Luận án Nghiên cứu ảnh hưởng lẫn nhau giữa các địa phương thuộc vùng đồng bằng sông Hồng trong thu hút đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài
Theo đánh giá của Bộ Chính trị, sau hơn 30 năm đổi mới, Đảng và Nhà nước ta
đã ban hành nhiều chủ trương, chính sách về thu hút, quản lý dòng vốn đầu tư nước
ngoài, tạo dựng môi trường đầu tư kinh doanh thuận lợi, từng bước tiếp cận với thông
lệ quốc tế. Khu vực kinh tế có vốn đầu tư nước ngoài đã phát triển nhanh và có hiệu
quả, trở thành bộ phận quan trọng của nền kinh tế, đóng góp tích cực vào sự nghiệp
phát triển kinh tế - xã hội của đất nước. Bên cạnh đó, hoạt động đầu tư nước ngoài
ngày càng sôi động, nhiều tập đoàn đa quốc gia, doanh nghiệp lớn với công nghệ hiện
đại đã đầu tư vào nước ta; quy mô vốn và chất lượng dự án tăng, góp phần tạo việc
làm, thu nhập cho người lao động; nâng cao trình độ, năng lực sản xuất; tăng thu ngân
sách nhà nước, ổn định kinh tế vĩ mô; thúc đẩy chuyển dịch cơ cấu kinh tế, đổi mới mô
hình tăng trưởng; nâng cao vị thế và uy tín Việt Nam trên trường quốc tế (Nghị quyết
số 50-NQ/TW, 2019)
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direct investment: Empirical evidence from Vietnam’, Asian Economic and Financial
Review, 3(4), 512–531.
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Báo Đầu tư Online, truy cập ngày 09/7/2020, từ https://baodautu.vn/ve-lai-loi-the-
kinh-te-vung-dong-bang-song-hong-d3080.html.
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Báo Vietnamnet, truy cập ngày 29 tháng 8 năm 2020, từ
https://vietnamnet.vn/vn/tuanvietnam/dachieu/7-vung-tren-ca-nuoc-khong-nen-chi-la-
cau-lac-bo-vui-ve-647132.html.
114. UBND thành phố Hà Nội (2016), Hợp tác phát triển vùng trọng điểm kinh
tế Bắc Bộ, vùng Đồng bằng sông Hồng, vùng Thủ đô 2016, Nhà xuất bản Hà Nội.
115. Vega SH, Elhorst JP (2015), ‘The SLX Model’, Journal of Regional
Science, 2015;55(3):339–363.
116. Võ Thanh Thu (2008), Kỹ thuật đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài, nhà xuất bản
thống kê, Hà Nội.
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117. Võ Văn Dứt, Nguyễn Thị Phương Nga (2015), ‘Ảnh hưởng của tham
nhũng đến dòng vốn Đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài vào các quốc gia Châu Á’, Tạp chí
Khoa học – Trường Đại học mở Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh, số 6 năm 2015.
118. Vũ Chí Lộc (2012), Giáo trình Đầu tư quốc tế, Nhà xuất bản Đại học quốc
gia, Hà Nội.
174
PHỤ LỤC 1
Bảng 1: Kiểm định Moran's I năm 2010
Bảng 2: Kiểm định Moran's I năm 2011
Bảng 3: Kiểm định Moran's I năm 2012
Smallest maximum distance: 5.00
Largest minimum distance: 1.00
Maximum distance: 10.0
3rd quartile distance: 6.0
Median distance: 4.0
1st quartile distance: 2.0
Minimum distance: 1.0
Friction parameter: 1
Distance band: 0 < d <= 4
Dimension: 11x11
1. Inverse distance weights matrix weights
fdi 0.203 -0.100 0.137 2.206 0.014
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 4.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
Smallest maximum distance: 5.00
Largest minimum distance: 1.00
Maximum distance: 10.0
3rd quartile distance: 6.0
Median distance: 4.0
1st quartile distance: 2.0
Minimum distance: 1.0
Friction parameter: 1
Distance band: 0 < d <= 4
Dimension: 11x11
1. Inverse distance weights matrix weights
fdi 0.266 -0.100 0.145 2.526 0.006
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 4.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
Smallest maximum distance: 5.00
Largest minimum distance: 1.00
Maximum distance: 10.0
3rd quartile distance: 6.0
Median distance: 4.0
1st quartile distance: 2.0
Minimum distance: 1.0
Friction parameter: 1
Distance band: 0 < d <= 4
Dimension: 11x11
1. Inverse distance weights matrix weights
175
Bảng 4: Kiểm định Moran's I năm 2013
Bảng 5: Kiểm định Moran's I năm 2014
fdi 0.247 -0.100 0.123 2.825 0.002
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 4.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
Smallest maximum distance: 5.00
Largest minimum distance: 1.00
Maximum distance: 10.0
3rd quartile distance: 6.0
Median distance: 4.0
1st quartile distance: 2.0
Minimum distance: 1.0
Friction parameter: 1
Distance band: 0 < d <= 4
Dimension: 11x11
1. Inverse distance weights matrix weights
fdi 0.397 -0.100 0.139 3.584 0.000
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 4.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
Smallest maximum distance: 5.00
Largest minimum distance: 1.00
Maximum distance: 10.0
3rd quartile distance: 6.0
Median distance: 4.0
1st quartile distance: 2.0
Minimum distance: 1.0
Friction parameter: 1
Distance band: 0 < d <= 4
Dimension: 11x11
1. Inverse distance weights matrix weights
fdi 0.492 -0.100 0.139 4.255 0.000
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 4.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
176
Bảng 6: Kiểm định Moran's I năm 2015
Bảng 7: Kiểm định Moran's I năm 2016
Bảng 8: Kiểm định Moran's I năm 2017
Smallest maximum distance: 5.00
Largest minimum distance: 1.00
Maximum distance: 10.0
3rd quartile distance: 6.0
Median distance: 4.0
1st quartile distance: 2.0
Minimum distance: 1.0
Friction parameter: 1
Distance band: 0 < d <= 4
Dimension: 11x11
1. Inverse distance weights matrix weights
fdi 0.380 -0.100 0.135 3.543 0.000
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 4.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
Smallest maximum distance: 5.00
Largest minimum distance: 1.00
Maximum distance: 10.0
3rd quartile distance: 6.0
Median distance: 4.0
1st quartile distance: 2.0
Minimum distance: 1.0
Friction parameter: 1
Distance band: 0 < d <= 4
Dimension: 11x11
1. Inverse distance weights matrix weights
fdi 0.329 -0.100 0.135 3.173 0.001
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 4.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
Smallest maximum distance: 5.00
Largest minimum distance: 1.00
Maximum distance: 10.0
3rd quartile distance: 6.0
Median distance: 4.0
1st quartile distance: 2.0
Minimum distance: 1.0
Friction parameter: 1
Distance band: 0 < d <= 4
Dimension: 11x11
1. Inverse distance weights matrix weights
177
Bảng 9: Kiểm định Moran's I năm 2018
fdi 0.261 -0.100 0.176 2.047 0.020
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 4.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
Smallest maximum distance: 5.00
Largest minimum distance: 1.00
Maximum distance: 10.0
3rd quartile distance: 6.0
Median distance: 4.0
1st quartile distance: 2.0
Minimum distance: 1.0
Friction parameter: 1
Distance band: 0 < d <= 4
Dimension: 11x11
1. Inverse distance weights matrix weights
fdi 0.339 -0.100 0.146 2.999 0.001
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 4.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
178
PHỤ LỤC 2
Bảng 10: Lựa chọn ma trận không gian và mô hình không gian
Trường hợp CW-150
Trường hợp CW (Nhị phân)
Trường hợp IDW_3
Smallest maximum distance: 6.40
Largest minimum distance: 1.00
Maximum distance: 12.8
3rd quartile distance: 7.1
Median distance: 5.1
1st quartile distance: 3.2
Minimum distance: 1.0
Friction parameter: 1
Distance band: 0 < d <= 1
Dimension: 99x99
1. Distance-based binary weights matrix weights
fdi 0.208 -0.010 0.010 21.006 0.000
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 150.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
fdi 0.480 -0.010 0.030 16.446 0.000
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 3.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
fdi 0.558 -0.010 0.074 7.727 0.000
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 1.0
Type: Distance-based (binary)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
179
Trường hợp IDW_5
Trường hợp CW_250
Bảng 11: Các kiểm định liên quan
fdi 0.534 -0.010 0.150 3.627 0.000
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 5.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
fdi 0.469 -0.010 0.140 3.424 0.000
Variables I E(I) sd(I) z p-value*
Moran's I
Row-standardized: No
Distance band: 0.0 < d <= 250.0
Type: Distance-based (inverse distance)
Name: weights
Weights matrix
sigma2_e .5999014 .0861055 6.97 0.000 .4311377 .768665
lgt_theta 15.73814 1002.502 0.02 0.987 -1949.13 1980.606
Variance
rho -.2784865 .1310246 -2.13 0.034 -.5352901 -.0216829
Spatial
pci -.0366081 .0538711 -0.68 0.497 -.1421936 .0689773
dansodothi -.1058483 .0492617 -2.15 0.032 -.2023996 -.0092971
ldtunhan -.0136946 .0514959 -0.27 0.790 -.1146247 .0872356
laodongfdi .0003201 .0516479 0.01 0.995 -.1009079 .1015482
sothuebaodt .6251575 .8046855 0.78 0.437 -.9519972 2.202312
hatang -1.788267 .729714 -2.45 0.014 -3.21848 -.3580543
thunhap .1742171 1.268233 0.14 0.891 -2.311473 2.659908
chatluongld -.0240534 .0598323 -0.40 0.688 -.1413225 .0932156
grdp 3.118962 1.38958 2.24 0.025 .3954362 5.842488
Wx
_cons -12.11501 10.32889 -1.17 0.241 -32.35926 8.129242
pci -.0116897 .0350176 -0.33 0.739 -.0803229 .0569434
dansodothi .032048 .0259791 1.23 0.217 -.01887 .082966
ldtunhan -.0372809 .0294929 -1.26 0.206 -.095086 .0205242
laodongfdi .0264926 .0248405 1.07 0.286 -.0221938 .075179
sothuebaodt .4623296 .4192325 1.10 0.270 -.359351 1.28401
hatang -.1506675 .3054689 -0.49 0.622 -.7493756 .4480405
thunhap -.0395562 .9011664 -0.04 0.965 -1.80581 1.726698
chatluongld .0389812 .0326801 1.19 0.233 -.0250707 .103033
grdp .2007282 .3512727 0.57 0.568 -.4877537 .8892101
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.7165
between = 0.9760
R-sq: within = 0.3398
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
180
sigma2_e .511914 .0730176 7.01 0.000 .3688022 .6550258
Variance
rho -.1582501 .1371446 -1.15 0.249 -.4270485 .1105484
Spatial
pci -.0740234 .0671036 -1.10 0.270 -.2055442 .0574973
dansodothi .0051108 .1203246 0.04 0.966 -.2307212 .2409427
ldtunhan .0801478 .1056282 0.76 0.448 -.1268797 .2871752
laodongfdi .0852013 .1284947 0.66 0.507 -.1666436 .3370462
sothuebaodt .6731749 .8634884 0.78 0.436 -1.019231 2.365581
hatang -.9738728 .9354738 -1.04 0.298 -2.807368 .8596221
thunhap 3.387468 2.449701 1.38 0.167 -1.413857 8.188793
chatluongld -.0748265 .063433 -1.18 0.238 -.1991529 .0494998
grdp -.792363 2.363526 -0.34 0.737 -5.424788 3.840062
Wx
pci .0479364 .0361488 1.33 0.185 -.0229139 .1187868
dansodothi -.0166246 .0690884 -0.24 0.810 -.1520354 .1187861
ldtunhan -.0629513 .044166 -1.43 0.154 -.149515 .0236125
laodongfdi -.0049271 .0553138 -0.09 0.929 -.1133402 .103486
sothuebaodt .0426423 .4748725 0.09 0.928 -.8880907 .9733753
hatang -.3600452 .5842816 -0.62 0.538 -1.505216 .7851257
thunhap .1834082 1.058139 0.17 0.862 -1.890505 2.257322
chatluongld .0472564 .0417165 1.13 0.257 -.0345064 .1290192
grdp -.0034048 1.344252 -0.00 0.998 -2.638091 2.631282
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
Mean of fixed-effects = -7.4263
overall = 0.0581
between = 0.0067
R-sq: within = 0.4279
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with spatial fixed-effects Number of obs = 99
Prob>chi2 = 0.0047
= 23.75
chi2(9) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)
Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic
B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xsmle
b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xsmle
pci .0479364 -.0116897 .0596262 .0089726
dansodothi -.0166246 .032048 -.0486727 .0640179
ldtunhan -.0629513 -.0372809 -.0256704 .0328755
laodongfdi -.0049271 .0264926 -.0314197 .0494224
sothuebaodt .0426423 .4623296 -.4196873 .2230427
hatang -.3600452 -.1506675 -.2093777 .49807
thunhap .1834082 -.0395562 .2229644 .5545777
chatluongld .0472564 .0389812 .0082752 .0259283
grdp -.0034048 .2007282 -.204133 1.297545
sdm_fe sdm_re Difference S.E.
(b) (B) (b-B) sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B))
Coefficients
Prob > chi2 = 0.0601
chi2( 9) = 16.34
( 9) [Wx]grdp = 0
( 8) [Wx]grdp - [Wx]pci = 0
( 7) [Wx]grdp - [Wx]dansodothi = 0
( 6) [Wx]grdp - [Wx]ldtunhan = 0
( 5) [Wx]grdp - [Wx]laodongfdi = 0
( 4) [Wx]grdp - [Wx]sothuebaodt = 0
( 3) [Wx]grdp - [Wx]hatang = 0
( 2) [Wx]grdp - [Wx]thunhap = 0
( 1) [Wx]grdp - [Wx]chatluongld = 0
181
Prob > chi2 = 0.0131
chi2(9) = 20.90
(9) [Wx]pci = -[Spatial]rho*[Main]pci
(8) [Wx]dansodothi = -[Spatial]rho*[Main]dansodothi
(7) [Wx]ldtunhan = -[Spatial]rho*[Main]ldtunhan
(6) [Wx]laodongfdi = -[Spatial]rho*[Main]laodongfdi
(5) [Wx]sothuebao = -[Spatial]rho*[Main]sothuebao
(4) [Wx]hatang = -[Spatial]rho*[Main]hatang
(3) [Wx]thunhap = -[Spatial]rho*[Main]thunhap
(2) [Wx]chatluongld = -[Spatial]rho*[Main]chatluongld
(1) [Wx]grdp = -[Spatial]rho*[Main]grdp
182
PHỤ LỤC 3
Bảng 12: Kết quả hồi quy SDM biến quy mô thị trường
Bảng 13: Kết quả hồi quy SDM biến chất lượng lao động
grdp 1.507042 .2051424 7.35 0.000 1.104971 1.909114
LR_Total
grdp .3082311 .2483109 1.24 0.214 -.1784494 .7949115
LR_Indirect
grdp 1.198811 .2560931 4.68 0.000 .6968782 1.700745
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .7357855 .1110866 6.62 0.000 .5180598 .9535112
lgt_theta -.4629206 .3720314 -1.24 0.213 -1.192089 .2662476
Variance
rho -.1073147 .1321882 -0.81 0.417 -.3663988 .1517694
Spatial
grdp .4701967 .2979611 1.58 0.115 -.1137963 1.05419
Wx
_cons -12.33627 2.989719 -4.13 0.000 -18.19601 -6.476527
grdp 1.200752 .2443477 4.91 0.000 .7218396 1.679665
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.4536
between = 0.5809
R-sq: within = 0.2721
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
chatluongld .1162085 .022802 5.10 0.000 .0715174 .1608996
LR_Total
chatluongld .0410989 .0205594 2.00 0.046 .0008032 .0813946
LR_Indirect
chatluongld .0751096 .0195821 3.84 0.000 .0367294 .1134898
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .8085131 .1219758 6.63 0.000 .5694449 1.047581
lgt_theta -.6773051 .3419474 -1.98 0.048 -1.34751 -.0071005
Variance
rho .0488701 .1227594 0.40 0.691 -.1917338 .2894741
Spatial
chatluongld .0345035 .0224451 1.54 0.124 -.0094881 .0784951
Wx
_cons 2.839992 .689795 4.12 0.000 1.488019 4.191966
chatluongld .0738904 .0193462 3.82 0.000 .0359725 .1118083
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.3246
between = 0.4070
R-sq: within = 0.2049
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
183
Bảng 14: Kết quả hồi quy SDM biến chi phí lao động
Bảng 15: Kết quả hồi quy SDM biến cơ sở hạ tầng đường bộ
thunhap 1.933145 .2453174 7.88 0.000 1.452332 2.413958
LR_Total
thunhap -.0510212 .8078132 -0.06 0.950 -1.634306 1.532264
LR_Indirect
thunhap 1.984166 .8168893 2.43 0.015 .3830926 3.58524
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .696891 .1061002 6.57 0.000 .4889383 .9048436
lgt_theta -.7464733 .3514679 -2.12 0.034 -1.435338 -.0576089
Variance
rho -.1632146 .1312497 -1.24 0.214 -.4204594 .0940301
Spatial
thunhap .2995339 .7903809 0.38 0.705 -1.249584 1.848652
Wx
_cons -12.62836 2.925985 -4.32 0.000 -18.36318 -6.893533
thunhap 1.952365 .7517892 2.60 0.009 .4788853 3.425845
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.4071
between = 0.6095
R-sq: within = 0.2998
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
hatang 1.404805 .2674444 5.25 0.000 .8806234 1.928986
LR_Total
hatang .4502244 .2008232 2.24 0.025 .0566182 .8438306
LR_Indirect
hatang .9545804 .1785598 5.35 0.000 .6046096 1.304551
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .8330882 .1257829 6.62 0.000 .5865583 1.079618
lgt_theta -.2044574 .4139849 -0.49 0.621 -1.015853 .6069381
Variance
rho .0718425 .123603 0.58 0.561 -.1704149 .3140999
Spatial
hatang .3617224 .2344184 1.54 0.123 -.0977293 .821174
Wx
_cons -8.068204 2.753936 -2.93 0.003 -13.46582 -2.670588
hatang .9412176 .1758001 5.35 0.000 .5966558 1.285779
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.4621
between = 0.6557
R-sq: within = 0.1806
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
184
Bảng 16: Kết quả hồi quy SDM biến cơ sở hạ tầng CNTT
Bảng 17: Kết quả hồi quy SDM biến mức độ quần tụ lao động FDI
sothuebaodt -.947188 1.172923 -0.81 0.419 -3.246075 1.351699
LR_Total
sothuebaodt -.7638405 .8162758 -0.94 0.349 -2.363712 .8360307
LR_Indirect
sothuebaodt -.1833475 .5303172 -0.35 0.730 -1.22275 .856055
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .9045106 .1396623 6.48 0.000 .6307775 1.178244
lgt_theta -.9831828 .3687717 -2.67 0.008 -1.705962 -.2604035
Variance
rho .2771885 .1046384 2.65 0.008 .0721009 .4822761
Spatial
sothuebaodt -.6013713 .5915849 -1.02 0.309 -1.760856 .5581138
Wx
_cons 9.511767 6.101072 1.56 0.119 -2.446113 21.46965
sothuebaodt -.1505424 .4919309 -0.31 0.760 -1.114709 .8136244
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.0349
between = 0.1210
R-sq: within = 0.0647
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
laodongfdi .1055914 .0132716 7.96 0.000 .0795795 .1316033
LR_Total
laodongfdi .0551461 .0147144 3.75 0.000 .0263063 .0839858
LR_Indirect
laodongfdi .0504453 .0122512 4.12 0.000 .0264335 .0744572
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .6639602 .1011428 6.56 0.000 .4657239 .8621965
lgt_theta -.9694074 .324531 -2.99 0.003 -1.605476 -.3333384
Variance
rho -.1697894 .1281766 -1.32 0.185 -.4210109 .0814321
Spatial
laodongfdi .0690627 .0171943 4.02 0.000 .0353624 .1027629
Wx
_cons 3.018819 .6533979 4.62 0.000 1.738183 4.299455
laodongfdi .0529499 .0122217 4.33 0.000 .0289957 .076904
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.2864
between = 0.2642
R-sq: within = 0.3256
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
185
Bảng 18: Kết quả hồi quy SDM biến mức độ quần tụ lao động tư nhân
Bảng 19: Kết quả hồi quy SDM biến mức độ đô thị hóa
ldtunhan -.1226632 .0195453 -6.28 0.000 -.1609712 -.0843552
LR_Total
ldtunhan -.062012 .0170094 -3.65 0.000 -.0953499 -.0286741
LR_Indirect
ldtunhan -.0606511 .0138824 -4.37 0.000 -.0878601 -.0334422
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .7081089 .1075201 6.59 0.000 .4973734 .9188445
lgt_theta -.9153549 .3358891 -2.73 0.006 -1.573685 -.2570243
Variance
rho -.0301816 .1176193 -0.26 0.797 -.2607111 .2003479
Spatial
ldtunhan -.0670024 .0195785 -3.42 0.001 -.1053755 -.0286292
Wx
_cons 13.69952 1.973602 6.94 0.000 9.831329 17.56771
ldtunhan -.06173 .0141079 -4.38 0.000 -.089381 -.034079
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.3230
between = 0.3636
R-sq: within = 0.3061
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
dansodothi .1146544 .0475453 2.41 0.016 .0214673 .2078416
LR_Total
dansodothi .0708724 .0452746 1.57 0.117 -.0178643 .159609
LR_Indirect
dansodothi .0437821 .0202687 2.16 0.031 .0040561 .083508
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .8724027 .1356687 6.43 0.000 .6064971 1.138308
lgt_theta -.8416106 .4086099 -2.06 0.039 -1.642471 -.0407498
Variance
rho .1765976 .1149659 1.54 0.125 -.0487315 .4019266
Spatial
dansodothi .0515389 .0432997 1.19 0.234 -.0333269 .1364047
Wx
_cons 2.214047 1.098318 2.02 0.044 .0613832 4.366712
dansodothi .0401851 .0199915 2.01 0.044 .0010026 .0793677
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.2114
between = 0.2970
R-sq: within = 0.1970
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
186
Bảng 20: Kết quả hồi quy SDM biến chất lượng điều hành kinh tế
pci .1460224 .0418811 3.49 0.000 .063937 .2281078
LR_Total
pci .0755796 .0487941 1.55 0.121 -.020055 .1712143
LR_Indirect
pci .0704427 .0401609 1.75 0.079 -.0082711 .1491566
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .8527492 .1289599 6.61 0.000 .5999924 1.105506
lgt_theta -.9243329 .3186676 -2.90 0.004 -1.54891 -.2997559
Variance
rho .1178358 .1236353 0.95 0.341 -.1244849 .3601566
Spatial
pci .060983 .0524891 1.16 0.245 -.0418937 .1638598
Wx
_cons -2.595292 2.288313 -1.13 0.257 -7.080304 1.88972
pci .0672158 .0396796 1.69 0.090 -.0105549 .1449865
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.1281
between = 0.1646
R-sq: within = 0.1551
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
187
Bảng 21: Kết quả hồi quy SDM đồng thời 09 biến mô hình FDI
pci -.0361089 .0415464 -0.87 0.385 -.1175382 .0453205
dansodothi -.0586517 .0501271 -1.17 0.242 -.156899 .0395956
ldtunhan -.0393393 .0523366 -0.75 0.452 -.1419171 .0632385
laodongfdi .0213536 .0538703 0.40 0.692 -.0842302 .1269373
sothuebaodt .8242179 .7193992 1.15 0.252 -.5857787 2.234214
hatang -1.516999 .7512852 -2.02 0.043 -2.989491 -.0445071
thunhap .0688089 .8779904 0.08 0.938 -1.652021 1.789639
chatluongld .0135725 .0466819 0.29 0.771 -.0779224 .1050674
grdp 2.602643 1.331667 1.95 0.051 -.0073771 5.212662
LR_Total
pci -.0298438 .0519604 -0.57 0.566 -.1316843 .0719967
dansodothi -.0991242 .0413312 -2.40 0.016 -.1801318 -.0181166
ldtunhan -.0041165 .0420116 -0.10 0.922 -.0864578 .0782248
laodongfdi -.006604 .0408385 -0.16 0.872 -.086646 .0734381
sothuebaodt .4046158 .6836054 0.59 0.554 -.9352262 1.744458
hatang -1.495572 .6153018 -2.43 0.015 -2.701541 -.2896025
thunhap .0136136 1.193742 0.01 0.991 -2.326077 2.353304
chatluongld -.0264461 .0559454 -0.47 0.636 -.136097 .0832048
grdp 2.615217 1.187273 2.20 0.028 .2882036 4.94223
LR_Indirect
pci -.0062651 .0373578 -0.17 0.867 -.0794849 .0669548
dansodothi .0404725 .0271932 1.49 0.137 -.0128252 .0937702
ldtunhan -.0352228 .0283322 -1.24 0.214 -.0907528 .0203072
laodongfdi .0279575 .0229289 1.22 0.223 -.0169823 .0728974
sothuebaodt .4196021 .4078071 1.03 0.304 -.379685 1.218889
hatang -.0214271 .282818 -0.08 0.940 -.5757403 .5328861
thunhap .0551954 .9358363 0.06 0.953 -1.77901 1.889401
chatluongld .0400186 .034296 1.17 0.243 -.0272002 .1072374
grdp -.0125743 .351677 -0.04 0.971 -.7018484 .6766999
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .5999014 .0861055 6.97 0.000 .4311377 .768665
lgt_theta 15.73814 1002.502 0.02 0.987 -1949.13 1980.606
Variance
rho -.2784865 .1310246 -2.13 0.034 -.5352901 -.0216829
Spatial
pci -.0366081 .0538711 -0.68 0.497 -.1421936 .0689773
dansodothi -.1058483 .0492617 -2.15 0.032 -.2023996 -.0092971
ldtunhan -.0136946 .0514959 -0.27 0.790 -.1146247 .0872356
laodongfdi .0003201 .0516479 0.01 0.995 -.1009079 .1015482
sothuebaodt .6251575 .8046855 0.78 0.437 -.9519972 2.202312
hatang -1.788267 .729714 -2.45 0.014 -3.21848 -.3580543
thunhap .1742171 1.268233 0.14 0.891 -2.311473 2.659908
chatluongld -.0240534 .0598323 -0.40 0.688 -.1413225 .0932156
grdp 3.118962 1.38958 2.24 0.025 .3954362 5.842488
Wx
_cons -12.11501 10.32889 -1.17 0.241 -32.35926 8.129242
pci -.0116897 .0350176 -0.33 0.739 -.0803229 .0569434
dansodothi .032048 .0259791 1.23 0.217 -.01887 .082966
ldtunhan -.0372809 .0294929 -1.26 0.206 -.095086 .0205242
laodongfdi .0264926 .0248405 1.07 0.286 -.0221938 .075179
sothuebaodt .4623296 .4192325 1.10 0.270 -.359351 1.28401
hatang -.1506675 .3054689 -0.49 0.622 -.7493756 .4480405
thunhap -.0395562 .9011664 -0.04 0.965 -1.80581 1.726698
chatluongld .0389812 .0326801 1.19 0.233 -.0250707 .103033
grdp .2007282 .3512727 0.57 0.568 -.4877537 .8892101
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.7165
between = 0.9760
R-sq: within = 0.3398
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
188
Bảng 22: Kết quả hồi quy SDM với không gian cố định đồng thời 09 biến mô hình
FDI
pci -.0231333 .0573179 -0.40 0.687 -.1354743 .0892078
dansodothi -.0019258 .1342565 -0.01 0.989 -.2650638 .2612122
ldtunhan .0162098 .0934921 0.17 0.862 -.1670314 .199451
laodongfdi .0693766 .1227568 0.57 0.572 -.1712223 .3099755
sothuebaodt .6104015 .9475143 0.64 0.519 -1.246692 2.467495
hatang -1.223523 .9159659 -1.34 0.182 -3.018783 .571737
thunhap 3.171605 2.413569 1.31 0.189 -1.558903 7.902113
chatluongld -.0268042 .0521349 -0.51 0.607 -.1289867 .0753784
grdp -.6937717 2.422189 -0.29 0.775 -5.441176 4.053632
LR_Total
pci -.077417 .0626174 -1.24 0.216 -.2001448 .0453109
dansodothi .0157358 .1112438 0.14 0.888 -.2022979 .2337696
ldtunhan .0807617 .0943947 0.86 0.392 -.1042486 .265772
laodongfdi .0765894 .1167129 0.66 0.512 -.1521637 .3053426
sothuebaodt .6069064 .8196054 0.74 0.459 -.9994907 2.213303
hatang -.8916797 .8273301 -1.08 0.281 -2.513217 .7298575
thunhap 3.028762 2.316173 1.31 0.191 -1.510852 7.568377
chatluongld -.0757392 .0587498 -1.29 0.197 -.1908867 .0394083
grdp -.7655162 2.305706 -0.33 0.740 -5.284616 3.753584
LR_Indirect
pci .0542837 .0363619 1.49 0.135 -.0169844 .1255517
dansodothi -.0176616 .0651345 -0.27 0.786 -.1453229 .1099997
ldtunhan -.0645519 .0435688 -1.48 0.138 -.1499452 .0208414
laodongfdi -.0072128 .0537519 -0.13 0.893 -.1125645 .0981389
sothuebaodt .0034952 .4703615 0.01 0.994 -.9183964 .9253868
hatang -.3318435 .5734716 -0.58 0.563 -1.455827 .7921402
thunhap .1428426 1.04219 0.14 0.891 -1.899813 2.185498
chatluongld .048935 .042163 1.16 0.246 -.0337029 .1315729
grdp .0717446 1.406867 0.05 0.959 -2.685663 2.829152
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .511914 .0730176 7.01 0.000 .3688022 .6550258
Variance
rho -.1582501 .1371446 -1.15 0.249 -.4270485 .1105484
Spatial
pci -.0740234 .0671036 -1.10 0.270 -.2055442 .0574973
dansodothi .0051108 .1203246 0.04 0.966 -.2307212 .2409427
ldtunhan .0801478 .1056282 0.76 0.448 -.1268797 .2871752
laodongfdi .0852013 .1284947 0.66 0.507 -.1666436 .3370462
sothuebaodt .6731749 .8634884 0.78 0.436 -1.019231 2.365581
hatang -.9738728 .9354738 -1.04 0.298 -2.807368 .8596221
thunhap 3.387468 2.449701 1.38 0.167 -1.413857 8.188793
chatluongld -.0748265 .063433 -1.18 0.238 -.1991529 .0494998
grdp -.792363 2.363526 -0.34 0.737 -5.424788 3.840062
Wx
pci .0479364 .0361488 1.33 0.185 -.0229139 .1187868
dansodothi -.0166246 .0690884 -0.24 0.810 -.1520354 .1187861
ldtunhan -.0629513 .044166 -1.43 0.154 -.149515 .0236125
laodongfdi -.0049271 .0553138 -0.09 0.929 -.1133402 .103486
sothuebaodt .0426423 .4748725 0.09 0.928 -.8880907 .9733753
hatang -.3600452 .5842816 -0.62 0.538 -1.505216 .7851257
thunhap .1834082 1.058139 0.17 0.862 -1.890505 2.257322
chatluongld .0472564 .0417165 1.13 0.257 -.0345064 .1290192
grdp -.0034048 1.344252 -0.00 0.998 -2.638091 2.631282
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
Mean of fixed-effects = -7.4263
overall = 0.0581
between = 0.0067
R-sq: within = 0.4279
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with spatial fixed-effects Number of obs = 99
189
Bảng 23: Kết quả hồi quy SDM với thời gian cố định đồng thời 09 biến mô hình
FDI
pci -.0987507 .0738221 -1.34 0.181 -.2434393 .0459379
dansodothi -.047385 .0446119 -1.06 0.288 -.1348227 .0400527
ldtunhan -.0031442 .0511311 -0.06 0.951 -.1033594 .097071
laodongfdi .0208454 .0479051 0.44 0.663 -.0730469 .1147377
sothuebaodt .2600514 .8689264 0.30 0.765 -1.443013 1.963116
hatang -2.064833 .864695 -2.39 0.017 -3.759604 -.3700625
thunhap 2.202886 1.880533 1.17 0.241 -1.48289 5.888663
chatluongld -.0275338 .0483195 -0.57 0.569 -.1222382 .0671707
grdp 3.533985 1.539246 2.30 0.022 .5171193 6.550851
LR_Total
pci -.0771073 .0681164 -1.13 0.258 -.2106131 .0563984
dansodothi -.1011625 .0353397 -2.86 0.004 -.1704271 -.0318979
ldtunhan .0357791 .0446582 0.80 0.423 -.0517493 .1233074
laodongfdi -.0009192 .0374908 -0.02 0.980 -.0743998 .0725614
sothuebaodt .0400762 .7585071 0.05 0.958 -1.44657 1.526723
hatang -1.939763 .6893842 -2.81 0.005 -3.290931 -.5885944
thunhap 1.981301 1.817738 1.09 0.276 -1.5814 5.544001
chatluongld -.0767803 .0605479 -1.27 0.205 -.1954519 .0418914
grdp 3.620025 1.3973 2.59 0.010 .8813682 6.358682
LR_Indirect
pci -.0216434 .0395977 -0.55 0.585 -.0992534 .0559666
dansodothi .0537775 .027371 1.96 0.049 .0001313 .1074237
ldtunhan -.0389233 .0279117 -1.39 0.163 -.0936291 .0157826
laodongfdi .0217646 .0225681 0.96 0.335 -.0224682 .0659973
sothuebaodt .2199752 .4660363 0.47 0.637 -.6934392 1.13339
hatang -.1250709 .3031908 -0.41 0.680 -.7193139 .4691721
thunhap .2215853 1.033406 0.21 0.830 -1.803853 2.247024
chatluongld .0492465 .0362803 1.36 0.175 -.0218615 .1203545
grdp -.0860395 .389412 -0.22 0.825 -.849273 .6771939
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .524098 .0758965 6.91 0.000 .3753436 .6728523
Variance
rho -.4108415 .1369465 -3.00 0.003 -.6792516 -.1424314
Spatial
pci -.1041316 .0870313 -1.20 0.232 -.2747098 .0664467
dansodothi -.1074417 .0499537 -2.15 0.031 -.2053492 -.0095342
ldtunhan .0273917 .0555971 0.49 0.622 -.0815766 .1363599
laodongfdi .0094119 .0509301 0.18 0.853 -.0904093 .1092332
sothuebaodt .190631 .9774452 0.20 0.845 -1.725126 2.106388
hatang -2.482541 .8651227 -2.87 0.004 -4.178151 -.7869322
thunhap 2.506821 2.22973 1.12 0.261 -1.863369 6.877011
chatluongld -.0717333 .0703361 -1.02 0.308 -.2095895 .0661228
grdp 4.475042 1.717408 2.61 0.009 1.108983 7.841101
Wx
pci -.0355974 .0393498 -0.90 0.366 -.1127217 .0415269
dansodothi .0398135 .0262868 1.51 0.130 -.0117077 .0913347
ldtunhan -.0356658 .0287992 -1.24 0.216 -.0921112 .0207797
laodongfdi .0209938 .0244996 0.86 0.391 -.0270245 .0690121
sothuebaodt .2489963 .4859333 0.51 0.608 -.7034154 1.201408
hatang -.3880941 .3359686 -1.16 0.248 -1.046581 .2703923
thunhap .3989189 1.021214 0.39 0.696 -1.602623 2.400461
chatluongld .0397939 .0320054 1.24 0.214 -.0229356 .1025234
grdp .3939123 .3818736 1.03 0.302 -.3545461 1.142371
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
Mean of fixed-effects = -34.4896
overall = 0.6734
between = 0.9835
R-sq: within = 0.3494
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with time fixed-effects Number of obs = 99
190
Bảng 24: Kết quả hồi quy SDM với không gian và thời gian cố định đồng thời 09
biến mô hình FDI
pci -.2422137 .0851638 -2.84 0.004 -.4091317 -.0752956
dansodothi -.0710242 .1380671 -0.51 0.607 -.3416309 .1995824
ldtunhan .0947889 .0974809 0.97 0.331 -.0962701 .2858479
laodongfdi .0667981 .1252962 0.53 0.594 -.1787779 .312374
sothuebaodt -.3297673 1.013608 -0.33 0.745 -2.316402 1.656867
hatang -4.184943 1.367188 -3.06 0.002 -6.864581 -1.505305
thunhap 2.668484 2.072855 1.29 0.198 -1.394237 6.731206
chatluongld -.0946271 .0569915 -1.66 0.097 -.2063283 .0170742
grdp -3.401168 2.633603 -1.29 0.197 -8.562934 1.760598
LR_Total
pci -.2155627 .0809151 -2.66 0.008 -.3741534 -.056972
dansodothi -.0628922 .1173915 -0.54 0.592 -.2929753 .1671909
ldtunhan .1611246 .0973891 1.65 0.098 -.0297546 .3520038
laodongfdi .1019185 .1162174 0.88 0.381 -.1258633 .3297004
sothuebaodt -.0686912 .8813725 -0.08 0.938 -1.79615 1.658767
hatang -2.866498 1.108514 -2.59 0.010 -5.039145 -.6938508
thunhap 4.052058 2.048444 1.98 0.048 .037181 8.066936
chatluongld -.135194 .0592783 -2.28 0.023 -.2513773 -.0190106
grdp -3.558583 2.408023 -1.48 0.139 -8.278222 1.161055
LR_Indirect
pci -.026651 .0390174 -0.68 0.495 -.1031236 .0498217
dansodothi -.0081321 .0625996 -0.13 0.897 -.130825 .1145609
ldtunhan -.0663357 .0424032 -1.56 0.118 -.1494445 .016773
laodongfdi -.0351205 .0542041 -0.65 0.517 -.1413586 .0711176
sothuebaodt -.2610761 .4452441 -0.59 0.558 -1.133739 .6115864
hatang -1.318445 .6235788 -2.11 0.034 -2.540637 -.0962532
thunhap -1.383574 1.081603 -1.28 0.201 -3.503477 .7363288
chatluongld .0405669 .0409407 0.99 0.322 -.0396755 .1208092
grdp .1574151 1.442017 0.11 0.913 -2.668886 2.983717
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .3940137 .0567797 6.94 0.000 .2827276 .5052998
Variance
rho -.3311775 .1444794 -2.29 0.022 -.6143518 -.0480031
Spatial
pci -.2664264 .0891179 -2.99 0.003 -.4410942 -.0917585
dansodothi -.0892357 .1505953 -0.59 0.553 -.3843972 .2059257
ldtunhan .1763999 .1187082 1.49 0.137 -.0562639 .4090638
laodongfdi .1182424 .1441227 0.82 0.412 -.1642329 .4007177
sothuebaodt -.1568876 1.059847 -0.15 0.882 -2.234149 1.920374
hatang -3.862569 1.274961 -3.03 0.002 -6.361446 -1.363692
thunhap 4.364956 2.302756 1.90 0.058 -.1483627 8.878275
chatluongld -.1487143 .0689872 -2.16 0.031 -.2839268 -.0135019
grdp -4.423614 2.789095 -1.59 0.113 -9.89014 1.042912
Wx
pci -.0522155 .0387297 -1.35 0.178 -.1281244 .0236934
dansodothi -.0147582 .0674189 -0.22 0.827 -.1468969 .1173805
ldtunhan -.0511853 .0418601 -1.22 0.221 -.1332296 .0308591
laodongfdi -.0257123 .0563894 -0.46 0.648 -.1362335 .0848089
sothuebaodt -.2539371 .4633484 -0.55 0.584 -1.162083 .6542091
hatang -1.610956 .6341789 -2.54 0.011 -2.853924 -.3679881
thunhap -1.049961 1.085627 -0.97 0.333 -3.177751 1.077828
chatluongld .0282953 .0391091 0.72 0.469 -.0483572 .1049477
grdp -.258143 1.397595 -0.18 0.853 -2.997379 2.481093
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
Mean of fixed-effects = 105.2267
overall = 0.0914
between = 0.0973
R-sq: within = 0.1638
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SDM with spatial and time fixed-effects Number of obs = 99
191
Bảng 25: Kết quả hồi quy SAR đồng thời 09 biến mô hình FDI
pci -.012067 .0230379 -0.52 0.600 -.0572204 .0330864
dansodothi .0195274 .0155815 1.25 0.210 -.0110119 .0500666
ldtunhan .0006607 .0156298 0.04 0.966 -.0299731 .0312946
laodongfdi .0373907 .0135558 2.76 0.006 .0108219 .0639595
sothuebaodt .4721162 .2736415 1.73 0.084 -.0642113 1.008444
hatang .1592807 .1746485 0.91 0.362 -.1830241 .5015855
thunhap 1.032956 .3580001 2.89 0.004 .3312885 1.734623
chatluongld .012292 .0205453 0.60 0.550 -.0279762 .0525601
grdp .0302786 .2167775 0.14 0.889 -.3945974 .4551547
LR_Total
pci .0038748 .0084661 0.46 0.647 -.0127184 .0204679
dansodothi -.0064301 .0059037 -1.09 0.276 -.018001 .0051409
ldtunhan .000026 .0057754 0.00 0.996 -.0112936 .0113457
laodongfdi -.0128353 .0064944 -1.98 0.048 -.025564 -.0001065
sothuebaodt -.1606695 .1071946 -1.50 0.134 -.3707671 .0494281
hatang -.0501815 .0612149 -0.82 0.412 -.1701606 .0697976
thunhap -.3597846 .1813783 -1.98 0.047 -.7152795 -.0042896
chatluongld -.0046841 .0073323 -0.64 0.523 -.0190552 .0096869
grdp -.01287 .0768701 -0.17 0.867 -.1635326 .1377926
LR_Indirect
pci -.0159418 .0309858 -0.51 0.607 -.0766728 .0447893
dansodothi .0259574 .0207582 1.25 0.211 -.0147278 .0666427
ldtunhan .0006347 .0211394 0.03 0.976 -.0407977 .0420671
laodongfdi .0502259 .0182775 2.75 0.006 .0144026 .0860492
sothuebaodt .6327857 .3608828 1.75 0.080 -.0745315 1.340103
hatang .2094622 .2295368 0.91 0.361 -.2404217 .659346
thunhap 1.39274 .4906799 2.84 0.005 .4310254 2.354455
chatluongld .0169761 .0274191 0.62 0.536 -.0367644 .0707166
grdp .0431486 .2896965 0.15 0.882 -.5246462 .6109434
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .697074 .0998372 6.98 0.000 .5013966 .8927513
lgt_theta 14.19288 1016.751 0.01 0.989 -1978.603 2006.988
Variance
rho -.2985522 .1083008 -2.76 0.006 -.5108179 -.0862864
Spatial
_cons -12.09727 5.396184 -2.24 0.025 -22.67359 -1.52094
pci -.0171791 .0311174 -0.55 0.581 -.0781681 .0438098
dansodothi .0248568 .0196234 1.27 0.205 -.0136044 .0633179
ldtunhan -.0004122 .0210306 -0.02 0.984 -.0416313 .040807
laodongfdi .0482802 .0180747 2.67 0.008 .0128544 .083706
sothuebaodt .6122593 .3762757 1.63 0.104 -.1252276 1.349746
hatang .2101112 .2359874 0.89 0.373 -.2524155 .672638
thunhap 1.301393 .4889969 2.66 0.008 .3429762 2.259809
chatluongld .0177433 .0273315 0.65 0.516 -.0358254 .0713121
grdp .0314689 .2741034 0.11 0.909 -.5057639 .5687017
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.6679
between = 0.9428
R-sq: within = 0.2808
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SAR with random-effects Number of obs = 99
192
Bảng 26: Kết quả hồi quy SEM đồng thời 09 biến mô hình FDI
sigma2_e .7148029 .1171083 6.10 0.000 .4852748 .944331
ln_phi -3.670325 4.311311 -0.85 0.395 -12.12034 4.779689
Variance
lambda -.2404958 .166009 -1.45 0.147 -.5658674 .0848758
Spatial
_cons -10.64449 6.641201 -1.60 0.109 -23.66101 2.372024
pci -.0208711 .0304428 -0.69 0.493 -.0805379 .0387957
dansodothi .0264944 .0253448 1.05 0.296 -.0231804 .0761693
ldtunhan .002631 .0277067 0.09 0.924 -.0516731 .0569352
laodongfdi .0447078 .0240428 1.86 0.063 -.0024153 .0918309
sothuebaodt .6312172 .5115371 1.23 0.217 -.371377 1.633811
hatang .3233058 .2676728 1.21 0.227 -.2013233 .847935
thunhap .9886967 .5915025 1.67 0.095 -.1706269 2.14802
chatluongld .0081049 .0297811 0.27 0.786 -.050265 .0664747
grdp -.0995156 .3345154 -0.30 0.766 -.7551538 .5561225
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.6544
between = 0.9125
R-sq: within = 0.2843
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SEM with random-effects Number of obs = 99
193
Bảng 27: Kết quả hồi quy SARAR đồng thời 09 biến mô hình FDI
pci -.0051171 .0469263 -0.11 0.913 -.097091 .0868569
dansodothi .0400734 .0719851 0.56 0.578 -.1010148 .1811616
ldtunhan -.0415636 .0483573 -0.86 0.390 -.1363422 .053215
laodongfdi .0153803 .0620465 0.25 0.804 -.1062287 .1369893
sothuebaodt -.5788157 .5660741 -1.02 0.307 -1.688301 .5306691
hatang -.7985065 .667461 -1.20 0.232 -2.106706 .509693
thunhap 1.421349 1.153663 1.23 0.218 -.8397876 3.682487
chatluongld -.0101249 .0394587 -0.26 0.797 -.0874624 .0672127
grdp -1.190017 1.478931 -0.80 0.421 -4.088668 1.708635
LR_Total
pci -.0030711 .0124919 -0.25 0.806 -.0275548 .0214126
dansodothi .0006675 .0233887 0.03 0.977 -.0451736 .0465085
ldtunhan .000293 .0162738 0.02 0.986 -.0316031 .0321891
laodongfdi .0032234 .0181122 0.18 0.859 -.0322758 .0387226
sothuebaodt -.0363841 .2223674 -0.16 0.870 -.4722162 .399448
hatang -.0440414 .2796961 -0.16 0.875 -.5922356 .5041528
thunhap .0620868 .5267267 0.12 0.906 -.9702785 1.094452
chatluongld -.0019346 .0098187 -0.20 0.844 -.0211789 .0173098
grdp -.0456374 .5000365 -0.09 0.927 -1.025691 .9344161
LR_Indirect
pci -.002046 .0424961 -0.05 0.962 -.0853368 .0812449
dansodothi .039406 .0642951 0.61 0.540 -.0866102 .1654221
ldtunhan -.0418566 .044066 -0.95 0.342 -.1282243 .0445112
laodongfdi .0121569 .0534533 0.23 0.820 -.0926097 .1169236
sothuebaodt -.5424317 .4853386 -1.12 0.264 -1.493678 .4088146
hatang -.7544651 .5739184 -1.31 0.189 -1.879324 .3703942
thunhap 1.359263 .9830837 1.38 0.167 -.5675461 3.286071
chatluongld -.0081903 .0369199 -0.22 0.824 -.0805519 .0641713
grdp -1.144379 1.322987 -0.86 0.387 -3.737386 1.448627
LR_Direct
sigma2_e .5613478 .0782414 7.17 0.000 .4079974 .7146981
Variance
lambda -.4477366 .253324 -1.77 0.077 -.9442426 .0487693
rho .000552 .2335426 0.00 0.998 -.4571832 .4582871
Spatial
pci -.0052688 .0426452 -0.12 0.902 -.0888519 .0783143
dansodothi .0393751 .0669233 0.59 0.556 -.0917923 .1705424
ldtunhan -.0436163 .0446932 -0.98 0.329 -.1312133 .0439807
laodongfdi .0101741 .0544324 0.19 0.852 -.0965114 .1168596
sothuebaodt -.5224213 .4857292 -1.08 0.282 -1.474433 .4295904
hatang -.7337345 .5638221 -1.30 0.193 -1.838805 .3713364
thunhap 1.228135 1.000845 1.23 0.220 -.7334845 3.189755
chatluongld -.0062895 .0374777 -0.17 0.867 -.0797444 .0671654
grdp -1.171477 1.267057 -0.92 0.355 -3.654863 1.311908
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
Mean of fixed-effects = 21.1130
overall = 0.0529
between = 0.1233
R-sq: within = 0.0861
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SAC with spatial and time fixed-effects Number of obs = 99
194
Bảng 28: Kết quả hồi quy GSPRE đồng thời 09 biến mô hình FDI
sigma_e .8306633 .061707 13.46 0.000 .7097198 .9516069
sigma_mu .5029419 .5541581 0.91 0.364 -.583188 1.589072
Variance
lambda -.2547862 .1418283 -1.80 0.072 -.5327646 .0231921
phi -11.64686 8.74738 -1.33 0.183 -28.79141 5.497686
Spatial
_cons -9.761434 5.373035 -1.82 0.069 -20.29239 .7695203
pci -.02165 .029541 -0.73 0.464 -.0795492 .0362492
dansodothi .0262885 .0221875 1.18 0.236 -.0171983 .0697752
ldtunhan .0072744 .0237896 0.31 0.760 -.0393522 .0539011
laodongfdi .050913 .0219758 2.32 0.021 .0078412 .0939848
sothuebaodt .5568074 .408585 1.36 0.173 -.2440045 1.357619
hatang .1808625 .3031026 0.60 0.551 -.4132076 .7749326
thunhap .7457254 .5396709 1.38 0.167 -.3120102 1.803461
chatluongld .009739 .0274904 0.35 0.723 -.0441413 .0636192
grdp .1469432 .4182974 0.35 0.725 -.6729047 .966791
Main
fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log-likelihood = -113.2132
overall = 0.6449
between = 0.8927
R-sq: within = 0.2887
Time variable: year Panel length = 9
Group variable: id Number of groups = 11
SEM with spatial autoregressive random-effects Number of obs = 99
195
PHỤ LỤC 4
Bảng 29: Kết quả hồi quy Pooled Mean Group với biến quy mô trị trường
Bảng 30: Kết quả hồi quy Pooled Mean Group với biến chất lượng lao động
_cons -4.697363 .5220188 -9.00 0.000 -5.720501 -3.674225
D1. -1.324539 2.240883 -0.59 0.554 -5.716589 3.06751
grdp
__ec -1.107518 .1094302 -10.12 0.000 -1.321997 -.8930385
SR
grdp .9274493 .1552023 5.98 0.000 .6232584 1.23164
__ec
D.fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log Likelihood = -63.17255
max = 8
avg = 8.0
Obs per group: min = 8
Time Variable (t): year Number of groups = 11
Panel Variable (i): id Number of obs = 88
(Estimate results saved as pmg)
Pooled Mean Group Regression
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -63.172547
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -63.172548
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -63.188285
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -64.774639
_cons 4.520122 .6496541 6.96 0.000 3.246823 5.793421
D1. -.112059 .037743 -2.97 0.003 -.186034 -.0380841
chatluongld
__ec -1.057053 .1142979 -9.25 0.000 -1.281073 -.8330333
SR
chatluongld .0772076 .0093612 8.25 0.000 .0588599 .0955553
__ec
D.fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log Likelihood = -73.50758
max = 8
avg = 8.0
Obs per group: min = 8
Time Variable (t): year Number of groups = 11
Panel Variable (i): id Number of obs = 88
(Estimate results saved as pmg)
Pooled Mean Group Regression
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -73.507584
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -73.507584
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -73.508135
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -73.75144
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -85.34255 (not concave)
196
Bảng 31: Kết quả hồi quy Pooled Mean Group với biến chi phí lao động
Bảng 32: Kết quả hồi quy Pooled Mean Group với biến cơ sở hạ tầng đường bộ
_cons -5.549774 .8851588 -6.27 0.000 -7.284654 -3.814895
D1. -1.833938 2.081023 -0.88 0.378 -5.912669 2.244792
thunhap
__ec -1.116597 .1430846 -7.80 0.000 -1.397038 -.8361568
SR
thunhap 1.28099 .2121166 6.04 0.000 .865249 1.696731
__ec
D.fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log Likelihood = -66.12105
max = 8
avg = 8.0
Obs per group: min = 8
Time Variable (t): year Number of groups = 11
Panel Variable (i): id Number of obs = 88
(Estimate results saved as pmg)
Pooled Mean Group Regression
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -66.121053
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -66.121053
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -66.121764
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -67.79801
_cons -2.13705 .3323621 -6.43 0.000 -2.788468 -1.485632
D1. -2.352486 1.984857 -1.19 0.236 -6.242735 1.537763
hatang
__ec -1.084694 .1295444 -8.37 0.000 -1.338596 -.8307916
SR
hatang .7995195 .1913804 4.18 0.000 .4244208 1.174618
__ec
D.fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log Likelihood = -69.19626
max = 8
avg = 8.0
Obs per group: min = 8
Time Variable (t): year Number of groups = 11
Panel Variable (i): id Number of obs = 88
(Estimate results saved as pmg)
Pooled Mean Group Regression
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -69.196255
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -69.196257
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -69.198983
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -69.502476
197
Bảng 33: Kết quả hồi quy Pooled Mean Group với biến cơ sở hạ tầng CNTT
Bảng 34: Kết quả hồi quy Pooled Mean Group với biến mức độ quần tụ lao động
FDI
_cons 10.12575 1.839196 5.51 0.000 6.520992 13.73051
D1. 2.127855 1.508798 1.41 0.158 -.8293355 5.085046
sothuebaodt
__ec -.9114339 .161454 -5.65 0.000 -1.227878 -.5949898
SR
sothuebaodt -.7502155 .3031515 -2.47 0.013 -1.344382 -.1560495
__ec
D.fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log Likelihood = -70.52172
max = 8
avg = 8.0
Obs per group: min = 8
Time Variable (t): year Number of groups = 11
Panel Variable (i): id Number of obs = 88
(Estimate results saved as pmg)
Pooled Mean Group Regression
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -70.521718
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -70.521718
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -70.521954
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -70.667815
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -78.449288 (not concave)
_cons 4.30436 .6095171 7.06 0.000 3.109728 5.498991
D1. .023834 .0505302 0.47 0.637 -.0752033 .1228714
laodongfdi
__ec -1.11134 .1392862 -7.98 0.000 -1.384336 -.8383439
SR
laodongfdi .0562954 .0049202 11.44 0.000 .046652 .0659387
__ec
D.fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log Likelihood = -67.07407
max = 8
avg = 8.0
Obs per group: min = 8
Time Variable (t): year Number of groups = 11
Panel Variable (i): id Number of obs = 88
(Estimate results saved as pmg)
Pooled Mean Group Regression
Iteration 5: log likelihood = -67.074067
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -67.074068
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -67.104697
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -67.522503
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -74.043367 (not concave)
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -90.183377 (not concave)
198
Bảng 35: Kết quả hồi quy Pooled Mean Group với biến mức độ quần tụ lao động
tư nhân
Bảng 36: Kết quả hồi quy Pooled Mean Group với biến mức độ đô thị hóa
_cons 10.09781 1.455825 6.94 0.000 7.244449 12.95118
D1. .0434395 .0359965 1.21 0.228 -.0271124 .1139915
ldtunhan
__ec -1.081406 .1605038 -6.74 0.000 -1.395988 -.7668242
SR
ldtunhan -.0646763 .0055764 -11.60 0.000 -.0756058 -.0537468
__ec
D.fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log Likelihood = -65.9026
max = 8
avg = 8.0
Obs per group: min = 8
Time Variable (t): year Number of groups = 11
Panel Variable (i): id Number of obs = 88
(Estimate results saved as pmg)
Pooled Mean Group Regression
Iteration 6: log likelihood = -65.9026
Iteration 5: log likelihood = -65.902601
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -65.95353
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -66.451522
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -68.294919
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -77.180753 (not concave)
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -86.742994 (not concave)
_cons .697496 .8401511 0.83 0.406 -.9491699 2.344162
D1. -.8204809 .5322094 -1.54 0.123 -1.863592 .2226304
dansodothi
__ec -.886383 .1033785 -8.57 0.000 -1.089001 -.6837648
SR
dansodothi .1899715 .036907 5.15 0.000 .1176352 .2623078
__ec
D.fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log Likelihood = -77.68426
max = 8
avg = 8.0
Obs per group: min = 8
Time Variable (t): year Number of groups = 11
Panel Variable (i): id Number of obs = 88
(Estimate results saved as pmg)
Pooled Mean Group Regression
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -77.684262
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -77.684262
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -77.684286
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -77.71724
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -77.804626
199
Bảng 37: Kết quả hồi quy Pooled Mean Group với biến chất lượng điều hành
kinh tế
_cons -1.671494 .3219347 -5.19 0.000 -2.302474 -1.040513
D1. -.0762419 .0216232 -3.53 0.000 -.1186225 -.0338612
pci
__ec -.9816297 .0985297 -9.96 0.000 -1.174744 -.7885151
SR
pci .1285319 .0199653 6.44 0.000 .0894006 .1676633
__ec
D.fdi Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log Likelihood = -76.32993
max = 8
avg = 8.0
Obs per group: min = 8
Time Variable (t): year Number of groups = 11
Panel Variable (i): id Number of obs = 88
(Estimate results saved as pmg)
Pooled Mean Group Regression
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -76.32993
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -76.32993
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -76.32998
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -76.346231
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -76.90844