pr > z = 0.939
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.03 Pr > z = 0.042
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp L.ins3 t_ins3 tinv gexp trev open inf tele L2.debt)
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0299746 .0113013 -2.65 0.008 -.0522034 -.0077458
inf -.0370944 .039862 -0.93 0.353 -.1155 .0413112
open -.0205511 .0229096 -0.90 0.370 -.0656127 .0245104
labo 2.909559 .9204897 3.16 0.002 1.099025 4.720092
gexp .1116773 .1007868 1.11 0.269 -.0865627 .3099174
tinv .3699046 .0903701 4.09 0.000 .1921534 .5476559
t_ins3 .3213076 .1040742 3.09 0.002 .1166015 .5260136
ins3 -9.344348 4.212818 -2.22 0.027 -17.63064 -1.058052
tfp 1.06528 .1923087 5.54 0.000 .6870233 1.443537
L1. -.2122257 .075174 -2.82 0.005 -.3600872 -.0643641
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 342) = 27.24 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 26 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 22
Group variable: id Number of obs = 352
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
205
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(16) = 20.59 Prob > chi2 = 0.195
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.41 Pr > z = 0.684
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -3.98 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp ins4 t_ins4 tinv gexp trev open inf tele L2.debt)
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0192419 .0097041 -1.98 0.048 -.0383292 -.0001546
inf .0137206 .0308502 0.44 0.657 -.0469594 .0744006
open -.0173065 .0196983 -0.88 0.380 -.0560515 .0214385
labo 2.965631 .7672937 3.87 0.000 1.456423 4.47484
gexp .0365279 .0814494 0.45 0.654 -.1236769 .1967326
tinv .2437736 .0656092 3.72 0.000 .1147252 .3728219
t_ins4 .9222923 .1879951 4.91 0.000 .5525201 1.292065
ins4 -3.162525 1.578918 -2.00 0.046 -6.268138 -.0569121
tfp 1.199988 .1691526 7.09 0.000 .8672779 1.532699
L1. -.2179747 .0625679 -3.48 0.001 -.341041 -.0949084
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 342) = 36.32 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 26 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 22
Group variable: id Number of obs = 352
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(24) = 29.75 Prob > chi2 = 0.193
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 1.64 Pr > z = 0.101
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -1.73 Pr > z = 0.084
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L.fdi L.urb L.ins1 L.ins2 ins4 L.ins6 L2.t_ins1 L.t_ins2 t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L.ins5 t_ins5 L2.tinv L2.gexp trev open L.inf L2.tele L.debt
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0888913 .0244618 -3.63 0.000 -.1370059 -.0407767
inf -.0471573 .058253 -0.81 0.419 -.1617366 .0674221
open -.0257244 .0234954 -1.09 0.274 -.071938 .0204893
labo 5.169864 .8868087 5.83 0.000 3.425578 6.914149
gexp -.0784142 .161553 -0.49 0.628 -.3961768 .2393483
tinv .6619988 .1766364 3.75 0.000 .3145683 1.009429
t_ins5 .8173536 .2699059 3.03 0.003 .286469 1.348238
ins5 -3.480907 3.824941 -0.91 0.363 -11.00428 4.042463
tfp 1.196875 .2774109 4.31 0.000 .651229 1.742522
L1. -.3708877 .0646981 -5.73 0.000 -.4981441 -.2436313
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 342) = 32.93 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 34 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 22
Group variable: id Number of obs = 352
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
206
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(25) = 30.48 Prob > chi2 = 0.207
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 1.61 Pr > z = 0.107
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = 1.32 Pr > z = 0.188
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L.debt L.fdi L2.urb L.ins2 L.ins3 ins4 L2.ins5 t_ins3 L.t_ins4 L2.t_ins5)
D.(L.gdp tfp L.ins6 L.t_ins6 L.tinv L.gexp trev L3.open L.inf L.tele
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.1030721 .0304476 -3.39 0.001 -.1629748 -.0431694
inf -.0291803 .0762583 -0.38 0.702 -.1792112 .1208507
open .047348 .0476513 0.99 0.321 -.0464014 .1410974
labo 6.181919 .9496797 6.51 0.000 4.313514 8.050323
gexp -.1308464 .1804501 -0.73 0.469 -.4858647 .224172
tinv .6932578 .2186421 3.17 0.002 .2631002 1.123415
t_ins6 .2355168 .1988746 1.18 0.237 -.15575 .6267837
ins6 -7.851913 4.720772 -1.66 0.097 -17.13958 1.435757
tfp .5486425 .1359252 4.04 0.000 .2812226 .8160623
L1. -.4390977 .0623592 -7.04 0.000 -.5617835 -.3164118
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 15
F(10, 320) = 26.06 avg = 15.00
Number of instruments = 35 Obs per group: min = 15
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 22
Group variable: id Number of obs = 330
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
207
- Kết quả ước lượng mẫu 21 quốc gia thu nhập trung bình khá
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(20) = 22.53 Prob > chi2 = 0.312
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.07 Pr > z = 0.942
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.53 Pr > z = 0.011
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L.ins4 L2.ins5 L2.ins6 L2.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp L.ins1 L.t_ins1 tinv gexp trev L.open L.inf L.tele ins2
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0952974 .0261774 -3.64 0.000 -.1467952 -.0437995
inf .0262882 .02957 0.89 0.375 -.031884 .0844604
open .16347 .0417783 3.91 0.000 .0812809 .2456592
labo 3.035994 .6880227 4.41 0.000 1.68247 4.389519
gexp .0459261 .0793257 0.58 0.563 -.1101287 .2019809
tinv .2326196 .0825635 2.82 0.005 .0701951 .395044
t_ins1 .6919785 .2899763 2.39 0.018 .1215175 1.262439
ins1 6.335744 3.050563 2.08 0.039 .3344702 12.33702
tfp .9797201 .1659944 5.90 0.000 .6531646 1.306276
L1. -.2620536 .0598176 -4.38 0.000 -.3797309 -.1443763
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 326) = 48.30 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 30 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 21
Group variable: id Number of obs = 336
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
208
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(15) = 13.09 Prob > chi2 = 0.595
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.74 Pr > z = 0.457
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -3.84 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L3.urb)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp ins2 t_ins2 tinv L.gexp L4.open L3.inf L2.tele debt
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.1197901 .0374531 -3.20 0.002 -.1935111 -.0460692
inf -.1097704 .0443906 -2.47 0.014 -.1971468 -.0223941
open .2692134 .0543823 4.95 0.000 .1621699 .3762569
labo 1.829045 .5145335 3.55 0.000 .8162618 2.841828
gexp .0466122 .1718031 0.27 0.786 -.2915568 .3847812
tinv .1548339 .0880122 1.76 0.080 -.0184052 .3280729
t_ins2 .21337 .1271908 1.68 0.095 -.0369863 .4637262
ins2 3.648226 1.851608 1.97 0.050 .0036087 7.292842
tfp .7586542 .1572452 4.82 0.000 .4491403 1.068168
L1. -.1975488 .0517673 -3.82 0.000 -.2994451 -.0956525
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 14
F(10, 284) = 39.32 avg = 14.00
Number of instruments = 25 Obs per group: min = 14
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 21
Group variable: id Number of obs = 294
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(20) = 14.71 Prob > chi2 = 0.793
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.98 Pr > z = 0.327
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -0.74 Pr > z = 0.456
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L.ins1 L.ins4 L2.ins5 L.ins6 L2.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp L.ins3 L.t_ins3 tinv L2.gexp L.trev L2.open L2.inf tele
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.1064035 .0190827 -5.58 0.000 -.1439443 -.0688627
inf .0495272 .032209 1.54 0.125 -.0138366 .1128909
open .1365022 .0420526 3.25 0.001 .0537735 .219231
labo 4.245001 .8431742 5.03 0.000 2.586251 5.90375
gexp -.131526 .157201 -0.84 0.403 -.4407825 .1777305
tinv .2326719 .0881301 2.64 0.009 .0592964 .4060475
t_ins3 .3461065 .154124 2.25 0.025 .0429034 .6493096
ins3 4.488507 2.653201 1.69 0.092 -.7310482 9.708062
tfp .8607114 .1385317 6.21 0.000 .5881824 1.13324
L1. -.3235979 .0643257 -5.03 0.000 -.4501438 -.197052
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 326) = 42.06 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 30 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 21
Group variable: id Number of obs = 336
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
209
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(22) = 27.99 Prob > chi2 = 0.176
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.54 Pr > z = 0.590
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -3.49 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
urb t_ins1 L2.t_ins2 t_ins5 L.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp ins4 t_ins4 tinv gexp L.open L2.inf L2.tele L.trev L2.fdi
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.1456222 .0218987 -6.65 0.000 -.1887028 -.1025416
inf -.0830509 .032541 -2.55 0.011 -.1470677 -.019034
open .2233408 .0362615 6.16 0.000 .1520047 .294677
labo 2.635345 .4512446 5.84 0.000 1.747626 3.523064
gexp -.1043913 .0817879 -1.28 0.203 -.2652899 .0565074
tinv .272784 .0803712 3.39 0.001 .1146724 .4308957
t_ins4 .1902751 .0963229 1.98 0.049 .0007822 .379768
ins4 2.650784 1.552378 1.71 0.089 -.4031594 5.704728
tfp .6007926 .0740397 8.11 0.000 .4551367 .7464484
L1. -.2609419 .0394406 -6.62 0.000 -.3385321 -.1833516
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 326) = 52.69 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 32 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 21
Group variable: id Number of obs = 336
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(20) = 19.69 Prob > chi2 = 0.477
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.16 Pr > z = 0.870
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.53 Pr > z = 0.011
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
ins2 L2.ins6 t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp L2.ins5 t_ins5 tinv gexp L.open inf L3.tele urb debt fdi
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.1031747 .0320346 -3.22 0.001 -.1662115 -.0401379
inf -.0337714 .0150316 -2.25 0.025 -.0633501 -.0041928
open .226394 .043706 5.18 0.000 .1403904 .3123975
labo 2.441724 .5585174 4.37 0.000 1.342689 3.540759
gexp -.0378823 .065893 -0.57 0.566 -.1675447 .09178
tinv .1543962 .0851035 1.81 0.071 -.0130682 .3218606
t_ins5 .3810483 .1955934 1.95 0.052 -.003835 .7659317
ins5 8.050028 4.252475 1.89 0.059 -.3178754 16.41793
tfp .8416862 .1788301 4.71 0.000 .4897892 1.193583
L1. -.2361801 .0550268 -4.29 0.000 -.3444603 -.1279
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 15
F(10, 305) = 49.08 avg = 15.00
Number of instruments = 30 Obs per group: min = 15
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 21
Group variable: id Number of obs = 315
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
210
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(25) = 33.84 Prob > chi2 = 0.111
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 1.49 Pr > z = 0.137
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -5.34 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L2.t_ins5)
L3.fdi L2.urb L.ins1 ins2 L2.ins3 L.ins4 L2.ins5 L.t_ins3 L.t_ins4
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp ins6 L2.t_ins6 L.tinv L.gexp L.open L.inf L.tele L2.debt
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0179918 .029705 -0.61 0.545 -.0764445 .040461
inf -.0060368 .030343 -0.20 0.842 -.0657449 .0536713
open .1573613 .0480569 3.27 0.001 .0627962 .2519264
labo 1.688116 .5131683 3.29 0.001 .678318 2.697915
gexp -.0568207 .1318163 -0.43 0.667 -.3162052 .2025639
tinv -.0566807 .2076588 -0.27 0.785 -.4653059 .3519445
t_ins6 .4983313 .1797471 2.77 0.006 .1446298 .8520327
ins6 -2.261519 1.509498 -1.50 0.135 -5.231868 .7088297
tfp .963022 .1386231 6.95 0.000 .6902432 1.235801
L1. -.1458016 .0456254 -3.20 0.002 -.235582 -.0560213
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 15
F(10, 305) = 37.37 avg = 15.00
Number of instruments = 35 Obs per group: min = 15
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 21
Group variable: id Number of obs = 315
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
211
- Kết quả ước lượng mẫu 18 quốc gia thu nhập cao
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(22) = 29.80 Prob > chi2 = 0.123
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -1.31 Pr > z = 0.189
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -3.13 Pr > z = 0.002
L.ins1
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
ins3 ins4 L.ins5 t_ins5)
D.(L2.gdp tfp t_ins1 tinv L.gexp labo L.open inf L.tele L.debt L.urb ins2
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele .034485 .029783 1.16 0.248 -.0241438 .0931137
inf .0169848 .0321216 0.53 0.597 -.0462477 .0802172
open .0472709 .0333419 1.42 0.157 -.0183638 .1129056
labo .0326152 .1440972 0.23 0.821 -.2510451 .3162754
gexp .0013523 .1304342 0.01 0.992 -.2554119 .2581165
tinv .2933615 .059075 4.97 0.000 .1770703 .4096527
t_ins1 -.0225571 .0540355 -0.42 0.677 -.1289278 .0838135
ins1 3.981534 2.310009 1.72 0.086 -.5657977 8.528865
tfp .8447954 .0616301 13.71 0.000 .7234745 .9661163
L1. -.1938185 .029511 -6.57 0.000 -.2519119 -.1357251
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 278) = 72.09 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 32 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 288
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
212
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(21) = 24.25 Prob > chi2 = 0.281
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.29 Pr > z = 0.775
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -3.38 Pr > z = 0.001
L.L5.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L3.urb L2.debt ins1 L2.ins3 ins4 L2.ins5 L.ins6 L2.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L.tfp L.ins2 t_ins2 tinv L4.gexp L.trev L2.open L.inf L2.tele
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele .0278352 .0608431 0.46 0.648 -.0920143 .1476848
inf -.0074533 .1069362 -0.07 0.944 -.2180979 .2031913
open .246214 .05902 4.17 0.000 .1299555 .3624725
labo -.5464944 .3538283 -1.54 0.124 -1.243471 .150482
gexp -.1817952 .1327963 -1.37 0.172 -.4433794 .079789
tinv .2659979 .0741204 3.59 0.000 .1199945 .4120014
t_ins2 -.1328791 .0739922 -1.80 0.074 -.2786301 .0128719
ins2 10.73326 4.136852 2.59 0.010 2.584427 18.8821
tfp .8495317 .1231595 6.90 0.000 .6069303 1.092133
L1. -.126878 .0287467 -4.41 0.000 -.1835036 -.0702524
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 14
F(10, 242) = 67.93 avg = 14.00
Number of instruments = 31 Obs per group: min = 14
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 252
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(22) = 19.60 Prob > chi2 = 0.608
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -0.50 Pr > z = 0.614
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.85 Pr > z = 0.004
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L2.ins2 L.ins1 L2.ins4 L2.ins5 L.ins6 L2.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp L.ins3 t_ins3 tinv gexp trev L.open L.inf L.tele L2.debt
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele .0026192 .0354012 0.07 0.941 -.0670692 .0723077
inf .0317438 .0838336 0.38 0.705 -.1332855 .1967731
open .2421788 .0630804 3.84 0.000 .1180029 .3663548
labo -.3911738 .324598 -1.21 0.229 -1.030156 .2478083
gexp -.1125457 .0835206 -1.35 0.179 -.2769588 .0518674
tinv .2529693 .0631657 4.00 0.000 .1286256 .3773131
t_ins3 -.190383 .0617376 -3.08 0.002 -.3119157 -.0688504
ins3 9.641217 3.798334 2.54 0.012 2.164069 17.11837
tfp .8287613 .1568385 5.28 0.000 .5200194 1.137503
L1. -.1147896 .0489458 -2.35 0.020 -.211141 -.0184382
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 278) = 66.82 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 32 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 288
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
213
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(23) = 25.76 Prob > chi2 = 0.312
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -0.25 Pr > z = 0.804
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -3.74 Pr > z = 0.000
L.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L2.ins1 L2.ins2 L.ins3 L2.ins5 L.ins6 L2.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp ins4 t_ins4 tinv gexp trev L.open L.inf L.tele L2.debt
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0115722 .030339 -0.38 0.703 -.0712955 .0481511
inf .0795279 .0724462 1.10 0.273 -.0630849 .2221407
open .2085328 .0548343 3.80 0.000 .1005895 .3164761
labo -.4277797 .2931764 -1.46 0.146 -1.004907 .149348
gexp -.0717593 .0743615 -0.97 0.335 -.2181425 .074624
tinv .2595995 .0591718 4.39 0.000 .1431177 .3760812
t_ins4 -.1650765 .0609116 -2.71 0.007 -.284983 -.04517
ins4 2.85102 1.521626 1.87 0.062 -.1443512 5.846392
tfp .9492544 .1425178 6.66 0.000 .6687032 1.229806
L1. -.0886932 .0441391 -2.01 0.045 -.1755826 -.0018038
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 278) = 77.73 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 33 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 288
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(25) = 33.96 Prob > chi2 = 0.109
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.28 Pr > z = 0.778
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -3.59 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L3.debt urb ins1 L2.ins2 L.ins3 L.ins4 L2.ins6 t_ins2 L.t_ins4 L2.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp tfp L.ins5 t_ins5 L.tinv gexp L3.open L2.inf L2.tele L2.fdi
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.034534 .0442383 -0.78 0.436 -.1216449 .0525769
inf .0922708 .0835427 1.10 0.270 -.0722356 .2567771
open .2132401 .0422524 5.05 0.000 .1300397 .2964405
labo -.3886559 .2351471 -1.65 0.100 -.8516911 .0743792
gexp -.1039958 .0722066 -1.44 0.151 -.2461801 .0381884
tinv .4238473 .1219592 3.48 0.001 .1836937 .6640009
t_ins5 -.1362593 .0600234 -2.27 0.024 -.2544532 -.0180653
ins5 1.229046 3.71791 0.33 0.741 -6.092002 8.550094
tfp .8426717 .0642411 13.12 0.000 .7161726 .9691707
L1. -.1202003 .0194152 -6.19 0.000 -.1584314 -.0819691
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 15
F(10, 260) = 73.31 avg = 15.00
Number of instruments = 35 Obs per group: min = 15
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 270
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
214
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(21) = 28.54 Prob > chi2 = 0.126
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.37 Pr > z = 0.713
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.36 Pr > z = 0.018
L.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L.debt L.urb L2.ins2 ins3 ins4)
D.(L.gdp tfp L2.ins6 t_ins6 L.tinv L.gexp L2.trev L.open L2.inf L2.tele
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0787152 .0557147 -1.41 0.159 -.1883914 .030961
inf .0727148 .0797374 0.91 0.363 -.0842511 .2296807
open .2599485 .0523163 4.97 0.000 .1569621 .3629349
labo -.3032398 .3362067 -0.90 0.368 -.9650741 .3585946
gexp -.1556375 .1581752 -0.98 0.326 -.4670106 .1557357
tinv .3431285 .1179573 2.91 0.004 .1109255 .5753315
t_ins6 -.1422293 .0692876 -2.05 0.041 -.2786244 -.0058342
ins6 10.04908 4.60367 2.18 0.030 .9865996 19.11156
tfp .7742269 .0627724 12.33 0.000 .6506572 .8977965
L1. -.1024126 .0198277 -5.17 0.000 -.1414441 -.0633811
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 16
F(10, 278) = 62.62 avg = 16.00
Number of instruments = 31 Obs per group: min = 16
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 18
Group variable: id Number of obs = 288
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
215
3. Kết quả kiểm định tính vững mô hình bằng phương pháp GMM với biến
chất lượng thể chế (INS) là chỉ số trung bình của sáu chỉ số.
- Kết quả ước lượng với biến phụ thuộc TFPG:
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(16) = 20.05 Prob > chi2 = 0.218
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -0.45 Pr > z = 0.652
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -7.48 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L.ins
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
D.(L2.tfp L2.tinv gexp L3.labo L2.trev open inf L2.tele ins3)
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele .00297 .024299 0.12 0.903 -.0447098 .0506498
inf -.0750634 .0151923 -4.94 0.000 -.104874 -.0452528
open .085174 .021351 3.99 0.000 .0432788 .1270692
labo -.2383239 .1681459 -1.42 0.157 -.5682615 .0916137
gexp -.2346966 .0570439 -4.11 0.000 -.3466287 -.1227644
tinv -.1314868 .2625166 -0.50 0.617 -.6465998 .3836262
ins 6.807227 2.873447 2.37 0.018 1.168918 12.44554
L1. .1321624 .0829562 1.59 0.111 -.0306151 .2949399
tfp
tfp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 15
F(8, 1057) = 11.82 avg = 15.00
Number of instruments = 24 Obs per group: min = 15
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 71
Group variable: id Number of obs = 1065
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
216
- Kết quả ước lượng với biến phụ thuộc ∆GDP:
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(21) = 21.62 Prob > chi2 = 0.422
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.04 Pr > z = 0.966
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -4.02 Pr > z = 0.000
L.L3.labo
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
ins2 L.ins3 L.ins4 L.ins5 L.ins6 L2.t_ins6)
D.(L.gdp L2.tfp L.ins t_ins tinv gexp L2.trev L.open L4.inf L2.tele L2.fdi
Standard
Instruments for first differences equation
tele -.0399273 .0191181 -2.09 0.037 -.0774443 -.0024103
inf .0441987 .0484189 0.91 0.362 -.0508175 .1392148
open .158713 .0409927 3.87 0.000 .0782698 .2391562
labo 2.169492 .4906801 4.42 0.000 1.206593 3.132392
gexp -.0698122 .0582433 -1.20 0.231 -.1841075 .0444831
tinv .1164424 .0429985 2.71 0.007 .032063 .2008218
t_ins .1667721 .0920347 1.81 0.070 -.0138347 .347379
ins 6.146523 2.566383 2.40 0.017 1.11031 11.18274
tfp .8979834 .1377357 6.52 0.000 .627694 1.168273
L1. -.1700223 .0398861 -4.26 0.000 -.2482939 -.0917506
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 14
F(10, 984) = 139.49 avg = 14.00
Number of instruments = 31 Obs per group: min = 14
Time variable : obs Number of groups = 71
Group variable: id Number of obs = 994
Dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM
217
4. Kiểm định tính vững của mô hình bằng phương pháp ước lượng FE-2SLS
với biến chất lượng thể chế (INS) là chỉ số trung bình của sáu chỉ số.
Chi-sq(2) P-val = 0.2605
Sargan statistic (overidentification test of all instruments): 2.690
tele .0033533 .0022421 1.50 0.135 -.0010412 .0077478
inf -.0199287 .0065706 -3.03 0.002 -.0328068 -.0070507
open .0101979 .0056851 1.79 0.073 -.0009447 .0213405
labo .1084249 .0424591 2.55 0.011 .0252066 .1916431
gexp -.0522726 .0192843 -2.71 0.007 -.0900692 -.0144759
tinv .2111869 .0186751 11.31 0.000 .1745844 .2477893
t_ins .1284296 .0353855 3.63 0.000 .0590754 .1977839
ins -.719994 .5801649 -1.24 0.215 -1.857096 .4171084
tfp .8632443 .0246967 34.95 0.000 .8148396 .911649
L1. -.0083265 .0046821 -1.78 0.075 -.0175032 .0008503
gdp
D.gdp Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Residual SS = 6172.026732 Root MSE = 2.331
Total (uncentered) SS = 15976.23948 Uncentered R2 = 0.6137
Total (centered) SS = 15976.23948 Centered R2 = 0.6137
Prob > F = 0.0000
F( 10, 1126) = 178.86
Number of obs = 1207
Statistics consistent for homoskedasticity only
Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
OLS estimation
Duplicates: labo
Warning - duplicate variables detected
max = 17
avg = 17.0
Number of groups = 71 Obs per group: min = 17
FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATION
218
5. Kết quả kiểm định T Test cho biến chất lượng thể chế
- Giữa nhóm thu nhập trung bình thấp với thu nhập trung bình khá
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean -.364796
Ho: mean = -.364796 degrees of freedom = 417
mean = mean(ins3) t = -12.6293
ins3 418 -.8005051 .0344998 .7053509 -.8683203 -.7326898
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins3==-.3647958
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean -.07315
Ho: mean = -.07315 degrees of freedom = 417
mean = mean(ins2) t = -27.3782
ins2 418 -.5356704 .0168938 .3453937 -.5688779 -.5024628
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins2==-.0731504
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean -.282506
Ho: mean = -.282506 degrees of freedom = 417
mean = mean(ins1) t = -23.4537
ins1 418 -.6967492 .0176622 .3611037 -.7314672 -.6620313
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins1==-.2825063
219
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean -.267571
Ho: mean = -.267571 degrees of freedom = 417
mean = mean(ins6) t = -11.4464
ins6 418 -.5906425 .0282246 .5770537 -.6461227 -.5351622
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins6==-.2675713
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean -.325306
Ho: mean = -.325306 degrees of freedom = 417
mean = mean(ins5) t = -13.4878
ins5 418 -.6404617 .0233661 .4777201 -.6863917 -.5945318
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins5==-.3253062
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean -.040355
Ho: mean = -.040355 degrees of freedom = 417
mean = mean(ins4) t = -20.9601
ins4 418 -.4958329 .0217307 .4442852 -.5385482 -.4531175
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins4==-.0403546
220
- Giữa nhóm thu nhập trung bình khá với thu nhập cao
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean .3120689
Ho: mean = .3120689 degrees of freedom = 398
mean = mean(ins3) t = -20.8809
ins3 399 -.3647958 .0324154 .6474975 -.4285226 -.3010689
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins3==.3120689
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean .4296759
Ho: mean = .4296759 degrees of freedom = 398
mean = mean(ins2) t = -20.4875
ins2 399 -.0731504 .0245431 .4902478 -.1214007 -.0249001
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins2==.4296759
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean .3229307
Ho: mean = .3229307 degrees of freedom = 398
mean = mean(ins1) t = -28.1879
ins1 399 -.2825063 .0214786 .4290343 -.324732 -.2402807
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins1==.3229307
221
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean .1840545
Ho: mean = .1840545 degrees of freedom = 398
mean = mean(ins6) t = -12.2738
ins6 399 -.2675713 .0367959 .7349978 -.3399099 -.1952326
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins6==.1840545
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean .3572133
Ho: mean = .3572133 degrees of freedom = 398
mean = mean(ins5) t = -27.5817
ins5 399 -.3253062 .0247454 .4942884 -.3739542 -.2766583
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins5==.3572133
Pr(T |t|) = 0.0000 Pr(T > t) = 1.0000
Ha: mean .491626
Ho: mean = .491626 degrees of freedom = 398
mean = mean(ins4) t = -17.0140
ins4 399 -.0403546 .0312672 .6245611 -.101824 .0211148
Variable Obs Mean Std. Err. Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]
One-sample t test
. ttest ins4==.491626